Weir Group Plc Stock Market Value

WEGRY Stock  USD 12.32  0.04  0.32%   
Weir Group's market value is the price at which a share of Weir Group trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Weir Group PLC investors about its performance. Weir Group is trading at 12.32 as of the 19th of April 2024; that is -0.32 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The stock's open price was 12.36.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Weir Group PLC and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Weir Group over a given investment horizon. Check out Weir Group Correlation, Weir Group Volatility and Weir Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Weir Group.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Weir Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Weir Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Weir Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Weir Group 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Weir Group's pink sheet what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Weir Group.
0.00
02/19/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 2 months and 1 day
04/19/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Weir Group on February 19, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Weir Group PLC or generate 0.0% return on investment in Weir Group over 60 days. Weir Group is related to or competes with GE Aerospace, Eaton PLC, Illinois Tool, Parker Hannifin, and Emerson Electric. The Weir Group PLC produces and sells highly engineered original equipment worldwide More

Weir Group Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Weir Group's pink sheet current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Weir Group PLC upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Weir Group Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Weir Group's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Weir Group's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Weir Group historical prices to predict the future Weir Group's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Weir Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
10.7212.3213.92
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
8.5910.1913.55
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
10.6212.2113.81
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3012.3312.37
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Weir Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Weir Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Weir Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Weir Group PLC.

Weir Group PLC Backtested Returns

We consider Weir Group not too volatile. Weir Group PLC shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.0952, which attests that the company had a 0.0952% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for Weir Group PLC, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the company. Please check out Weir Group's Mean Deviation of 1.11, downside deviation of 1.5, and Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.21) to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.15%. Weir Group has a performance score of 7 on a scale of 0 to 100. The firm maintains a market beta of -0.39, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Weir Group are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Weir Group is likely to outperform the market. Weir Group PLC right now maintains a risk of 1.6%. Please check out Weir Group PLC maximum drawdown, as well as the relationship between the skewness and day typical price , to decide if Weir Group PLC will be following its historical returns.

Auto-correlation

    
  -0.37  

Poor reverse predictability

Weir Group PLC has poor reverse predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Weir Group time series from 19th of February 2024 to 20th of March 2024 and 20th of March 2024 to 19th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Weir Group PLC price movement. The serial correlation of -0.37 indicates that just about 37.0% of current Weir Group price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient-0.37
Spearman Rank Test0.14
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.04

Weir Group PLC lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Weir Group pink sheet's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Weir Group's pink sheet expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Weir Group returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Weir Group has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the pink sheet is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Weir Group regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Weir Group pink sheet is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Weir Group pink sheet is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Weir Group pink sheet over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Weir Group Lagged Returns

When evaluating Weir Group's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Weir Group pink sheet have on its future price. Weir Group autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Weir Group autocorrelation shows the relationship between Weir Group pink sheet current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Weir Group PLC.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Weir Group Correlation, Weir Group Volatility and Weir Group Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Weir Group.
You can also try the Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.

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When running Weir Group's price analysis, check to measure Weir Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Weir Group is operating at the current time. Most of Weir Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Weir Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Weir Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Weir Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Weir Group technical pink sheet analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, pink sheet market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Weir Group technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Weir Group trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...