Apple Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AAPL -- USA Stock  

USD 191.88  1.48  0.78%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Apple headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Apple brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Apple hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Apple from the prospective of Apple response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Apple over a specific investment horizon. Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Apple After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Apple Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 20, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Apple is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Apple is based on 1 month time horizon.

Apple Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.13% 0.95% 0.03%  0.07% 5 Events / Month3 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Apple Hype Timeline

Apple is presently traded for191.88. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Apple is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 191.91. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 380.0%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.13%. The volatility of related hype on Apple is about 164.93% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 191.95. The company reported previous year revenue of 247.42 B. Net Income was 53.32 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 88.19 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Apple Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Apple 0.25 5 per month 0.73 (0.0047)  1.39 (1.49)  2.98 
HP 0.40 5 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.04 (2.98)  5.53 
Costco Wholesale Corporation 0.71 7 per month 0.00  0.09  1.20 (0.78)  2.24 
Pfizer(0.11) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0279)  0.83 (0.59)  2.02 
Exxon Mobil Corporation 0.09 7 per month 0.91 (0.08)  1.33 (1.28)  4.14 
The Home Depot 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
The Boeing Company 3.79 5 per month 1.15  0.0288  1.59 (1.89)  4.07 
The Walt Disney Company 0.38 4 per month 0.56  0.11  1.62 (1.22)  2.77 
ATT(0.21) 5 per month 0.00 (0.30)  1.55 (1.74)  3.64 
The Travelers Companies 0.46 6 per month 0.00 (0.21)  1.23 (2.47)  2.47 

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Check also Apple Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Price Ceiling Movement module to calculate and plot price ceiling movement for different equity instruments.