Storebrand Indeks Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

STIIAM Stock  DKK 1,795  4.60  0.26%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Storebrand Indeks on the next trading day is expected to be 1,801 with a mean absolute deviation of  7.12  and the sum of the absolute errors of 441.72. Storebrand Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Storebrand Indeks stock prices and determine the direction of Storebrand Indeks 's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Storebrand Indeks' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Check out fundamental analysis of Storebrand Indeks to check your projections.
  
Most investors in Storebrand Indeks cannot accurately predict what will happen the next trading day because, historically, stock markets tend to be unpredictable and even illogical. Modeling turbulent structures requires applying different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden data structures or patterns within the Storebrand Indeks' time series price data and predict how it will affect future prices. One of these methodologies is forecasting, which interprets Storebrand Indeks' price structures and extracts relationships that further increase the generated results' accuracy.
Storebrand Indeks polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Storebrand Indeks as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Storebrand Indeks Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 17th of April 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Storebrand Indeks on the next trading day is expected to be 1,801 with a mean absolute deviation of 7.12, mean absolute percentage error of 78.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 441.72.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Storebrand Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Storebrand Indeks' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Storebrand Indeks Stock Forecast Pattern

Storebrand Indeks Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Storebrand Indeks' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Storebrand Indeks' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 1,801 and 1,802, respectively. We have considered Storebrand Indeks' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1,795
1,801
Expected Value
1,802
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Storebrand Indeks stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Storebrand Indeks stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria124.3155
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation7.1246
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0041
SAESum of the absolute errors441.7232
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Storebrand Indeks historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Storebrand Indeks

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Storebrand Indeks. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Storebrand Indeks' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
1,7941,7951,796
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
1,7521,7531,974
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Storebrand Indeks. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Storebrand Indeks' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Storebrand Indeks' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Storebrand Indeks.

Other Forecasting Options for Storebrand Indeks

For every potential investor in Storebrand, whether a beginner or expert, Storebrand Indeks' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Storebrand Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Storebrand. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Storebrand Indeks' price trends.

Storebrand Indeks Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Storebrand Indeks stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Storebrand Indeks could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Storebrand Indeks by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Storebrand Indeks Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Storebrand Indeks' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Storebrand Indeks' current price.

Storebrand Indeks Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Storebrand Indeks stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Storebrand Indeks shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Storebrand Indeks stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Storebrand Indeks entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Storebrand Indeks Risk Indicators

The analysis of Storebrand Indeks' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Storebrand Indeks' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting storebrand stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Check out fundamental analysis of Storebrand Indeks to check your projections.
Note that the Storebrand Indeks information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Storebrand Indeks' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Bollinger Bands module to use Bollinger Bands indicator to analyze target price for a given investing horizon.

Complementary Tools for Storebrand Stock analysis

When running Storebrand Indeks' price analysis, check to measure Storebrand Indeks' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Storebrand Indeks is operating at the current time. Most of Storebrand Indeks' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Storebrand Indeks' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Storebrand Indeks' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Storebrand Indeks to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Stocks Directory
Find actively traded stocks across global markets
Analyst Advice
Analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Equity Valuation
Check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data
Portfolio Optimization
Compute new portfolio that will generate highest expected return given your specified tolerance for risk
Investing Opportunities
Build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences
Portfolio Volatility
Check portfolio volatility and analyze historical return density to properly model market risk
Please note, there is a significant difference between Storebrand Indeks' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Storebrand Indeks is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Storebrand Indeks' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.