Xcel Energy Stock Market Value
| XEL Stock | USD 55.27 0.31 0.56% |
| Symbol | Xcel |
Xcel Energy Price To Book Ratio
Is Xcel Energy's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Xcel Energy. If investors know Xcel will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Xcel Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.068 | Dividend Share 2.08 | Earnings Share 3.21 | Revenue Per Share 25.736 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.15) |
The market value of Xcel Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Xcel that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Xcel Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Xcel Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Xcel Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Xcel Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Xcel Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Xcel Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Xcel Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.
Xcel Energy 'What if' Analysis
In the world of financial modeling, what-if analysis is part of sensitivity analysis performed to test how changes in assumptions impact individual outputs in a model. When applied to Xcel Energy's stock what-if analysis refers to the analyzing how the change in your past investing horizon will affect the profitability against the current market value of Xcel Energy.
| 03/25/2024 |
| 04/24/2024 |
If you would invest 0.00 in Xcel Energy on March 25, 2024 and sell it all today you would earn a total of 0.00 from holding Xcel Energy or generate 0.0% return on investment in Xcel Energy over 30 days. Xcel Energy is related to or competes with Exelon. Xcel Energy Inc., through its subsidiaries, generates, purchases, transmits, distributes, and sells electricity More
Xcel Energy Upside/Downside Indicators
Understanding different market momentum indicators often help investors to time their next move. Potential upside and downside technical ratios enable traders to measure Xcel Energy's stock current market value against overall market sentiment and can be a good tool during both bulling and bearish trends. Here we outline some of the essential indicators to assess Xcel Energy upside and downside potential and time the market with a certain degree of confidence.
| Information Ratio | (0.09) | |||
| Maximum Drawdown | 10.77 | |||
| Value At Risk | (2.17) | |||
| Potential Upside | 3.02 |
Xcel Energy Market Risk Indicators
Today, many novice investors tend to focus exclusively on investment returns with little concern for Xcel Energy's investment risk. Other traders do consider volatility but use just one or two very conventional indicators such as Xcel Energy's standard deviation. In reality, there are many statistical measures that can use Xcel Energy historical prices to predict the future Xcel Energy's volatility.| Risk Adjusted Performance | (0.02) | |||
| Jensen Alpha | (0.13) | |||
| Total Risk Alpha | (0.35) | |||
| Treynor Ratio | (0.17) |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Xcel Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Xcel Energy Backtested Returns
Xcel Energy shows Sharpe Ratio of -0.0335, which attests that the company had a -0.0335% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Xcel Energy exposes twenty-three different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please check out Xcel Energy's Standard Deviation of 1.91, market risk adjusted performance of (0.16), and Mean Deviation of 1.23 to validate the risk estimate we provide. The firm maintains a market beta of 0.51, which attests to possible diversification benefits within a given portfolio. As returns on the market increase, Xcel Energy's returns are expected to increase less than the market. However, during the bear market, the loss of holding Xcel Energy is expected to be smaller as well. Xcel Energy has an expected return of -0.0648%. Please make sure to check out Xcel Energy value at risk, as well as the relationship between the daily balance of power and price action indicator , to decide if Xcel Energy performance from the past will be repeated at some point in the near future.
Auto-correlation | 0.06 |
Virtually no predictability
Xcel Energy has virtually no predictability. Overlapping area represents the amount of predictability between Xcel Energy time series from 25th of March 2024 to 9th of April 2024 and 9th of April 2024 to 24th of April 2024. The more autocorrelation exist between current time interval and its lagged values, the more accurately you can make projection about the future pattern of Xcel Energy price movement. The serial correlation of 0.06 indicates that barely 6.0% of current Xcel Energy price fluctuation can be explain by its past prices.
| Correlation Coefficient | 0.06 | |
| Spearman Rank Test | 0.47 | |
| Residual Average | 0.0 | |
| Price Variance | 0.68 |
Xcel Energy lagged returns against current returns
Autocorrelation, which is Xcel Energy stock's lagged correlation, explains the relationship between observations of its time series of returns over different periods of time. The observations are said to be independent if autocorrelation is zero. Autocorrelation is calculated as a function of mean and variance and can have practical application in predicting Xcel Energy's stock expected returns. We can calculate the autocorrelation of Xcel Energy returns to help us make a trade decision. For example, suppose you find that Xcel Energy has exhibited high autocorrelation historically, and you observe that the stock is moving up for the past few days. In that case, you can expect the price movement to match the lagging time series.
Current and Lagged Values |
| Timeline |
Xcel Energy regressed lagged prices vs. current prices
Serial correlation can be approximated by using the Durbin-Watson (DW) test. The correlation can be either positive or negative. If Xcel Energy stock is displaying a positive serial correlation, investors will expect a positive pattern to continue. However, if Xcel Energy stock is observed to have a negative serial correlation, investors will generally project negative sentiment on having a locked-in long position in Xcel Energy stock over time.
Current vs Lagged Prices |
| Timeline |
Xcel Energy Lagged Returns
When evaluating Xcel Energy's market value, investors can use the concept of autocorrelation to see how much of an impact past prices of Xcel Energy stock have on its future price. Xcel Energy autocorrelation represents the degree of similarity between a given time horizon and a lagged version of the same horizon over the previous time interval. In other words, Xcel Energy autocorrelation shows the relationship between Xcel Energy stock current value and its past values and can show if there is a momentum factor associated with investing in Xcel Energy.
Regressed Prices |
| Timeline |
Xcel Energy Investors Sentiment
The influence of Xcel Energy's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Xcel. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Xcel Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Xcel. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Xcel can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Xcel Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Xcel Energy's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Xcel Energy's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Xcel Energy's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Xcel Energy.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Xcel Energy in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Xcel Energy's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Xcel Energy options trading.
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Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.When determining whether Xcel Energy is a strong investment it is important to analyze Xcel Energy's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Xcel Energy's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Xcel Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Xcel Energy Correlation, Xcel Energy Volatility and Xcel Energy Alpha and Beta module to complement your research on Xcel Energy. For more information on how to buy Xcel Stock please use our How to buy in Xcel Stock guide.Note that the Xcel Energy information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Xcel Energy's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Equity Forecasting module to use basic forecasting models to generate price predictions and determine price momentum.
Complementary Tools for Xcel Stock analysis
When running Xcel Energy's price analysis, check to measure Xcel Energy's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Xcel Energy is operating at the current time. Most of Xcel Energy's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Xcel Energy's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Xcel Energy's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Xcel Energy to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Xcel Energy technical stock analysis exercises models and trading practices based on price and volume transformations, such as the moving averages, relative strength index, regressions, price and return correlations, business cycles, stock market cycles, or different charting patterns.