Energy Fund Class Fund Market Value

RYEAX Fund  USD 250.19  3.32  1.31%   
Energy Fund's market value is the price at which a share of Energy Fund trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Energy Fund Class investors about its performance. Energy Fund is trading at 250.19 as of the 16th of April 2024; that is -1.31 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 253.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Energy Fund Class and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Energy Fund over a given investment horizon. Check out Energy Fund Correlation, Energy Fund Volatility and Energy Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Energy Fund.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Energy Fund's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Energy Fund is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Energy Fund's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Energy Fund 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Energy Fund's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Energy Fund.
0.00
03/17/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
04/16/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Energy Fund on March 17, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Energy Fund Class or generate 0.0% return on investment in Energy Fund over 30 days. Energy Fund is related to or competes with Basic Materials, Basic Materials, Basic Materials, Sp Midcap, Basic Materials, Biotechnology Fund, and Inverse Russell. Under normal circumstances, the fund invests substantially all of its net assets in equity securities of Energy Companie... More

Energy Fund Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Energy Fund's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Energy Fund Class upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Energy Fund Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Energy Fund's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Energy Fund's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Energy Fund historical prices to predict the future Energy Fund's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Energy Fund's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
249.29250.19251.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
225.17268.66269.56
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
251.42252.32253.23
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
239.11250.83262.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Energy Fund. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Energy Fund's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Energy Fund's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Energy Fund Class.

Energy Fund Class Backtested Returns

Energy Fund appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Energy Fund Class secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.28, which denotes the fund had a 0.28% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Energy Fund Class, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the entity. Please utilize Energy Fund's Mean Deviation of 0.7294, downside deviation of 1.05, and Coefficient Of Variation of 478.19 to check if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. The fund shows a Beta (market volatility) of 0.92, which means possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Energy Fund returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Energy Fund is expected to follow.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.24  

Weak predictability

Energy Fund Class has weak predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Energy Fund time series from 17th of March 2024 to 1st of April 2024 and 1st of April 2024 to 16th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Energy Fund Class price movement. The serial correlation of 0.24 indicates that over 24.0% of current Energy Fund price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.24
Spearman Rank Test0.26
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance4.24

Energy Fund Class lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Energy Fund mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Energy Fund's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Energy Fund returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Energy Fund has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Energy Fund regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Energy Fund mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Energy Fund mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Energy Fund mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Energy Fund Lagged Returns

When evaluating Energy Fund's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Energy Fund mutual fund have on its future price. Energy Fund autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Energy Fund autocorrelation shows the relationship between Energy Fund mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Energy Fund Class.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Energy Fund Correlation, Energy Fund Volatility and Energy Fund Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Energy Fund.
Note that the Energy Fund Class information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Energy Fund's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Energy Fund technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Energy Fund technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Energy Fund trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...