Synel MLL (Israel) Market Value
SNEL Stock | ILS 1,899 59.00 3.01% |
Symbol | Synel |
Synel MLL 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Synel MLL's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Synel MLL.
03/18/2024 |
| 04/17/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Synel MLL on March 18, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Synel MLL Payway or generate 0.0% return on investment in Synel MLL over 30 days. Synel MLL is related to or competes with Teva Pharmaceutical, Elbit Systems, Bezeq Israeli, and ICL Israel. Synel M.L.L Payway Ltd, together with its subsidiaries, develops and produces data collection systems and solutions for ... More
Synel MLL Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Synel MLL's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Synel MLL Payway upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
Downside Deviation | 1.54 | |||
Information Ratio | 0.1473 | |||
Maximum Drawdown | 16.56 | |||
Value At Risk | (2.78) | |||
Potential Upside | 4.65 |
Synel MLL Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Synel MLL's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Synel MLL's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Synel MLL historical prices to predict the future Synel MLL's volatility.Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.1141 | |||
Jensen Alpha | 0.4252 | |||
Total Risk Alpha | 0.2391 | |||
Sortino Ratio | 0.2564 | |||
Treynor Ratio | 1.13 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Synel MLL's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Synel MLL Payway Backtested Returns
Synel MLL appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Synel MLL Payway owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the firm had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Synel MLL Payway, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Synel MLL's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1141, coefficient of variation of 592.03, and Semi Deviation of 1.09 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Synel MLL holds a performance score of 10. The entity has a beta of 0.39, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Synel MLL's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Synel MLL is expected to be smaller as well. Please check Synel MLL's total risk alpha, treynor ratio, value at risk, as well as the relationship between the sortino ratio and maximum drawdown , to make a quick decision on whether Synel MLL's existing price patterns will revert.
Auto-correlation | 0.77 |
Good predictability
Synel MLL Payway has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Synel MLL time series from 18th of March 2024 to 2nd of April 2024 and 2nd of April 2024 to 17th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Synel MLL Payway price movement. The serial correlation of 0.77 indicates that around 77.0% of current Synel MLL price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient | 0.77 | |
Spearman Rank Test | 0.37 | |
Residual Average | 0.0 | |
Price Variance | 1964.24 |
Synel MLL Payway lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Synel MLL stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Synel MLL's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Synel MLL returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Synel MLL has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
Timeline |
Synel MLL regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Synel MLL stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Synel MLL stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Synel MLL stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
Timeline |
Synel MLL Lagged Returns
When evaluating Synel MLL's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Synel MLL stock have on its future price. Synel MLL autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Synel MLL autocorrelation shows the relationship between Synel MLL stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Synel MLL Payway.
Regressed Prices |
Timeline |
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Check out Synel MLL Correlation, Synel MLL Volatility and Synel MLL Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Synel MLL. You can also try the Balance Of Power module to check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios.
Complementary Tools for Synel Stock analysis
When running Synel MLL's price analysis, check to measure Synel MLL's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Synel MLL is operating at the current time. Most of Synel MLL's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Synel MLL's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Synel MLL's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Synel MLL to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Synel MLL technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.