Fast Ejendom Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

FED Stock  DKK 112.00  4.00  3.70%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fast Ejendom on the next trading day is expected to be 110.50 with a mean absolute deviation of  1.60  and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.48. Fast Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fast Ejendom stock prices and determine the direction of Fast Ejendom's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fast Ejendom's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fast Ejendom to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Fast Ejendom cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fast Ejendom's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fast Ejendom's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Fast Ejendom polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Fast Ejendom as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Fast Ejendom Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Fast Ejendom on the next trading day is expected to be 110.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.60, mean absolute percentage error of 4.18, and the sum of the absolute errors of 97.48.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Fast Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Fast Ejendom's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Fast Ejendom Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Fast EjendomFast Ejendom Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Fast Ejendom Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Fast Ejendom's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Fast Ejendom's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 108.41 and 112.60, respectively. We have considered Fast Ejendom's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
112.00
108.41
Downside
110.50
Expected Value
112.60
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Fast Ejendom stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Fast Ejendom stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria119.5417
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation1.598
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0144
SAESum of the absolute errors97.4752
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Fast Ejendom historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Fast Ejendom

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Fast Ejendom. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Fast Ejendom's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
109.91112.00114.09
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
109.41111.50113.59
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
106.27109.67113.07
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Fast Ejendom. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Fast Ejendom's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Fast Ejendom's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Fast Ejendom.

Other Forecasting Options for Fast Ejendom

For every potential investor in Fast, whether a beginner or expert, Fast Ejendom's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fast Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fast. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fast Ejendom's price trends.

Fast Ejendom Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fast Ejendom stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fast Ejendom could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fast Ejendom by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Fast Ejendom Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fast Ejendom's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fast Ejendom's current price.

Fast Ejendom Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fast Ejendom stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fast Ejendom shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fast Ejendom stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fast Ejendom entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Fast Ejendom Risk Indicators

The analysis of Fast Ejendom's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fast Ejendom's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fast stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fast Ejendom to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Fast Ejendom information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Fast Ejendom's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.

Complementary Tools for Fast Stock analysis

When running Fast Ejendom's price analysis, check to measure Fast Ejendom's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fast Ejendom is operating at the current time. Most of Fast Ejendom's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fast Ejendom's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fast Ejendom's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fast Ejendom to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Fast Ejendom's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fast Ejendom is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fast Ejendom's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.