Tilak Ventures Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction

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TILAK -- India Stock  

INR 2.03  0.00  0.00%

Tilak Ventures Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Tilak Ventures historical stock prices and determine the direction of Tilak Ventures Limited's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. However, solely looking at the historical price movement is usually misleading. Macroaxis recommends to always use this module together with analysis of Tilak Ventures historical fundamentals such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns. Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tilak Ventures to cross-verify your projections.

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A naive forecasting model for Tilak Ventures is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Tilak Ventures Limited value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Tilak Ventures Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 4th of July

Given 30 days horizon, the forecasted value of Tilak Ventures Limited on the next trading day is expected to be  2.14  with a mean absolute deviation of  0.07 , mean absolute percentage error of  0.006753 , and the sum of the absolute errors of  4.12 

Tilak Ventures Stock Forecast Pattern

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Tilak Ventures Forecasted Value

Market Value
3rd of July 2020
Expected Value

Model Predictive Factors

AICAkaike Information Criteria113.1127
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.0675
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0437
SAESum of the absolute errors4.1157
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Tilak Ventures Limited. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Tilak Ventures. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Tilak Ventures

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Tilak Ventures. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
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Band Projection (param)
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Other Forecasting Options for Tilak Ventures

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Tilak Ventures Technical and Predictive Analytics

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Tilak Ventures Risk Indicators

Current Sentiment - TILAK

Tilak Ventures Investor Sentiment

Macroaxis portfolio users are evenly split in their outlook on investing in Tilak Ventures Limited. What is your outlook on investing in Tilak Ventures Limited? Are you bullish or bearish?
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Additionally, take a look at Historical Fundamental Analysis of Tilak Ventures to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Transaction History module to view history of all your transactions and understand their impact on performance.
Macroaxis is not a registered investment advisor or broker/dealer. All investments, including stocks, funds, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies, are speculative and involve substantial risk of loss. We encourage our investors to invest carefully. Much of our information is derived directly from data published by companies or submitted to governmental agencies which we believe are reliable, but are without our independent verification. Therefore, we cannot assure you that the information is accurate or complete. We do not in any way warrant or guarantee the success of any action you take in reliance on our statements or recommendations. Also, note that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. All investments carry risk, and all investment decisions of an individual remain the responsibility of that individual. There is no guarantee that systems, indicators, or signals will result in profits or that they will not result in losses. All investors are advised to fully understand all risks associated with any investing they choose to do. Hypothetical or simulated performance is not indicative of future results. We make no representations or warranties that any investor will, or is likely to, achieve profits similar to those shown because hypothetical or simulated performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. For more information please visit our terms and condition page