Tencent Holdings Stock Market Value

TCTZF Stock  USD 42.59  2.29  5.68%   
Tencent Holdings' market value is the price at which a share of Tencent Holdings trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Tencent Holdings investors about its performance. Tencent Holdings is trading at 42.59 as of the 25th of April 2024. This is a 5.68 percent up since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's lowest day price was 41.37.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Tencent Holdings and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Tencent Holdings over a given investment horizon. Check out Tencent Holdings Correlation, Tencent Holdings Volatility and Tencent Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tencent Holdings.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Tencent Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Tencent Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Tencent Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Tencent Holdings 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Tencent Holdings' pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Tencent Holdings.
0.00
03/26/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 31 days
04/25/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Tencent Holdings on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Tencent Holdings or generate 0.0% return on investment in Tencent Holdings over 30 days. Tencent Holdings is related to or competes with Autohome, Arena Group, Golden Grail, Asset Entities, Baidu, Prosus NV, and DouYu International. Tencent Holdings Limited, an investment holding company, provides value-added services and Online advertising services i... More

Tencent Holdings Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Tencent Holdings' pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Tencent Holdings upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Tencent Holdings Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Tencent Holdings' investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Tencent Holdings' standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Tencent Holdings historical prices to predict the future Tencent Holdings' volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tencent Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
40.6842.5944.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
38.3347.7449.65
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
40.3842.2944.19
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
37.1840.6144.04
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Tencent Holdings. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Tencent Holdings' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Tencent Holdings' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Tencent Holdings.

Tencent Holdings Backtested Returns

Tencent Holdings appears to be very steady, given 3 months investment horizon. Tencent Holdings owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.16, which indicates the firm had a 0.16% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found thirty technical indicators for Tencent Holdings, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please review Tencent Holdings' Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.1061, semi deviation of 1.57, and Coefficient Of Variation of 627.84 to confirm if our risk estimates are consistent with your expectations. On a scale of 0 to 100, Tencent Holdings holds a performance score of 12. The entity has a beta of 0.89, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Tencent Holdings returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Tencent Holdings is expected to follow. Please check Tencent Holdings' skewness, and the relationship between the value at risk and day median price , to make a quick decision on whether Tencent Holdings' existing price patterns will revert.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.29  

Weak reverse predictability

Tencent Holdings has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Tencent Holdings time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Tencent Holdings price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Tencent Holdings price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.29
Spearman Rank Test-0.01
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance2.43

Tencent Holdings lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Tencent Holdings pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Tencent Holdings' pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Tencent Holdings returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Tencent Holdings has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Tencent Holdings regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Tencent Holdings pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Tencent Holdings pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Tencent Holdings pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Tencent Holdings Lagged Returns

When evaluating Tencent Holdings' market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Tencent Holdings pink sheet have on its future price. Tencent Holdings autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Tencent Holdings autocorrelation shows the relationship between Tencent Holdings pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Tencent Holdings.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Tencent Holdings in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Tencent Holdings' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Tencent Holdings options trading.

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Check out Tencent Holdings Correlation, Tencent Holdings Volatility and Tencent Holdings Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Tencent Holdings.
Note that the Tencent Holdings information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Tencent Holdings' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio Analyzer module to portfolio analysis module that provides access to portfolio diagnostics and optimization engine.

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When running Tencent Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Tencent Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tencent Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Tencent Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tencent Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tencent Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tencent Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Tencent Holdings technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Tencent Holdings technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Tencent Holdings trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...