Capital World Growth Fund Market Value

RWIGX Fund  USD 62.41  0.15  0.24%   
Capital World's market value is the price at which a share of Capital World trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Capital World Growth investors about its performance. Capital World is trading at 62.41 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is -0.24% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 62.56.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Capital World Growth and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Capital World over a given investment horizon. Check out Capital World Correlation, Capital World Volatility and Capital World Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital World.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Capital World's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Capital World is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Capital World's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Capital World 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Capital World's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Capital World.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Capital World on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Capital World Growth or generate 0.0% return on investment in Capital World over 30 days. Capital World is related to or competes with Income Fund, New World, American Mutual, American Mutual, American Funds, American Funds, and Income Fund. The fund invests primarily in common stocks of well-established companies located around the world, many of which have t... More

Capital World Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Capital World's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Capital World Growth upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Capital World Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Capital World's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Capital World's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Capital World historical prices to predict the future Capital World's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Capital World's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
61.7562.4163.07
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
61.7862.4463.10
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Capital World. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Capital World's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Capital World's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Capital World Growth.

Capital World Growth Backtested Returns

We consider Capital World very steady. Capital World Growth secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.11, which signifies that the fund had a 0.11% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Capital World Growth, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please confirm Capital World's Downside Deviation of 0.6447, risk adjusted performance of 0.0762, and Mean Deviation of 0.5098 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0715%. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.95, which signifies possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Capital World returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Capital World is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.38  

Below average predictability

Capital World Growth has below average predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Capital World time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Capital World Growth price movement. The serial correlation of 0.38 indicates that just about 38.0% of current Capital World price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.38
Spearman Rank Test0.5
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.81

Capital World Growth lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Capital World mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Capital World's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Capital World returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Capital World has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Capital World regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Capital World mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Capital World mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Capital World mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Capital World Lagged Returns

When evaluating Capital World's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Capital World mutual fund have on its future price. Capital World autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Capital World autocorrelation shows the relationship between Capital World mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Capital World Growth.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Capital World in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Capital World's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Capital World options trading.

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Check out Capital World Correlation, Capital World Volatility and Capital World Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Capital World.
Note that the Capital World Growth information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Capital World's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Capital World technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Capital World technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Capital World trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...