Dow Inc Corporate Bonds and Leverage Analysis

DOW Stock  USD 57.93  0.21  0.36%   
Dow Inc holds a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.792. At this time, Dow's Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to climb to 0.54 in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 13.6 B in 2024. Dow's financial risk is the risk to Dow stockholders that is caused by an increase in debt. In other words, with a high degree of financial leverage come high-interest payments, which usually reduce Earnings Per Share (EPS).

Asset vs Debt

Equity vs Debt

Dow's liquidity is one of the most fundamental aspects of both its future profitability and its ability to meet different types of ongoing financial obligations. Dow's cash, liquid assets, total liabilities, and shareholder equity can be utilized to evaluate how much leverage the Company is using to sustain its current operations. For traders, higher-leverage indicators usually imply a higher risk to shareholders. In addition, it helps Dow Stock's retail investors understand whether an upcoming fall or rise in the market will negatively affect Dow's stakeholders.
For most companies, including Dow, marketable securities, inventories, and receivables are the most common assets that could be converted to cash. However, for the executing running Dow Inc the most critical issue when dealing with liquidity needs is whether the current assets are properly aligned with its current liabilities. If not, management will need to obtain alternative financing to ensure that there are always enough cash equivalents on the balance sheet in reserve to pay for obligations.
Price Book
2.2122
Book Value
26.495
Operating Margin
0.0318
Profit Margin
0.0132
Return On Assets
0.0278
At this time, Dow's Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year. Total Debt To Capitalization is likely to climb to 0.54 in 2024, whereas Long Term Debt is likely to drop slightly above 13.6 B in 2024.
  
Check out the analysis of Dow Fundamentals Over Time.
View Bond Profile
Given the importance of Dow's capital structure, the first step in the capital decision process is for the management of Dow to decide how much external capital it will need to raise to operate in a sustainable way. Once the amount of financing is determined, management needs to examine the financial markets to determine the terms in which the company can boost capital. This move is crucial to the process because the market environment may reduce the ability of Dow Inc to issue bonds at a reasonable cost.

Dow Financial Leverage Rating

Dow Inc bond ratings play a critical role in determining how much Dow have to pay to access credit markets, i.e., the amount of interest on their issued debt. The threshold between investment-grade and speculative-grade ratings has important market implications for Dow's borrowing costs.

Dow Inc Debt to Cash Allocation

As Dow Inc follows its natural business cycle, the capital allocation decisions will not magically go away. Dow's decision-makers have to determine if most of the cash flows will be poured back into or reinvested in the business, reserved for other projects beyond operational needs, or paid back to stakeholders and investors. Many companies eventually find out that there is only so much market out there to be conquered, and adding the next product or service is only half as profitable per unit as their current endeavors. Eventually, the company will reach a point where cash flows are strong, and extra cash is available but not fully utilized. In this case, the company may start buying back its stock from the public or issue more dividends.
The company has 16.45 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.79, which is OK given its current industry classification. Dow Inc has a current ratio of 1.58, which is typical for the industry and considered as normal. Debt can assist Dow until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Dow's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Dow Inc sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Dow to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Dow's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.

Dow Total Assets Over Time

Dow Assets Financed by Debt

Typically, companies with high debt-to-asset ratios are said to be highly leveraged. The higher the ratio, the greater risk will be associated with the Dow's operation. In addition, a high debt-to-assets ratio may indicate a low borrowing capacity of Dow, which in turn will lower the firm's financial flexibility. Like all other financial ratios, a a Dow debt ratio should be compared their industry average or other competing firms.

Dow Long Term Debt Total

Long Term Debt Total

14.13 Billion

At this time, Dow's Long Term Debt Total is fairly stable compared to the past year.

Understaning Dow Use of Financial Leverage

Dow financial leverage ratio helps in determining the effect of debt on the overall profitability of the company. It measures Dow's total debt position, including all of outstanding debt obligations, and compares it with the equity. In simple terms, the high financial leverage means the cost of production, together with running the business day-to-day, is high, whereas, lower financial leverage implies lower fixed cost investment in the business and generally considered by investors to be a good sign. So if creditors own a majority of Dow assets, the company is considered highly leveraged. Understanding the composition and structure of overall Dow debt and outstanding corporate bonds gives a good idea of how risky the capital structure of a business and if it is worth investing in it. Financial leverage can amplify the potential profits to Dow's owners, but it also increases the potential losses and risk of financial distress, including bankruptcy, if the firm cannot cover its debt costs. The degree of Dow's financial leverage can be measured in several ways, including by ratios such as the debt-to-equity ratio (total debt / total equity), equity multiplier (total assets / total equity), or the debt ratio (total debt / total assets).
Last ReportedProjected for 2024
Long Term Debt Total13.2 B14.1 B
Short Term Debt508 M482.6 M
Long Term Debt14 B13.6 B
Short and Long Term Debt179 M170.1 M
Short and Long Term Debt Total16.4 B14.7 B
Net Debt13.5 B11.7 B
Long Term Debt To Capitalization 0.46  0.38 
Total Debt To Capitalization 0.47  0.54 
Debt Equity Ratio 0.88  1.11 
Debt Ratio 0.28  0.22 
Cash Flow To Debt Ratio 0.32  0.21 
Please read more on our technical analysis page.

Dow Investors Sentiment

The influence of Dow's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Dow. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Dow's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dow. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dow can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dow Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dow's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Dow's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Dow's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Dow.

Dow Implied Volatility

    
  16.67  
Dow's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dow Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dow's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dow stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dow's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Dow in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Dow's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Dow options trading.

Pair Trading with Dow

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Dow position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Dow will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving against Dow Stock

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The ability to find closely correlated positions to Dow could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Dow when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Dow - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Dow Inc to buy it.
The correlation of Dow is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Dow moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Dow Inc moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Dow can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching
When determining whether Dow Inc is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dow's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dow's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dow Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out the analysis of Dow Fundamentals Over Time.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.

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When running Dow's price analysis, check to measure Dow's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dow is operating at the current time. Most of Dow's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dow's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dow's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dow to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Dow's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dow. If investors know Dow will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dow listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.59)
Dividend Share
2.8
Earnings Share
0.82
Revenue Per Share
63.231
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.10)
The market value of Dow Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dow that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dow's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dow's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dow's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dow's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dow's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dow is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dow's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.

What is Financial Leverage?

Financial leverage is the use of borrowed money (debt) to finance the purchase of assets with the expectation that the income or capital gain from the new asset will exceed the cost of borrowing. In most cases, the debt provider will limit how much risk it is ready to take and indicate a limit on the extent of the leverage it will allow. In the case of asset-backed lending, the financial provider uses the assets as collateral until the borrower repays the loan. In the case of a cash flow loan, the general creditworthiness of the company is used to back the loan. The concept of leverage is common in the business world. It is mostly used to boost the returns on equity capital of a company, especially when the business is unable to increase its operating efficiency and returns on total investment. Because earnings on borrowing are higher than the interest payable on debt, the company's total earnings will increase, ultimately boosting stockholders' profits.

Leverage and Capital Costs

The debt to equity ratio plays a role in the working average cost of capital (WACC). The overall interest on debt represents the break-even point that must be obtained to profitability in a given venture. Thus, WACC is essentially the average interest an organization owes on the capital it has borrowed for leverage. Let's say equity represents 60% of borrowed capital, and debt is 40%. This results in a financial leverage calculation of 40/60, or 0.6667. The organization owes 10% on all equity and 5% on all debt. That means that the weighted average cost of capital is (.4)(5) + (.6)(10) - or 8%. For every $10,000 borrowed, this organization will owe $800 in interest. Profit must be higher than 8% on the project to offset the cost of interest and justify this leverage.

Benefits of Financial Leverage

Leverage provides the following benefits for companies:
  • Leverage is an essential tool a company's management can use to make the best financing and investment decisions.
  • It provides a variety of financing sources by which the firm can achieve its target earnings.
  • Leverage is also an essential technique in investing as it helps companies set a threshold for the expansion of business operations. For example, it can be used to recommend restrictions on business expansion once the projected return on additional investment is lower than the cost of debt.
By borrowing funds, the firm incurs a debt that must be paid. But, this debt is paid in small installments over a relatively long period of time. This frees funds for more immediate use in the stock market. For example, suppose a company can afford a new factory but will be left with negligible free cash. In that case, it may be better to finance the factory and spend the cash on hand on inputs, labor, or even hold a significant portion as a reserve against unforeseen circumstances.

The Risk of Financial Leverage

The most obvious and apparent risk of leverage is that if price changes unexpectedly, the leveraged position can lead to severe losses. For example, imagine a hedge fund seeded by $50 worth of investor money. The hedge fund borrows another $50 and buys an asset worth $100, leading to a leverage ratio of 2:1. For the investor, this is neither good nor bad -- until the asset price changes. If the asset price goes up 10 percent, the investor earns $10 on $50 of capital, a net gain of 20 percent, and is very pleased with the increased gains from the leverage. However, if the asset price crashes unexpectedly, say by 30 percent, the investor loses $30 on $50 of capital, suffering a 60 percent loss. In other words, the effect of leverage is to increase the volatility of returns and increase the effects of a price change on the asset to the bottom line while increasing the chance for profit as well.