American Equity Investment Stock Volatility
| AEL Stock | USD 55.99 0.26 0.46% |
We consider American Equity very steady. American Equity Inve secures Sharpe Ratio (or Efficiency) of 0.0872, which signifies that the company had a 0.0872% return per unit of standard deviation over the last 3 months. We have found twenty-nine technical indicators for American Equity Investment, which you can use to evaluate the volatility of the firm. Please confirm American Equity's risk adjusted performance of 0.0427, and Mean Deviation of 0.2257 to double-check if the risk estimate we provide is consistent with the expected return of 0.0263%. Key indicators related to American Equity's volatility include:
180 Days Market Risk | Chance Of Distress | 180 Days Economic Sensitivity |
American Equity Stock volatility depicts how high the prices fluctuate around the mean (or its average) price. In other words, it is a statistical measure of the distribution of American daily returns, and it is calculated using variance and standard deviation. We also use American's beta, its sensitivity to the market, as well as its odds of financial distress to provide a more practical estimation of American Equity volatility.
American |
Since volatility provides investors with entry points to take advantage of stock prices, companies, such as American Equity can benefit from it. Downward market volatility can be a perfect environment for investors who play the long game. Here, they may decide to buy additional stocks of American Equity at lower prices. For example, an investor can purchase American stock that has halved in price over a short period. This will lower your average cost per share, thereby improving your portfolio's performance when the markets normalize. Similarly, when the prices of American Equity's stock rises, investors can sell out and invest the proceeds in other equities with better opportunities. Investing when markets are volatile with better valuations will accord both investors and companies the opportunity to generate better long-term returns.
Moving together with American Stock
Moving against American Stock
| 0.77 | FLFG | Federal Life Group | PairCorr |
| 0.75 | CIA | Citizens | PairCorr |
| 0.61 | KCLI | Kansas City Life Earnings Call Tomorrow | PairCorr |
| 0.54 | PUK | Prudential Public | PairCorr |
| 0.51 | ABLLW | Abacus Life Symbol Change | PairCorr |
American Equity Market Sensitivity And Downside Risk
American Equity's beta coefficient measures the volatility of American stock compared to the systematic risk of the entire market represented by your selected benchmark. In mathematical terms, beta represents the slope of the line through a regression of data points where each of these points represents American stock's returns against your selected market. In other words, American Equity's beta of 0.27 provides an investor with an approximation of how much risk American Equity stock can potentially add to one of your existing portfolios. American Equity Investment exhibits very low volatility with skewness of 0.28 and kurtosis of 0.51. Understanding different market volatility trends often help investors to time the market. Properly using volatility indicators enable traders to measure American Equity's stock risk against market volatility during both bullish and bearish trends. The higher level of volatility that comes with bear markets can directly impact American Equity's stock price while adding stress to investors as they watch their shares' value plummet. This usually forces investors to rebalance their portfolios by buying different financial instruments as prices fall.
3 Months Beta |Analyze American Equity Inve Demand TrendCheck current 90 days American Equity correlation with market (NYSE Composite)American Beta |
American standard deviation measures the daily dispersion of prices over your selected time horizon relative to its mean. A typical volatile entity has a high standard deviation, while the deviation of a stable instrument is usually low. As a downside, the standard deviation calculates all uncertainty as risk, even when it is in your favor, such as above-average returns.
Standard Deviation | 0.3 |
It is essential to understand the difference between upside risk (as represented by American Equity's standard deviation) and the downside risk, which can be measured by semi-deviation or downside deviation of American Equity's daily returns or price. Since the actual investment returns on holding a position in american stock tend to have a non-normal distribution, there will be different probabilities for losses than for gains. The likelihood of losses is reflected in the downside risk of an investment in American Equity.
Using American Put Option to Manage Risk
Put options written on American Equity grant holders of the option the right to sell a specified amount of American Equity at a specified price within a specified time frame. The put buyer has a limited loss and, while not fully unlimited gains, as the price of American Stock cannot fall below zero, the put buyer does gain as the price drops. So, one way investors can hedge American Equity's position is by buying a put option against it. The put option used this way is usually referred to as insurance. If an undesired outcome occurs and loss on holding American Equity will be realized, the loss incurred will be offset by the profits made with the option trade.
American Equity's PUT expiring on 2024-05-17
Profit |
| American Equity Price At Expiration |
Current American Equity Insurance Chain
| Delta | Gamma | Open Int | Expiration | Current Spread | Last Price | |||
Put | 2024-05-17 PUT at $55.0 | -0.4573 | 0.1425 | 32 | 2024-05-17 | 0.0 - 4.8 | 1.0 | View |
American Equity Inve Stock Volatility Analysis
Volatility refers to the frequency at which American Equity stock price increases or decreases within a specified period. These fluctuations usually indicate the level of risk that's associated with American Equity's price changes. Investors will then calculate the volatility of American Equity's stock to predict their future moves. A stock that has erratic price changes quickly hits new highs, and lows are considered highly volatile. A stock with relatively stable price changes has low volatility. A highly volatile stock is riskier, but the risk cuts both ways. Investing in highly volatile security can either be highly successful, or you may experience significant failure. There are two main types of American Equity's volatility:
Historical Volatility
This type of stock volatility measures American Equity's fluctuations based on previous trends. It's commonly used to predict American Equity's future behavior based on its past. However, it cannot conclusively determine the future direction of the stock.Implied Volatility
This type of volatility provides a positive outlook on future price fluctuations for American Equity's current market price. This means that the stock will return to its initially predicted market price. This type of volatility can be derived from derivative instruments written on American Equity's to be redeemed at a future date.Transformation |
The output start index for this execution was zero with a total number of output elements of sixty-one. American Equity Inve Average Price is the average of the sum of open, high, low and close daily prices of a bar. It can be used to smooth an indicator that normally takes just the closing price as input.
American Equity Projected Return Density Against Market
Considering the 90-day investment horizon American Equity has a beta of 0.2678 . This suggests as returns on the market go up, American Equity average returns are expected to increase less than the benchmark. However, during the bear market, the loss on holding American Equity Investment will be expected to be much smaller as well.Most traded equities are subject to two types of risk - systematic (i.e., market) and unsystematic (i.e., nonmarket or company-specific) risk. Unsystematic risk is the risk that events specific to American Equity or Insurance sector will adversely affect the stock's price. This type of risk can be diversified away by owning several different stocks in different industries whose stock prices have shown a small correlation to each other. On the other hand, systematic risk is the risk that American Equity's price will be affected by overall stock market movements and cannot be diversified away. So, no matter how many positions you have, you cannot eliminate market risk. However, you can measure a American stock's historical response to market movements and buy it if you are comfortable with its volatility direction. Beta and standard deviation are two commonly used measures to help you make the right decision.
American Equity Investment has a negative alpha, implying that the risk taken by holding this instrument is not justified. The company is significantly underperforming the NYSE Composite. Predicted Return Density |
| Returns |
What Drives an American Equity Price Volatility?
Several factors can influence a stock's market volatility:Industry
Specific events can influence volatility within a particular industry. For instance, a significant weather upheaval in a crucial oil-production site may cause oil prices to increase in the oil sector. The direct result will be the rise in the stock price of oil distribution companies. Similarly, any government regulation in a specific industry could negatively influence stock prices due to increased regulations on compliance that may impact the company's future earnings and growth.Political and Economic environment
When governments make significant decisions regarding trade agreements, policies, and legislation regarding specific industries, they will influence stock prices. Everything from speeches to elections may influence investors, who can directly influence the stock prices in any particular industry. The prevailing economic situation also plays a significant role in stock prices. When the economy is doing well, investors will have a positive reaction and hence, better stock prices and vice versa.The Company's Performance
Sometimes volatility will only affect an individual company. For example, a revolutionary product launch or strong earnings report may attract many investors to purchase the company. This positive attention will raise the company's stock price. In contrast, product recalls and data breaches may negatively influence a company's stock prices.American Equity Stock Risk Measures
Considering the 90-day investment horizon the coefficient of variation of American Equity is 1146.87. The daily returns are distributed with a variance of 0.09 and standard deviation of 0.3. The mean deviation of American Equity Investment is currently at 0.24. For similar time horizon, the selected benchmark (NYSE Composite) has volatility of 0.62
α | Alpha over NYSE Composite | -0.0074 | |
β | Beta against NYSE Composite | 0.27 | |
σ | Overall volatility | 0.30 | |
Ir | Information ratio | -0.24 |
American Equity Stock Return Volatility
American Equity historical daily return volatility represents how much of American Equity stock's daily returns swing around its mean - it is a statistical measure of its dispersion of returns. The company has volatility of 0.3016% on return distribution over 90 days investment horizon. By contrast, NYSE Composite accepts 0.6372% volatility on return distribution over the 90 days horizon. Performance |
| Timeline |
About American Equity Volatility
Volatility is a rate at which the price of American Equity or any other equity instrument increases or decreases for a given set of returns. It is measured by calculating the standard deviation of the annualized returns over a given period of time and shows the range to which the price of American Equity may increase or decrease. In other words, similar to American's beta indicator, it measures the risk of American Equity and helps estimate the fluctuations that may happen in a short period of time. So if prices of American Equity fluctuate rapidly in a short time span, it is termed to have high volatility, and if it swings slowly in a more extended period, it is understood to have low volatility.
Please read more on our technical analysis page.| Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
| Market Cap | 3.7 B | 3.9 B |
American Equity's stock volatility refers to the amount of uncertainty or risk involved with the size of changes in its stock's price. It is a statistical measure of the dispersion of returns on American Stock over a specified period of time, often expressed as the standard deviation of daily returns. In other words, it measures how much American Equity's price varies over time.
3 ways to utilize American Equity's volatility to invest better
Higher American Equity's stock volatility means that the price of its stock is changing rapidly and unpredictably, while lower stock volatility indicates that the price of American Equity Inve stock is relatively stable. Investors and traders use stock volatility as an indicator of risk and potential reward, as stocks with higher volatility can offer the potential for more significant returns but also come with a greater risk of losses. American Equity Inve stock volatility can provide helpful information for making investment decisions in the following ways:- Measuring Risk: Volatility can be used as a measure of risk, which can help you determine the potential fluctuations in the value of American Equity Inve investment. A higher volatility means higher risk and potentially larger changes in value.
- Identifying Opportunities: High volatility in American Equity's stock can indicate that there is potential for significant price movements, either up or down, which could present investment opportunities.
- Diversification: Understanding how the volatility of American Equity's stock relates to your other investments can help you create a well-diversified portfolio of assets with varying levels of risk.
American Equity Investment Opportunity
NYSE Composite has a standard deviation of returns of 0.64 and is 2.13 times more volatile than American Equity Investment. Compared to the overall equity markets, volatility of historical daily returns of American Equity Investment is lower than 2 percent of all global equities and portfolios over the last 90 days. You can use American Equity Investment to protect your portfolios against small market fluctuations. The stock experiences a normal downward trend and little activity. Check odds of American Equity to be traded at $55.43 in 90 days.Very weak diversification
The correlation between American Equity Investment and NYA is 0.57 (i.e., Very weak diversification) for selected investment horizon. Overlapping area represents the amount of risk that can be diversified away by holding American Equity Investment and NYA in the same portfolio, assuming nothing else is changed.
American Equity Additional Risk Indicators
The analysis of American Equity's secondary risk indicators is one of the essential steps in making a buy or sell decision. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in American Equity's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some common measures of American Equity stock's risk such as standard deviation, beta, or value at risk, we also provide a set of secondary indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0427 | |||
| Market Risk Adjusted Performance | 0.0676 | |||
| Mean Deviation | 0.2257 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.2076 | |||
| Downside Deviation | 0.2765 | |||
| Coefficient Of Variation | 1156.39 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.2939 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential stocks, we recommend comparing similar stocks with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
American Equity Suggested Diversification Pairs
Pair trading is one of the very effective strategies used by professional day traders and hedge funds capitalizing on short-time and mid-term market inefficiencies. The approach is based on the fact that the ratio of prices of two correlating shares is long-term stable and oscillates around the average value. If the correlation ratio comes outside the common area, you can speculate with a high success rate that the ratio will return to the mean value and collect a profit.
The effect of pair diversification on risk is to reduce it, but we should note this doesn't apply to all risk types. When we trade pairs against American Equity as a counterpart, there is always some inherent risk that will never be diversified away no matter what. This volatility limits the effect of tactical diversification using pair trading. American Equity's systematic risk is the inherent uncertainty of the entire market, and therefore cannot be mitigated even by pair-trading it against the equity that is not highly correlated to it. On the other hand, American Equity's unsystematic risk describes the types of risk that we can protect against, at least to some degree, by selecting a matching pair that is not perfectly correlated to American Equity Investment.
When determining whether American Equity Inve is a strong investment it is important to analyze American Equity's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact American Equity's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding American Stock, refer to the following important reports: Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in American Equity Investment. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in income. Note that the American Equity Inve information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American Equity's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Aroon Oscillator module to analyze current equity momentum using Aroon Oscillator and other momentum ratios.
Complementary Tools for American Stock analysis
When running American Equity's price analysis, check to measure American Equity's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy American Equity is operating at the current time. Most of American Equity's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of American Equity's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move American Equity's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of American Equity to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is American Equity's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of American Equity. If investors know American will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about American Equity listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.188 | Earnings Share 2.06 | Revenue Per Share 35.569 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.614 | Return On Assets 0.0027 |
The market value of American Equity Inve is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of American that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of American Equity's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is American Equity's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because American Equity's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect American Equity's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between American Equity's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if American Equity is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, American Equity's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.