Philip Morris Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| PM Stock | USD 91.20 0.62 0.68% |
Philip Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Philip Morris stock prices and determine the direction of Philip Morris International's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Philip Morris' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Philip Morris' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Philip Morris' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Philip Morris fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Philip Morris to cross-verify your projections. Philip |
Open Interest Against 2024-04-19 Philip Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Philip Morris' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Philip Morris' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Philip Morris stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Philip Morris' open interest, investors have to compare it to Philip Morris' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Philip Morris is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Philip. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Philip Morris cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Philip Morris' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Philip Morris' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Philip Morris is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Philip Morris International to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Philip Morris trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 451449.0 | 633582.0 |
| Check Philip Morris Volatility | Backtest Philip Morris | Trend Details |
Philip Morris Trading Date Momentum
| On May 19 2022 Philip Morris International was traded for 90.26 at the closing time. The highest price during the trading period was 105.18 and the lowest recorded bid was listed for 90.26 . The volume for the day was 9.3 M. This history from May 19, 2022 contributed to the next trading day price decline. The trading delta at closing time to the next closing price was 5.35% . The trading delta at closing time to the current price is 8.12% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Philip Morris to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Philip Morris
For every potential investor in Philip, whether a beginner or expert, Philip Morris' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Philip Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Philip. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Philip Morris' price trends.Philip Morris Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Philip Morris stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Philip Morris could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Philip Morris by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Philip Morris Intern Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Philip Morris' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Philip Morris' current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Philip Morris Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Philip Morris stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Philip Morris shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Philip Morris stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Philip Morris International entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Philip Morris Risk Indicators
The analysis of Philip Morris' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Philip Morris' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting philip stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.7368 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.9442 | |||
| Variance | 0.8915 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Philip Morris Investors Sentiment
The influence of Philip Morris' investor sentiment on the probability of its price appreciation or decline could be a good factor in your decision-making process regarding taking a position in Philip. The overall investor sentiment generally increases the direction of a stock movement in a one-year investment horizon. However, the impact of investor sentiment on the entire stock market does not have solid backing from leading economists and market statisticians.
Investor biases related to Philip Morris' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Philip. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Philip can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Philip Morris International. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Philip Morris' market sentiment shows the aggregated news analyzed to detect positive and negative mentions from the text and comments. The data is normalized to provide daily scores for Philip Morris' and other traded tickers. The bigger the bubble, the more accurate is the estimated score. Higher bars for a given day show more participation in the average Philip Morris' news discussions. The higher the estimated score, the more favorable is the investor's outlook on Philip Morris.
Philip Morris Implied Volatility | 44.33 |
Philip Morris' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Philip Morris International stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Philip Morris' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Philip Morris stock will not fluctuate a lot when Philip Morris' options are near their expiration.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Philip Morris in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Philip Morris' short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Philip Morris options trading.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Philip Morris to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Complementary Tools for Philip Stock analysis
When running Philip Morris' price analysis, check to measure Philip Morris' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Philip Morris is operating at the current time. Most of Philip Morris' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Philip Morris' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Philip Morris' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Philip Morris to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Philip Morris' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Philip Morris. If investors know Philip will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Philip Morris listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.09) | Dividend Share 5.14 | Earnings Share 5.02 | Revenue Per Share 22.664 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.11 |
The market value of Philip Morris Intern is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Philip that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Philip Morris' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Philip Morris' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Philip Morris' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Philip Morris' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Philip Morris' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Philip Morris is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Philip Morris' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.