Fortinet Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| FTNT Stock | USD 64.03 0.63 0.97% |
Fortinet Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Fortinet stock prices and determine the direction of Fortinet's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Fortinet's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Fortinet's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Fortinet's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Fortinet fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortinet to cross-verify your projections. Fortinet |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Fortinet Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Fortinet's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Fortinet's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Fortinet stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Fortinet's open interest, investors have to compare it to Fortinet's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Fortinet is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Fortinet. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Fortinet cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Fortinet's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Fortinet's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Fortinet is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Fortinet to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Fortinet trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 36960.79 | 67823.79 |
| Check Fortinet Volatility | Backtest Fortinet | Trend Details |
Fortinet Trading Date Momentum
| On May 18 2023 Fortinet was traded for 68.14 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 68.76 and the lowest listed price was 67.75 . The trading volume for the day was 4.6 M. The trading history from May 18, 2023 was a factor to the next trading day price decrease. The overall trading delta against the next closing price was 0.42% . The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 1.93% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
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Other Forecasting Options for Fortinet
For every potential investor in Fortinet, whether a beginner or expert, Fortinet's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Fortinet Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Fortinet. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Fortinet's price trends.Fortinet Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Fortinet stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Fortinet could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Fortinet by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Fortinet Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Fortinet's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Fortinet's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Fortinet Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Fortinet stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Fortinet shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Fortinet stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Fortinet entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Fortinet Risk Indicators
The analysis of Fortinet's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Fortinet's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting fortinet stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.59 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.87 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.99 | |||
| Variance | 3.95 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.68 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.5 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.76) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Fortinet Investors Sentiment
The influence of Fortinet's investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Fortinet. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Fortinet's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Fortinet. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Fortinet can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Fortinet. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Fortinet's market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Fortinet's and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Fortinet's news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Fortinet.
Fortinet Implied Volatility | 52.33 |
Fortinet's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Fortinet stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Fortinet's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Fortinet stock will not fluctuate a lot when Fortinet's options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Fortinet in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Fortinet's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Fortinet options trading.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Fortinet to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Fortinet Stock please use our How to Invest in Fortinet guide.You can also try the Sign In To Macroaxis module to sign in to explore Macroaxis' wealth optimization platform and fintech modules.
Complementary Tools for Fortinet Stock analysis
When running Fortinet's price analysis, check to measure Fortinet's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Fortinet is operating at the current time. Most of Fortinet's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Fortinet's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Fortinet's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Fortinet to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Fortinet's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Fortinet. If investors know Fortinet will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Fortinet listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.035 | Earnings Share 1.46 | Revenue Per Share 6.813 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.103 | Return On Assets 0.1146 |
The market value of Fortinet is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Fortinet that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Fortinet's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Fortinet's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Fortinet's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Fortinet's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Fortinet's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Fortinet is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Fortinet's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.