Archer-Daniels-Midland 039483AN2 Bond

ADM Stock  USD 62.99  1.17  1.89%   
Archer-Daniels-Midland holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.4. At this time, Archer Daniels' Net Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Debt Equity Ratio is likely to grow to 0.38, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 385.7 M. Archer Daniels' financial risk is the risk to Archer Daniels stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt. In other words, with a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Archer Daniels' liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Archer Daniels' cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Archer Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Archer Daniels' stakeholders.
For most companies, including Archer Daniels, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for the executing running Archer Daniels Midland the most critical issue when dealing with liquidity needs is whether the current assets are properly aligned with its current liabilities. If not, management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure that there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet in reserve to pay for obligations.
Price Book
1.3061
Book Value
47.041
Operating Margin
0.0327
Profit Margin
0.0371
Return On Assets
0.0437
At this time, Archer Daniels' Net Debt is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 28th of March 2024, Debt Equity Ratio is likely to grow to 0.38, while Short Term Debt is likely to drop about 385.7 M.
  
Check out the analysis of Archer Daniels Fundamentals Over Time.
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Given the importance of Archer Daniels' capital structure, the first step in the capital decision process is for the management of Archer Daniels to decide how much external capital it will need to raise to operate in a sustainable way. Once the amount of financing is determined, management needs to examine the financial markets to determine the terms in which the company can boost capital. This move is crucial to the process because the market environment may reduce the ability of Archer Daniels Midland to issue bonds at a reasonable cost.
Popular NameArcher Daniels US039483AN23
SpecializationFood, Beverage & Tobacco
Equity ISIN CodeUS0394831020
Bond Issue ISIN CodeUS039483AN23
View All Archer Daniels Outstanding Bonds

Archer-Daniels-Midland Outstanding Bond Obligations

Understaning Archer Daniels Use of Financial Leverage

Archer Daniels financial leverage ratio helps in determining the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures Archer Daniels's total debt position, including all of outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Archer Daniels assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Archer Daniels debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business and if it is worth investing in it. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Archer Daniels' owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Archer Daniels' financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets).
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Short and Long Term Debt Total9.6 B6.1 B
Net Debt4.2 B5.1 B
Short Term Debt406 M385.7 M
Long Term Debt8.3 B6.7 B
Long Term Debt Total10 B7.9 B
Short and Long Term Debt106 M100.7 M
Long Term Debt To Capitalization 0.25  0.22 
Total Debt To Capitalization 0.26  0.26 
Debt Equity Ratio 0.36  0.38 
Debt Ratio 0.16  0.25 
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio 0.51  0.30 
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Archer Daniels Investors Sentiment

The influence of Archer Daniels' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Archer. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Archer Daniels' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Archer. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Archer can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Archer Daniels Midland. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Archer Daniels' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Archer Daniels' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Archer Daniels' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Archer Daniels.

Archer Daniels Implied Volatility

    
  30.59  
Archer Daniels' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Archer Daniels Midland stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Archer Daniels' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Archer Daniels stock will not fluctuate a lot when Archer Daniels' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Archer Daniels in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Archer Daniels' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Archer Daniels options trading.

Pair Trading with Archer Daniels

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Archer Daniels position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Archer Daniels will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with Archer Stock

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Moving against Archer Stock

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  0.45BOF BranchOut Food CommonPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Archer Daniels could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Archer Daniels when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Archer Daniels - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Archer Daniels Midland to buy it.
The correlation of Archer Daniels is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Archer Daniels moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Archer-Daniels-Midland moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Archer Daniels can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Archer-Daniels-Midland is a strong investment it is important to analyze Archer Daniels' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Archer Daniels' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Archer Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out the analysis of Archer Daniels Fundamentals Over Time.
Note that the Archer-Daniels-Midland information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Archer Daniels' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Efficient Frontier module to plot and analyze your portfolio and positions against risk-return landscape of the market..

Complementary Tools for Archer Stock analysis

When running Archer Daniels' price analysis, check to measure Archer Daniels' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Archer Daniels is operating at the current time. Most of Archer Daniels' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Archer Daniels' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Archer Daniels' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Archer Daniels to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Archer Daniels' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Archer Daniels. If investors know Archer will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Archer Daniels listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.42)
Dividend Share
1.8
Earnings Share
6.43
Revenue Per Share
173.632
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.11)
The market value of Archer-Daniels-Midland is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Archer that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Archer Daniels' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Archer Daniels' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Archer Daniels' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Archer Daniels' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Archer Daniels' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Archer Daniels is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Archer Daniels' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.