American Airlines Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAL -- USA Stock  

USD 36.00  0.53  1.49%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Airlines Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Airlines Group from the prospective of American Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Check also Trending Equities.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 20, 2019
36.00
Current Value
0.00
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
0.00
Upside
American Airlines is Unknown risk asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines is based on 2 months time horizon.

American Airlines Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.53% 3.56% 0.75%  0.31% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.000.000.00%
250.70% 

American Airlines Hype Timeline

On 20 of February American Airlines is traded for 36.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.75 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.31. American Airlines Group is estimated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 250.7%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.53%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Airlines is about 611.52%%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 611.52% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 36.31. About 40.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.32. American Airlines last dividend was issued on Februaryruary 5, 2019. The entity had 0:1 split on 2013-12-09. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also Trending Equities.

American Airlines Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Hawaiian Holdings 2.41 9 per month 3.00  0.0198  5.36 (4.59)  14.79 
American Airlines Group 1.42 7 per month 2.83  0.0389  6.35 (4.13)  20.12 
Alaska Air Group 0.44 8 per month 1.85  0.0487  3.23 (3.06)  14.43 
Avianca Holdings S A 0.0411 6 per month 2.62 (0.021)  5.67 (3.73)  10.78 
China Eastern Airlines Corporation Limited(0.09) 7 per month 2.21  0.016  3.63 (4.11)  8.99 
Copa Holdings S A 0.27 10 per month 1.65  0.16  4.70 (3.36)  9.21 
Delta Air Lines 0.78 10 per month 0.00 (0.13)  4.25 (3.11)  17.42 
GOL Linhas Areas Inteligentes S A 0.09 7 per month 3.13  0.18  6.05 (4.94)  14.33 
LATAM Airlines Group S A(0.52) 4 per month 1.10  0.17  3.63 (2.36)  10.01 
Southwest Airlines Co 0.98 8 per month 1.58  0.1  4.93 (3.37)  12.28 

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