Controladora Vuela (Germany) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

2CDA -- Germany Stock  

EUR 5.23  0.00  0.00%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Controladora Vuela hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V from the prospective of Controladora Vuela response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Controladora Vuela over a specific investment horizon. Check also Controladora Vuela Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Controladora Vuela After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Controladora Vuela Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

December 14, 2018
5.23
Current Value
5.05
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
13.12
Upside
Controladora Vuela is unusually risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Controladora Vuela is based on 2 months time horizon.

Controladora Vuela Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.41% 2.69% 0.18%  0.16% 1 Events / Month8 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
5.235.053.44%
625.58% 

Controladora Vuela Hype Timeline

Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V is presently traded for 5.23on Frankfurt Stock Exchange of Germany. This company has historical hype elasticity of -0.18 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.16. Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 5.05. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 625.58%. The price drop on the next news is expected to be -3.44% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.41%. The volatility of related hype on Controladora Vuela is about 696.35% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.39. The company has Price-to-Book (P/B) ratio of 1.19. In the past many companies with similar price-to-book ratios have beat the market. Controladora Vuela Compaa de Aviacin S A B de C V has Price/Earnings (P/E) ratio of 164.54. This company recorded loss per share of 0.34. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check also Controladora Vuela Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Controladora Vuela Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Southwest Airlines Co(0.16) 5 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.47 (3.94)  14.04 
International Consolidated Airlines Group S A 0.28 8 per month 0.00 (0.0132)  3.61 (4.22)  15.02 
American Airlines Group 1.33 5 per month 0.00 (0.09)  5.56 (5.88)  14.70 
Deutsche Lufthansa Aktiengesellschaft(0.45) 2 per month 0.00 (0.0199)  3.74 (3.84)  14.64 
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited(0.037) 4 per month 3.21  0.05  4.93 (5.36)  19.26 
Alaska Air Group 2.07 5 per month 0.00 (0.0373)  3.85 (4.06)  13.33 
easyJet plc 0.57 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  5.50 (5.41)  14.87 
Qantas Airways Limited 0.01 3 per month 2.35  0.0172  3.58 (3.82)  8.34 
Cathay Pacific Airways Limited 0.00 3 per month 1.70  0.05  4.31 (3.33)  9.80 
Air France KLM SA 0.25 7 per month 3.46  0.06  4.95 (5.36)  16.65 

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Check also Controladora Vuela Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Reporting module to create custom reports across your portfolios and generate quick suggestion pitch.
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