Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast - Polynomial Regression

GCECX -- USA Fund  

USD 12.76  0.12  0.95%

Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Ab Cap historical stock prices and determine the direction of Ab Cap Fund's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Ab Cap historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ab Cap to cross-verify your projections.

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Ab Cap polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Ab Cap Fund as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Ab Cap Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 4th of July

Given 30 days horizon, the forecasted value of Ab Cap Fund on the next trading day is expected to be  12.44  with a mean absolute deviation of  0.18 , mean absolute percentage error of  0.06 , and the sum of the absolute errors of  10.84 

Ab Cap Mutual Fund Forecast Pattern

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Ab Cap Forecasted Value

Market Value
3rd of July 2020
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria115.2101
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1778
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0146
SAESum of the absolute errors10.8442
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Ab Cap historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Ab Cap

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Ab Cap Fund. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
LowEstimated ValueHigh
LowReal ValueHigh
Band Projection (param)
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Other Forecasting Options for Ab Cap

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Please check Historical Fundamental Analysis of Ab Cap to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Performance Analysis module to check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation.
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