Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

AC
GCECX -- USA Fund  

USD 12.76  0.12  0.95%

Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ab Cap historical stock prices and determine the direction of Ab Cap Fund's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Ab Cap historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ab Cap to cross-verify your projections.

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Ab Cap polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ab Cap Fund as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ab Cap Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of July

Given 30 days horizon, the forecasted value of Ab Cap Fund on the next trading day is expected to be  12.44  with a mean absolute deviation of  0.18 , mean absolute percentage error of  0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of  10.84 
 12.44 

Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Ab Cap Forecasted Value

Market Value
12.76
3rd of July 2020
12.44
Expected Value
15.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2101
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1778
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0146
SAESum of the absolute errors10.8442
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ab Cap historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ab Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Cap Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
9.3812.7616.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
9.2412.6216.00
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
12.3912.6512.92
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Ab Cap

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Ab Cap Fund Technical and Predictive Analytics

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Ab Cap Risk Indicators

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ab Cap to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page