Adobe Systems Incorporated Stock Volatility

ADBE Stock  USD 465.02  8.16  1.72%   
Adobe Systems rporated secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of -0.14, which signifies that the company had a -0.14% return per unit of risk over the last 3 months. Adobe Systems Incorporated exposes twenty-two different technical indicators, which can help you to evaluate volatility embedded in its price movement. Please confirm Adobe Systems' Mean Deviation of 1.53, risk adjusted performance of (0.07), and Standard Deviation of 2.52 to double-check the risk estimate we provide. Key indicators related to Adobe Systems' volatility include:
30 Days Market Risk
Chance Of Distress
30 Days Economic Sensitivity
Adobe Systems Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of Adobe daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use Adobe's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of Adobe Systems volatility.
  

ESG Sustainability

While most ESG disclosures are voluntary, Adobe Systems' sustainability indicators can be used to identify proper investment strategies using environmental, social, and governance scores that are crucial to Adobe Systems' managers and investors.
Environment Score
Governance Score
Social Score
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as Adobe Systems can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of Adobe Systems at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase Adobe stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of Adobe Systems' stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.

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Adobe Systems Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk

Adobe Systems' beta coefficient measures the volatility of Adobe stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents Adobe stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, Adobe Systems's beta of 1.04 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk Adobe Systems stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. Adobe Systems Incorporated exhibits very low volatility with skewness of -2.48 and kurtosis of 11.98. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure Adobe Systems' stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact Adobe Systems' stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze Adobe Systems rporated Demand Trend
Check current 90 days Adobe Systems correlation with market (NYSE Composite)

Adobe Beta

    
  1.04  
Adobe standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.

Standard Deviation

    
  2.56  
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by Adobe Systems's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of Adobe Systems' daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in adobe stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in Adobe Systems.

Using Adobe Put Option to Manage Risk

Put options written on Adobe Systems grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of Adobe Systems at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of Adobe Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge Adobe Systems' position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding Adobe Systems will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.

Adobe Systems' PUT expiring on 2024-04-19

   Profit   
       Adobe Systems Price At Expiration  

Current Adobe Systems Insurance Chain

DeltaGammaOpen IntExpirationCurrent SpreadLast Price
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $635.0-0.89590.001812024-04-19157.0 - 166.4158.61View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $630.0-0.90660.001842024-04-19152.8 - 160.6153.7View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $625.0-0.90510.001842024-04-19147.8 - 155.6154.05View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $620.0-0.8910.001922024-04-19142.15 - 151.4135.2View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $615.0-0.94860.001572024-04-19137.0 - 146.2143.25View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $610.0-0.89920.00282024-04-19132.0 - 141.55140.65View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $605.0-0.91260.0021202024-04-19127.45 - 135.6134.8View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $600.0-0.8980.00222122024-04-19122.9 - 130.5123.06View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $595.0-0.88080.002352024-04-19117.0 - 126.4117.94View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $590.0-0.9050.002352024-04-19112.3 - 121.5119.9View
Put
2024-04-19 PUT at $585.0-0.89140.0024292024-04-19108.0 - 115.5108.05View
View All Adobe Systems Options

Adobe Systems rporated Stock Volatility Analysis

Volatility refers to the frequency at which Adobe Systems stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with Adobe Systems' price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of Adobe Systems' stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of Adobe Systems' volatility:

Historical Volatility

This type of stock volatility measures Adobe Systems' fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict Adobe Systems' future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.

Implied Volatility

This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for Adobe Systems' current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on Adobe Systems' to be redeemed at a future date.
Transformation
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. Adobe Systems rporated Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.

Adobe Systems Projected Return Density Against Market

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the stock has the beta coefficient of 1.0376 . This suggests Adobe Systems Incorporated market returns are highly-sensitive to returns on the market. As the market goes up or down, Adobe Systems is expected to follow.
Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to Adobe Systems or Software sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that Adobe Systems' price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a Adobe stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
Adobe Systems Incorporated has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite.
   Predicted Return Density   
       Returns  
Adobe Systems' volatility is measured either by using standard deviation or beta. Standard deviation will reflect the average amount of how adobe stock's price will differ from the mean after some time.To get its calculation, you should first determine the mean price during the specified period then subtract that from each price point.

What Drives an Adobe Systems Price Volatility?

Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:

Industry

Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.

Political and Economic environment

When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.

The Company's Performance

Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.

Adobe Systems Stock Risk Measures

Given the investment horizon of 90 days the coefficient of variation of Adobe Systems is -715.02. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 6.55 and standard deviation of 2.56. The mean deviation of Adobe Systems Incorporated is currently at 1.55. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α
Alpha over NYSE Composite
-0.39
β
Beta against NYSE Composite1.04
σ
Overall volatility
2.56
Ir
Information ratio -0.15

Adobe Systems Stock Return Volatility

Adobe Systems historical daily return volatility represents how much of Adobe Systems stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The firm inherits 2.5597% risk (volatility on return distribution) over the 90 days horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6179% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon.
 Performance 
       Timeline  

About Adobe Systems Volatility

Volatility is a rate at which the price of Adobe Systems or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of Adobe Systems may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to Adobe's beta indicator, it measures the risk of Adobe Systems and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of Adobe Systems fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Selling And Marketing Expenses6.2 B6.5 B
Market Cap6.9 B7.2 B
Adobe Systems' stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on Adobe Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much Adobe Systems' price varies over time.

3 ways to utilize Adobe Systems' volatility to invest better

Higher Adobe Systems' stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of Adobe Systems rporated stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. Adobe Systems rporated stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:
  • Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of Adobe Systems rporated investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
  • Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in Adobe Systems' stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
  • Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of Adobe Systems' stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
Remember it's essential to remember that stock volatility is just one of many factors to consider when making investment decisions, and it should be used in conjunction with other fundamental and technical analysis tools.

Adobe Systems Investment Opportunity

Adobe Systems Incorporated has a volatility of 2.56 and is 4.13 times more volatile than NYSE Composite. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of Adobe Systems Incorporated is lower than 22 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use Adobe Systems Incorporated to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a somewhat bearish sentiment, but the market may correct it shortly. Check odds of Adobe Systems to be traded at $451.07 in 90 days.

Modest diversification

The correlation between Adobe Systems Incorporated and NYA is 0.25 (i.e., Modest diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding Adobe Systems Incorporated and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.

Adobe Systems Additional Risk Indicators

The analysis of Adobe Systems' secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Adobe Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of Adobe Systems stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Adobe Systems Suggested Diversification Pairs

Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against Adobe Systems as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. Adobe Systems' systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, Adobe Systems' unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to Adobe Systems Incorporated.
When determining whether Adobe Systems rporated is a strong investment it is important to analyze Adobe Systems' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Adobe Systems' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Adobe Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Adobe Systems Incorporated. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in bureau of labor statistics.
Note that the Adobe Systems rporated information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Adobe Systems' statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Options Analysis module to analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios.

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When running Adobe Systems' price analysis, check to measure Adobe Systems' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Adobe Systems is operating at the current time. Most of Adobe Systems' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Adobe Systems' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Adobe Systems' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Adobe Systems to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Adobe Systems' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Adobe Systems. If investors know Adobe will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Adobe Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.50)
Earnings Share
10.48
Revenue Per Share
43.762
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.113
Return On Assets
0.1572
The market value of Adobe Systems rporated is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Adobe that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Adobe Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Adobe Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Adobe Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Adobe Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Adobe Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Adobe Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Adobe Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.