Vanguard High Dividend Fund Market Value
| VHYAX Fund | USD 35.57 0.08 0.23% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard High 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard High's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard High.
| 03/26/2024 |
| 04/25/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard High on March 26, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard High Dividend or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard High over 30 days. Vanguard High is related to or competes with Edgewood Growth, Hartford Schroders, HUMANA, Morningstar Unconstrained, High Yield, Thrivent High, and Via Renewables. The manager employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the index, which consists of co... More
Vanguard High Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard High's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard High Dividend upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 0.6432 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.14 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.14) | |||
| Potential Upside | 0.9156 |
Vanguard High Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard High's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard High's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard High historical prices to predict the future Vanguard High's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0921 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | 0.0044 | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0902 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard High's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard High Dividend Backtested Returns
We consider Vanguard High very steady. Vanguard High Dividend owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.13, which indicates the fund had a 0.13% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Vanguard High Dividend, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard High's Semi Deviation of 0.5271, risk adjusted performance of 0.0921, and Coefficient Of Variation of 676.38 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0805%. The entity has a beta of 0.91, which indicates possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. Vanguard High returns are very sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Vanguard High is expected to follow.
Auto-correlation | -0.29 |
Weak reverse predictability
Vanguard High Dividend has weak reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard High time series from 26th of March 2024 to 10th of April 2024 and 10th of April 2024 to 25th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard High Dividend price movement. The serial correlation of -0.29 indicates that nearly 29.0% of current Vanguard High price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | -0.29 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.12 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.14 |
Vanguard High Dividend lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard High mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard High's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard High returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard High has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard High regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard High mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard High mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard High mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard High Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard High's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard High mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard High autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard High autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard High mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard High Dividend.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Vanguard High in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Vanguard High's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Vanguard High options trading.
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Vanguard High Correlation, Vanguard High Volatility and Vanguard High Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard High. Note that the Vanguard High Dividend information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Vanguard High's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.
Vanguard High technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.