American Airlines Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAL -- USA Stock  

USD 42.03  0.52  1.25%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring American Airlines headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Airlines Group brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Airlines hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Airlines Group from the prospective of American Airlines response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Airlines over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Airlines After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

American Airlines Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

June 20, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
American Airlines is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Airlines Group is based on 1 month time horizon.

American Airlines Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.21% 1.69% 0.19%  0.01% 5 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

American Airlines Hype Timeline

On 20 of June American Airlines Group is traded for 42.03. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.19 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. American Airlines Group is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 42.22. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 185.71%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 0.45% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.21%. The volatility of related hype on American Airlines is about 2864.41% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 42.04. The company reported last year revenue of 42.79 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.76 B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 31.12 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Airlines Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Hawaiian Holdings(1.25) 4 per month 2.50  0.0156  2.15 (4.28)  6.61 
American Airlines Group 0.91 5 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.44 (2.94)  6.04 
Alaska Air Group(0.46) 4 per month 0.60  0.33  2.48 (1.03)  5.44 
Delta Air Lines 0.53 6 per month 0.00 (0.003)  1.87 (1.86)  5.64 
Southwest Airlines Co(0.08) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0079)  1.77 (2.59)  5.81 
United Continental Holdings 1.32 6 per month 1.22  0.20  1.72 (2.00)  5.09 
JetBlue Airways Corporation 0.21 6 per month 0.00 (0.0305)  1.94 (1.31)  3.29 
Chevron Corporation(0.56) 4 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.90 (1.95)  5.06 
JPMorgan Chase Co(0.29) 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.28 (1.76)  5.04 
Cisco Systems 0.26 4 per month 0.63  0.0028  1.55 (0.98)  3.60 

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Check also American Airlines Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try CEO Directory module to screen ceos from public companies around the world.