Freightcar America Stock Forecast - Accumulation Distribution
| RAIL Stock | USD 3.47 0.08 2.25% |
Freightcar Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Freightcar America stock prices and determine the direction of Freightcar America's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Freightcar America's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Although Freightcar America's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Freightcar America's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Freightcar America fundamentals over time.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freightcar America to cross-verify your projections. Freightcar |
Open Interest Against 2024-05-17 Freightcar Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Freightcar America's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Freightcar America's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Freightcar America stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Freightcar America's open interest, investors have to compare it to Freightcar America's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Freightcar America is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Freightcar. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Most investors in Freightcar America cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Freightcar America's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Freightcar America's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
The accumulation distribution (A/D) indicator shows the degree to which Freightcar America is accumulated by the market over a given period. It uses the quote sensitivity to the highest or lowest daily price of Freightcar America to determine if accumulation or reduction is taking place in the market. This value is adjusted by Freightcar America trading volume to give more weight to distributions with higher volume over lower volume.| Previous Accumulation Distribution | Accumulation Distribution | Trend |
| 324.37 | 948.67 |
| Check Freightcar America Volatility | Backtest Freightcar America | Information Ratio |
Freightcar America Trading Date Momentum
| On April 24 2024 Freightcar America was traded for 3.47 at the closing time. The top price for the day was 3.62 and the lowest listed price was 3.45 . The trading volume for the day was 20.2 K. The trading history from April 24, 2024 did not affect price variability. The overall trading delta against the current closing price is 2.31% . |
Accumulation distribution indicator can signal that a trend is either nearing completion, at a continuation, or is about to break-outs. The actual value of this indicator is of no significance. What is significant is the change in value of over time. The formula for A/D of a given trading day can be expressed as follow: ((Close - Low) - (High - Close)) / (High - Low) X Volume
| Compare Freightcar America to competition |
Other Forecasting Options for Freightcar America
For every potential investor in Freightcar, whether a beginner or expert, Freightcar America's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Freightcar Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Freightcar. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Freightcar America's price trends.Freightcar America Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Freightcar America stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Freightcar America could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Freightcar America by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Freightcar America Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Freightcar America's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Freightcar America's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Freightcar America Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Freightcar America stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Freightcar America shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Freightcar America stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Freightcar America entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Freightcar America Risk Indicators
The analysis of Freightcar America's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Freightcar America's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting freightcar stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.89 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.53 | |||
| Variance | 6.38 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.24 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.31) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Some investors attempt to determine whether the market's mood is bullish or bearish by monitoring changes in market sentiment. Unlike more traditional methods such as technical analysis, investor sentiment usually refers to the aggregate attitude towards Freightcar America in the overall investment community. So, suppose investors can accurately measure the market's sentiment. In that case, they can use it for their benefit. For example, some tools to gauge market sentiment could be utilized using contrarian indexes, Freightcar America's short interest history, or implied volatility extrapolated from Freightcar America options trading.
Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis
When determining whether Freightcar America is a strong investment it is important to analyze Freightcar America's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Freightcar America's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Freightcar Stock, refer to the following important reports:Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Freightcar America to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Freightcar Stock please use our How to buy in Freightcar Stock guide.You can also try the Pair Correlation module to compare performance and examine fundamental relationship between any two equity instruments.
Complementary Tools for Freightcar Stock analysis
When running Freightcar America's price analysis, check to measure Freightcar America's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Freightcar America is operating at the current time. Most of Freightcar America's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Freightcar America's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Freightcar America's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Freightcar America to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Freightcar America's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Freightcar America. If investors know Freightcar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Freightcar America listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.18) | Revenue Per Share 12.624 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) | Return On Assets 0.0368 | Return On Equity (5.44) |
The market value of Freightcar America is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Freightcar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Freightcar America's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Freightcar America's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Freightcar America's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Freightcar America's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Freightcar America's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Freightcar America is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Freightcar America's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.