State Street Aggregate Fund Market Value

SSFEX Fund  USD 83.26  0.25  0.30%   
State Street's market value is the price at which a share of State Street trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of State Street Aggregate investors about its performance. State Street is trading at 83.26 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is -0.3% down since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 83.51.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of State Street Aggregate and determine expected loss or profit from investing in State Street over a given investment horizon. Check out State Street Correlation, State Street Volatility and State Street Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on State Street.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between State Street's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if State Street is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, State Street's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

State Street 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to State Street's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of State Street.
0.00
03/20/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in State Street on March 20, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding State Street Aggregate or generate 0.0% return on investment in State Street over 30 days. State Street is related to or competes with State Street, Ssga International, State Street, State Street, State Street, State Street, and State Street. Under normal circumstances, the fund generally invests substantially all, but at least 80, of its net assets in securities comprising the index or in securities that the Adviser determines have economic characteristics that are comparable to the economic characteristics of securities that comprise the index. More

State Street Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure State Street's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess State Street Aggregate upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

State Street Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for State Street's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as State Street's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use State Street historical prices to predict the future State Street's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of State Street's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
82.8883.2683.64
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
83.2483.6284.00
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
82.9383.3183.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
83.3584.5785.80
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as State Street. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against State Street's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, State Street's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in State Street Aggregate.

State Street Aggregate Backtested Returns

State Street Aggregate owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of -0.0877, which indicates the fund had a -0.0877% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. State Street Aggregate exposes twenty-one different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please validate State Street's Variance of 0.1378, risk adjusted performance of (0.06), and Coefficient Of Variation of (1,063) to confirm the risk estimate we provide. The entity has a beta of 0.26, which indicates not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, State Street's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding State Street is expected to be smaller as well.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.29  

Poor predictability

State Street Aggregate has poor predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between State Street time series from 20th of March 2024 to 4th of April 2024 and 4th of April 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of State Street Aggregate price movement. The serial correlation of 0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current State Street price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.29
Spearman Rank Test0.17
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.34

State Street Aggregate lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is State Street mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting State Street's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of State Street returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that State Street has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

State Street regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If State Street mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if State Street mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in State Street mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

State Street Lagged Returns

When evaluating State Street's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of State Street mutual fund have on its future price. State Street autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, State Street autocorrelation shows the relationship between State Street mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in State Street Aggregate.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out State Street Correlation, State Street Volatility and State Street Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on State Street.
Note that the State Street Aggregate information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other State Street's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
State Street technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of State Street technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of State Street trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...