Wells Fargo Special Fund Market Value

WFPRX Fund  USD 49.26  0.70  1.40%   
Wells Fargo's market value is the price at which a share of Wells Fargo trades on a public exchange. It measures the collective expectations of Wells Fargo Special investors about its performance. Wells Fargo is trading at 49.26 as of the 28th of March 2024; that is -1.4 percent decrease since the beginning of the trading day. The fund's open price was 49.96.
With this module, you can estimate the performance of a buy and hold strategy of Wells Fargo Special and determine expected loss or profit from investing in Wells Fargo over a given investment horizon. Check out Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Volatility and Wells Fargo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wells Fargo.
For more information on how to buy Wells Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.
Symbol

Please note, there is a significant difference between Wells Fargo's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Wells Fargo is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Wells Fargo's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

Wells Fargo 'What if' Analysis

In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Wells Fargo's mutual fund what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Wells Fargo.
0.00
02/27/2024
No Change 0.00  0.0 
In 30 days
03/28/2024
0.00
If you would invest  0.00  in Wells Fargo on February 27, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Wells Fargo Special or generate 0.0% return on investment in Wells Fargo over 30 days. Wells Fargo is related to or competes with USCF Gold, Wells Fargo, Allspring Special, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, Wells Fargo, and Wells Fargo. The fund normally invests at least 80 percent of its net assets in equity securities of medium-capitalization companies More

Wells Fargo Upside/Downside Indicators

Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Wells Fargo's mutual fund current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Wells Fargo Special upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.

Wells Fargo Market Risk Indicators

Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Wells Fargo's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Wells Fargo's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Wells Fargo historical prices to predict the future Wells Fargo's volatility.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Wells Fargo's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
48.6149.2649.91
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
44.9545.6054.19
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
48.6749.3249.98
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
49.2549.2849.32
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Wells Fargo. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Wells Fargo's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Wells Fargo's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Wells Fargo Special.

Wells Fargo Special Backtested Returns

We consider Wells Fargo very steady. Wells Fargo Special shows Sharpe Ratio of 0.18, which attests that the fund had a 0.18% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-eight technical indicators for Wells Fargo Special, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the fund. Please check out Wells Fargo's Market Risk Adjusted Performance of (0.99), downside deviation of 0.7171, and Mean Deviation of 0.4945 to validate if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.11%. The entity maintains a market beta of -0.12, which attests to not very significant fluctuations relative to the market. As returns on the market increase, returns on owning Wells Fargo are expected to decrease at a much lower rate. During the bear market, Wells Fargo is likely to outperform the market.

Auto-correlation

    
  0.76  

Good predictability

Wells Fargo Special has good predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Wells Fargo time series from 27th of February 2024 to 13th of March 2024 and 13th of March 2024 to 28th of March 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Wells Fargo Special price movement. The serial correlation of 0.76 indicates that around 76.0% of current Wells Fargo price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
Correlation Coefficient0.76
Spearman Rank Test0.75
Residual Average0.0
Price Variance0.18

Wells Fargo Special lagged returns against current returns

Autocorrelation, which is Wells Fargo mutual fund's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Wells Fargo's mutual fund expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Wells Fargo returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Wells Fargo has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the mutual fund is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
   Current and Lagged Values   
       Timeline  

Wells Fargo regressed lagged prices vs. current prices

Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Wells Fargo mutual fund is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Wells Fargo mutual fund is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Wells Fargo mutual fund over time.
   Current vs Lagged Prices   
       Timeline  

Wells Fargo Lagged Returns

When evaluating Wells Fargo's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Wells Fargo mutual fund have on its future price. Wells Fargo autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Wells Fargo autocorrelation shows the relationship between Wells Fargo mutual fund current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Wells Fargo Special.
   Regressed Prices   
       Timeline  

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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
Check out Wells Fargo Correlation, Wells Fargo Volatility and Wells Fargo Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Wells Fargo.
For more information on how to buy Wells Mutual Fund please use our How to Invest in Wells Fargo guide.
You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.

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When running Wells Fargo's price analysis, check to measure Wells Fargo's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Wells Fargo is operating at the current time. Most of Wells Fargo's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Wells Fargo's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Wells Fargo's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Wells Fargo to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Wells Fargo technical mutual fund analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, fund market cycles, or different charting patterns.
A focus of Wells Fargo technical analysis is to determine if market prices reflect all relevant information impacting that market. A technical analyst looks at the history of Wells Fargo trading pattern rather than external drivers such as economic, fundamental, or social events. It is believed that price action tends to repeat itself due to investors' collective, patterned behavior. Hence technical analysis focuses on identifiable price trends and conditions. More Info...