Vanguard Strategic Equity Fund Market Value
| VSEQX Fund | USD 35.26 0.38 1.09% |
| Symbol | Vanguard |
Vanguard Strategic 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Vanguard Strategic's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Vanguard Strategic.
| 09/26/2023 |
| 04/23/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Vanguard Strategic on September 26, 2023 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Vanguard Strategic Equity or generate 0.0% return on investment in Vanguard Strategic over 210 days. Vanguard Strategic is related to or competes with Vanguard Materials, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Limited, Vanguard Global, Vanguard Emerging, Vanguard Market, and Vanguard Market. The fund invests in small- and mid-capitalization domestic equity securities based on the advisors assessment of the rel... More
Vanguard Strategic Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Vanguard Strategic's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Vanguard Strategic Equity upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Downside Deviation | 1.04 | |||
| Information Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 3.74 | |||
| Value At Risk | (1.65) | |||
| Potential Upside | 1.49 |
Vanguard Strategic Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Vanguard Strategic's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Vanguard Strategic's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Vanguard Strategic historical prices to predict the future Vanguard Strategic's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0548 | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.04) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.05) | |||
| Sortino Ratio | (0.01) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | 0.0483 |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Vanguard Strategic's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Vanguard Strategic Equity Backtested Returns
We consider Vanguard Strategic very steady. Vanguard Strategic Equity owns Efficiency Ratio (i.e., Sharpe Ratio) of 0.0735, which indicates the fund had a 0.0735% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-seven technical indicators for Vanguard Strategic Equity, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please validate Vanguard Strategic's Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0548, coefficient of variation of 1188.74, and Semi Deviation of 0.8942 to confirm if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0682%. The entity has a beta of 1.39, which indicates a somewhat significant risk relative to the market. As the market goes up, the company is expected to outperform it. However, if the market returns are negative, Vanguard Strategic will likely underperform.
Auto-correlation | 0.64 |
Good predictability
Vanguard Strategic Equity has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Vanguard Strategic time series from 26th of September 2023 to 9th of January 2024 and 9th of January 2024 to 23rd of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Vanguard Strategic Equity price movement. The serial correlation of 0.64 indicates that roughly 64.0% of current Vanguard Strategic price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.64 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.54 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 1.39 |
Vanguard Strategic Equity lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Vanguard Strategic mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Vanguard Strategic's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Vanguard Strategic returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Vanguard Strategic has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Strategic regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Vanguard Strategic mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Vanguard Strategic mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Vanguard Strategic mutual fund over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Vanguard Strategic Lagged Returns
When evaluating Vanguard Strategic's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Vanguard Strategic mutual fund have on its future price. Vanguard Strategic autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Vanguard Strategic autocorrelation shows the relationship between Vanguard Strategic mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Vanguard Strategic Equity.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Also Currently Popular
Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.Check out Vanguard Strategic Correlation, Vanguard Strategic Volatility and Vanguard Strategic Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Vanguard Strategic. You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Vanguard Strategic technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.