Caterpillar Earnings Estimate
CAT Stock | USD 366.43 1.78 0.49% |
Caterpillar |
Caterpillar Earnings Estimation Breakdown
The calculation of Caterpillar's earning per share is based on the data from the past 12 consecutive months, used for reporting the company's financial figures. The next projected EPS of Caterpillar is estimated to be 5.08 with the future projection ranging from a low of 4.42 to a high of 5.37. Please be aware that this consensus of annual earnings estimates for Caterpillar is based on EPS before non-recurring items and includes expenses related to employee stock options.Last Reported EPS
4.42 Lowest | Expected EPS | 5.37 Highest |
Caterpillar Earnings Projection Consensus
Suppose the current estimates of Caterpillar's value are higher than the current market price of the Caterpillar stock. In this case, investors may conclude that Caterpillar is overpriced and will exhibit bullish sentiment. On the other hand, if the present value is lower than the stock price, analysts may conclude that the market undervalues the equity. These scenarios may suggest that the market is not as efficient as it should be at the estimation time, and Caterpillar's stock will quickly adjusts to the new information provided by the consensus estimate.
Number of Analysts | Historical Accuracy | Last Reported EPS | Estimated EPS for 31st of March 2024 | Current EPS (TTM) | |
24 | 86.56% | 5.23 | 5.08 | 20.13 |
Caterpillar Earnings History
Earnings estimate consensus by Caterpillar analysts from Wall Street is used by the market to judge Caterpillar's stock performance. Investors also use these earnings estimates to evaluate and project the stock performance into the future in order to make their investment decisions. However, we recommend analyzing not only Caterpillar's upcoming profit reports and earnings-per-share forecasts but also comparing them to our different valuation methods.Caterpillar Quarterly Gross Profit |
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Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Caterpillar's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Caterpillar Earnings per Share Projection vs Actual
Actual Earning per Share of Caterpillar refers to what the company shows during its earnings calls or quarterly reports. The Expected EPS is what analysts covering Caterpillar predict the company's earnings will be in the future. The higher the earnings per share of Caterpillar, the better is its profitability. While calculating the Earning per Share, we use the weighted ratio, as the number of shares outstanding can change over time.Caterpillar Estimated Months Earnings per Share
For an investor who is primarily interested in generating an income out of investing in entities such as Caterpillar, the EPS ratio can tell if the company is intending to increase its current dividend. Although EPS is an essential tool for investors, it should not be used in isolation. EPS of Caterpillar should always be considered in relation to other companies to make a more educated investment decision.Caterpillar Quarterly Analyst Estimates and Surprise Metrics
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Caterpillar's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024-02-05 | 2023-12-31 | 4.75 | 5.23 | 0.48 | 10 | ||
2023-10-31 | 2023-09-30 | 4.79 | 5.52 | 0.73 | 15 | ||
2023-08-01 | 2023-06-30 | 4.58 | 5.55 | 0.97 | 21 | ||
2023-04-27 | 2023-03-31 | 3.78 | 4.91 | 1.13 | 29 | ||
2023-01-31 | 2022-12-31 | 4.02 | 4.27 | 0.25 | 6 | ||
2022-10-27 | 2022-09-30 | 3.16 | 3.95 | 0.79 | 25 | ||
2022-08-02 | 2022-06-30 | 3.01 | 3.18 | 0.17 | 5 | ||
2022-04-28 | 2022-03-31 | 2.6 | 2.88 | 0.28 | 10 | ||
2022-01-28 | 2021-12-31 | 2.26 | 2.69 | 0.43 | 19 | ||
2021-10-28 | 2021-09-30 | 2.2 | 2.66 | 0.46 | 20 | ||
2021-07-30 | 2021-06-30 | 2.4 | 2.6 | 0.2 | 8 | ||
2021-04-29 | 2021-03-31 | 1.94 | 2.87 | 0.93 | 47 | ||
2021-01-29 | 2020-12-31 | 1.49 | 2.12 | 0.63 | 42 | ||
2020-10-27 | 2020-09-30 | 1.18 | 1.34 | 0.16 | 13 | ||
2020-07-31 | 2020-06-30 | 0.64 | 1.03 | 0.39 | 60 | ||
2020-04-28 | 2020-03-31 | 1.69 | 1.6 | -0.09 | 5 | ||
2020-01-31 | 2019-12-31 | 2.37 | 2.63 | 0.26 | 10 | ||
2019-10-23 | 2019-09-30 | 2.88 | 2.66 | -0.22 | 7 | ||
2019-07-24 | 2019-06-30 | 3.12 | 2.83 | -0.29 | 9 | ||
2019-04-24 | 2019-03-31 | 2.85 | 2.94 | 0.09 | 3 | ||
2019-01-28 | 2018-12-31 | 2.99 | 2.55 | -0.44 | 14 | ||
2018-10-23 | 2018-09-30 | 2.85 | 2.86 | 0.01 | 0 | ||
2018-07-30 | 2018-06-30 | 2.73 | 2.97 | 0.24 | 8 | ||
2018-04-24 | 2018-03-31 | 2.13 | 2.82 | 0.69 | 32 | ||
2018-01-25 | 2017-12-31 | 1.79 | 2.16 | 0.37 | 20 | ||
2017-10-24 | 2017-09-30 | 1.27 | 1.95 | 0.68 | 53 | ||
2017-07-25 | 2017-06-30 | 1.26 | 1.49 | 0.23 | 18 | ||
2017-04-25 | 2017-03-31 | 0.62 | 1.28 | 0.66 | 106 | ||
2017-01-26 | 2016-12-31 | 0.66 | 0.83 | 0.17 | 25 | ||
2016-10-25 | 2016-09-30 | 0.76 | 0.85 | 0.09 | 11 | ||
2016-07-26 | 2016-06-30 | 0.96 | 1.09 | 0.13 | 13 | ||
2016-04-22 | 2016-03-31 | 0.68 | 0.67 | -0.01 | 1 | ||
2016-01-28 | 2015-12-31 | 0.69 | 0.74 | 0.05 | 7 | ||
2015-10-22 | 2015-09-30 | 0.78 | 0.75 | -0.03 | 3 | ||
2015-07-23 | 2015-06-30 | 1.27 | 1.27 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2015-04-23 | 2015-03-31 | 1.35 | 1.72 | 0.37 | 27 | ||
2015-01-27 | 2014-12-31 | 1.55 | 1.35 | -0.2 | 12 | ||
2014-10-23 | 2014-09-30 | 1.36 | 1.72 | 0.36 | 26 | ||
2014-07-24 | 2014-06-30 | 1.52 | 1.69 | 0.17 | 11 | ||
2014-04-24 | 2014-03-31 | 1.24 | 1.61 | 0.37 | 29 | ||
2014-01-27 | 2013-12-31 | 1.28 | 1.58 | 0.3 | 23 | ||
2013-10-23 | 2013-09-30 | 1.66 | 1.45 | -0.21 | 12 | ||
2013-07-24 | 2013-06-30 | 1.7 | 1.45 | -0.25 | 14 | ||
2013-04-22 | 2013-03-31 | 1.4 | 1.31 | -0.09 | 6 | ||
2013-01-28 | 2012-12-31 | 1.69 | 1.46 | -0.23 | 13 | ||
2012-10-22 | 2012-09-30 | 2.22 | 2.26 | 0.04 | 1 | ||
2012-07-25 | 2012-06-30 | 2.28 | 2.54 | 0.26 | 11 | ||
2012-04-25 | 2012-03-31 | 2.13 | 2.37 | 0.24 | 11 | ||
2012-01-26 | 2011-12-31 | 1.73 | 2.32 | 0.59 | 34 | ||
2011-10-24 | 2011-09-30 | 1.54 | 1.71 | 0.17 | 11 | ||
2011-07-22 | 2011-06-30 | 1.75 | 1.52 | -0.23 | 13 | ||
2011-04-29 | 2011-03-31 | 1.31 | 1.84 | 0.53 | 40 | ||
2011-01-27 | 2010-12-31 | 1.27 | 1.47 | 0.2 | 15 | ||
2010-10-21 | 2010-09-30 | 1.09 | 1.22 | 0.13 | 11 | ||
2010-07-22 | 2010-06-30 | 0.85 | 0.99 | 0.14 | 16 | ||
2010-04-26 | 2010-03-31 | 0.39 | 0.36 | -0.03 | 7 | ||
2010-01-27 | 2009-12-31 | 0.28 | 0.41 | 0.13 | 46 | ||
2009-10-20 | 2009-09-30 | 0.06 | 0.64 | 0.58 | 966 | ||
2009-07-21 | 2009-06-30 | 0.22 | 0.72 | 0.5 | 227 | ||
2009-04-21 | 2009-03-31 | 0.04 | 0.39 | 0.35 | 875 | ||
2009-01-26 | 2008-12-31 | 1.29 | 1.08 | -0.21 | 16 | ||
2008-10-21 | 2008-09-30 | 1.41 | 1.39 | -0.02 | 1 | ||
2008-07-22 | 2008-06-30 | 1.54 | 1.74 | 0.2 | 12 | ||
2008-04-18 | 2008-03-31 | 1.33 | 1.45 | 0.12 | 9 | ||
2008-01-25 | 2007-12-31 | 1.5 | 1.5 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2007-10-19 | 2007-09-30 | 1.43 | 1.4 | -0.03 | 2 | ||
2007-07-20 | 2007-06-30 | 1.49 | 1.24 | -0.25 | 16 | ||
2007-04-20 | 2007-03-31 | 1.09 | 1.23 | 0.14 | 12 | ||
2007-01-26 | 2006-12-31 | 1.34 | 1.32 | -0.02 | 1 | ||
2006-10-20 | 2006-09-30 | 1.35 | 1.14 | -0.21 | 15 | ||
2006-07-21 | 2006-06-30 | 1.42 | 1.52 | 0.1 | 7 | ||
2006-04-24 | 2006-03-31 | 1.05 | 1.2 | 0.15 | 14 | ||
2006-01-26 | 2005-12-31 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.1 | 9 | ||
2005-10-21 | 2005-09-30 | 1.06 | 0.94 | -0.12 | 11 | ||
2005-07-21 | 2005-06-30 | 1.01 | 1.08 | 0.07 | 6 | ||
2005-04-20 | 2005-03-31 | 0.68 | 0.82 | 0.14 | 20 | ||
2005-01-27 | 2004-12-31 | 0.82 | 0.78 | -0.04 | 4 | ||
2004-10-21 | 2004-09-30 | 0.68 | 0.71 | 0.03 | 4 | ||
2004-07-22 | 2004-06-30 | 0.87 | 0.78 | -0.09 | 10 | ||
2004-04-22 | 2004-03-31 | 0.35 | 0.58 | 0.23 | 65 | ||
2004-01-27 | 2003-12-31 | 0.47 | 0.49 | 0.02 | 4 | ||
2003-10-16 | 2003-09-30 | 0.37 | 0.31 | -0.06 | 16 | ||
2003-07-17 | 2003-06-30 | 0.33 | 0.57 | 0.24 | 72 | ||
2003-04-16 | 2003-03-31 | 0.13 | 0.19 | 0.06 | 46 | ||
2003-01-23 | 2002-12-31 | 0.34 | 0.44 | 0.1 | 29 | ||
2002-10-16 | 2002-09-30 | 0.28 | 0.31 | 0.03 | 10 | ||
2002-07-16 | 2002-06-30 | 0.36 | 0.29 | -0.07 | 19 | ||
2002-04-16 | 2002-03-31 | 0.12 | 0.12 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2002-01-23 | 2001-12-31 | 0.38 | 0.38 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
2001-10-16 | 2001-09-30 | 0.31 | 0.3 | -0.01 | 3 | ||
2001-07-17 | 2001-06-30 | 0.35 | 0.39 | 0.04 | 11 | ||
2001-04-17 | 2001-03-31 | 0.25 | 0.24 | -0.01 | 4 | ||
2001-01-18 | 2000-12-31 | 0.33 | 0.38 | 0.05 | 15 | ||
2000-10-17 | 2000-09-30 | 0.29 | 0.31 | 0.02 | 6 | ||
2000-07-20 | 2000-06-30 | 0.43 | 0.45 | 0.02 | 4 | ||
2000-04-18 | 2000-03-31 | 0.29 | 0.37 | 0.08 | 27 | ||
2000-01-21 | 1999-12-31 | 0.32 | 0.34 | 0.02 | 6 | ||
1999-10-15 | 1999-09-30 | 0.3 | 0.31 | 0.01 | 3 | ||
1999-07-16 | 1999-06-30 | 0.4 | 0.39 | -0.01 | 2 | ||
1999-04-16 | 1999-03-31 | 0.21 | 0.29 | 0.08 | 38 | ||
1999-01-20 | 1998-12-31 | 0.42 | 0.42 | 0.0 | 0 | ||
1998-10-16 | 1998-09-30 | 0.5 | 0.46 | -0.04 | 8 | ||
1998-07-15 | 1998-06-30 | 0.62 | 0.61 | -0.01 | 1 | ||
1998-04-17 | 1998-03-31 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.02 | 3 | ||
1998-01-21 | 1997-12-31 | 0.56 | 0.6 | 0.04 | 7 | ||
1997-10-15 | 1997-09-30 | 0.46 | 0.52 | 0.06 | 13 | ||
1997-07-22 | 1997-06-30 | 0.55 | 0.57 | 0.02 | 3 | ||
1997-04-15 | 1997-03-31 | 0.43 | 0.52 | 0.09 | 20 | ||
1997-01-21 | 1996-12-31 | 0.47 | 0.5 | 0.03 | 6 | ||
1996-10-15 | 1996-09-30 | 0.35 | 0.4 | 0.05 | 14 | ||
1996-07-16 | 1996-06-30 | 0.41 | 0.49 | 0.08 | 19 | ||
1996-04-16 | 1996-03-31 | 0.37 | 0.38 | 0.01 | 2 | ||
1996-01-17 | 1995-12-31 | 0.31 | 0.38 | 0.07 | 22 | ||
1995-10-16 | 1995-09-30 | 0.26 | 0.27 | 0.01 | 3 |
About Caterpillar Earnings Estimate
The earnings estimate module is a useful tool to check what professional financial analysts are assuming about the future of Caterpillar earnings. We show available consensus EPS estimates for the upcoming years and quarters. Investors can also examine how these consensus opinions have evolved historically. We show current Caterpillar estimates, future projections, as well as estimates 1, 2, and three years ago. Investors can search for a specific entity to conduct investment planning and build diversified portfolios. Please note, earnings estimates provided by Macroaxis are the average expectations of expert analysts that we track. If a given stock such as Caterpillar fails to match professional earnings estimates, it usually performs purely. Wall Street refers to that as a 'negative surprise.' If a company 'beats' future estimates, it's usually called an 'upside surprise.'
Please read more on our stock advisor page.Last Reported | Projected for 2024 | ||
Retained Earnings | 51.2 B | 53.8 B | |
Retained Earnings Total Equity | 50 B | 34 B | |
Price Earnings Ratio | 14.61 | 15.34 | |
Price Earnings To Growth Ratio | 0.25 | 0.26 |
Pair Trading with Caterpillar
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if Caterpillar position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in Caterpillar will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving against Caterpillar Stock
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0.73 | ZEVYW | Lightning EMotors | PairCorr |
0.72 | MNTX | Manitex International Downward Rally | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to Caterpillar could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace Caterpillar when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back Caterpillar - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Caterpillar to buy it.
The correlation of Caterpillar is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as Caterpillar moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Caterpillar moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for Caterpillar can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Caterpillar. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation. For more information on how to buy Caterpillar Stock please use our How to Invest in Caterpillar guide.Note that the Caterpillar information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Caterpillar's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the ETFs module to find actively traded Exchange Traded Funds (ETF) from around the world.
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Is Caterpillar's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Caterpillar. If investors know Caterpillar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Caterpillar listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.893 | Dividend Share 5.1 | Earnings Share 20.13 | Revenue Per Share 131.336 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.029 |
The market value of Caterpillar is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Caterpillar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Caterpillar's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Caterpillar's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Caterpillar's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Caterpillar's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Caterpillar's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Caterpillar is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Caterpillar's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.