Shanta Gold Pink Sheet Forecast - Polynomial Regression

SAAGF Stock  USD 0.12  0.00  0.00%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Shanta Gold Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of  0  and the sum of the absolute errors of 0. Shanta Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Shanta Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Shanta Gold Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Shanta Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanta Gold to cross-verify your projections.
  
Most investors in Shanta Gold cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Shanta Gold's time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Shanta Gold's price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Shanta Gold polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Shanta Gold Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Shanta Gold Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 20th of April

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Shanta Gold Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 0.12 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Shanta Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Shanta Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Shanta Gold Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Shanta Gold Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Shanta Gold's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Shanta Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.12 and 0.12, respectively. We have considered Shanta Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
0.12
0.12
Expected Value
0.12
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Shanta Gold pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Shanta Gold pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria49.3571
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0
SAESum of the absolute errors0.0
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Shanta Gold historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Shanta Gold

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Shanta Gold Limited. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Shanta Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.010.123.58
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.010.113.57
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Shanta Gold. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Shanta Gold's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Shanta Gold's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Shanta Gold Limited.

Other Forecasting Options for Shanta Gold

For every potential investor in Shanta, whether a beginner or expert, Shanta Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Shanta Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Shanta. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Shanta Gold's price trends.

Shanta Gold Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Shanta Gold pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Shanta Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Shanta Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Shanta Gold Limited Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Shanta Gold's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Shanta Gold's current price.

Shanta Gold Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Shanta Gold pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Shanta Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Shanta Gold pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Shanta Gold Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Shanta Gold to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Shanta Gold Limited information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Shanta Gold's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Earnings Calls module to check upcoming earnings announcements updated hourly across public exchanges.

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When running Shanta Gold's price analysis, check to measure Shanta Gold's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Shanta Gold is operating at the current time. Most of Shanta Gold's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Shanta Gold's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Shanta Gold's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Shanta Gold to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Shanta Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Shanta Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Shanta Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.