Assured Guaranty Stock Analysis
AGO Stock | USD 76.26 0.84 1.09% |
Assured Guaranty is overvalued with Real Value of 68.22 and Target Price of 75.0. The main objective of Assured Guaranty stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Assured Guaranty is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Assured Guaranty's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Assured Guaranty's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Assured Guaranty's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Assured Guaranty stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Assured Guaranty is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Assured Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Assured Guaranty's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
Assured |
Assured Stock Analysis Notes
About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assured Guaranty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.3. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2024. Assured Guaranty had 1:5 split on the December 3, 2010. Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. For more info on Assured Guaranty please contact Dominic Frederico at 441 279 5700 or go to https://www.assuredguaranty.com.Assured Guaranty Investment Alerts
Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Assured Guaranty's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Assured Guaranty or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Assured Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days | |
The company has 1.69 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is OK given its current industry classification. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Assured Guaranty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Assured Guaranty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Assured Guaranty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Assured Guaranty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity. | |
Over 94.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies | |
On 20th of March 2024 Assured Guaranty paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders | |
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arizona State Retirement System Cuts Position in Assured Guaranty Ltd. - Defense World |
Assured Guaranty Upcoming and Recent Events
Earnings reports are used by Assured Guaranty to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Assured Guaranty previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024 Upcoming Quarterly Report | View | |
14th of May 2024 Next Financial Report | View | |
31st of December 2023 Next Fiscal Quarter End | View | |
27th of February 2024 Next Fiscal Year End | View | |
30th of September 2023 Last Quarter Report | View | |
31st of December 2022 Last Financial Announcement | View |
Assured Largest EPS Surprises
Earnings surprises can significantly impact Assured Guaranty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported | Fiscal Date | Estimated EPS | Reported EPS | Surprise | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2009-02-25 | 2008-12-31 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 0.03 | 300 | ||
2005-02-10 | 2004-12-31 | 0.43 | 0.48 | 0.05 | 11 | ||
2021-02-25 | 2020-12-31 | 0.62 | 0.69 | 0.07 | 11 |
Assured Guaranty Thematic Classifications
In addition to having Assured Guaranty stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
InsuranceUSA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French |
Assured Stock Institutional Investors
Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Assured Guaranty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Assured Guaranty backward and forwards among themselves. Assured Guaranty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Assured Guaranty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares | Geode Capital Management, Llc | 2023-09-30 | 814.1 K | Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc | 2023-09-30 | 691.3 K | Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts | 2023-09-30 | 660.4 K | Brown Advisory Holdings Inc | 2023-12-31 | 630.5 K | Alyeska Investment Group, L.p. | 2023-09-30 | 589.8 K | Norges Bank | 2023-12-31 | 556 K | Bank Of New York Mellon Corp | 2023-09-30 | 500.1 K | Northern Trust Corp | 2023-09-30 | 483.7 K | Philadelphia Financial Mgmt Of San Franc | 2023-09-30 | 445.4 K | Blackrock Inc | 2023-09-30 | 7.2 M | Vanguard Group Inc | 2023-09-30 | 6.8 M |
Assured Market Capitalization
The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.38 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Assured Guaranty's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Assured Guaranty's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.Assured Profitablity
Assured Guaranty's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Assured Guaranty's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Assured Guaranty is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Assured Guaranty's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Assured Guaranty's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Assured Guaranty's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.78 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.54 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.54 of operating income. Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Return On Tangible Assets | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
Return On Capital Employed | 0.05 | 0.04 | |
Return On Assets | 0.06 | 0.04 | |
Return On Equity | 0.13 | 0.07 |
Management Efficiency
Assured Guaranty has Return on Asset of 0.0131 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0131 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1377 %, implying that it generated $0.1377 on every 100 dollars invested. Assured Guaranty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Assured Guaranty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 18th of April 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.04. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.04. At this time, Assured Guaranty's Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of April 2024, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 5.6 B, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 12.1 B.Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Book Value Per Share | 97.83 | 102.72 | |
Net Current Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Asset Value | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
Tangible Book Value Per Share | 185.60 | 194.88 | |
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA | 9.24 | 7.67 | |
Price Book Value Ratio | 0.76 | 0.90 | |
Enterprise Value Multiple | 9.24 | 7.67 | |
Price Fair Value | 0.76 | 0.90 | |
Enterprise Value | 1.9 B | 1.6 B |
The analysis of Assured Guaranty's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Assured Guaranty's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Assured Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield 0.0158 | Forward Dividend Yield 0.0158 | Forward Dividend Rate 1.24 | Beta 1.117 |
Technical Drivers
As of the 18th of April 2024, Assured Guaranty shows the Downside Deviation of 1.37, mean deviation of 1.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0248. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Assured Guaranty, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Assured Guaranty treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Assured Guaranty is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 76.26 per share. Given that Assured Guaranty has jensen alpha of 0.0244, we suggest you to validate Assured Guaranty's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.Assured Guaranty Price Movement Analysis
The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Assured Guaranty middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Assured Guaranty. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.
Assured Guaranty Insider Trading Activities
Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Assured Guaranty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Assured Guaranty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Assured Guaranty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.
Bonnie Howard over two weeks ago Acquisition by Bonnie Howard of 2775 shares of Assured Guaranty subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Dominic Frederico over three weeks ago Disposition of 22067 shares by Dominic Frederico of Assured Guaranty at 92.83 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Benjamin Rosenblum over a month ago Disposition of 1556 shares by Benjamin Rosenblum of Assured Guaranty at 84.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Benjamin Rosenblum over a month ago Disposition of 1220 shares by Benjamin Rosenblum of Assured Guaranty at 84.93 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Benjamin Rosenblum over a month ago Disposition of 1712 shares by Benjamin Rosenblum of Assured Guaranty at 85.26 subject to Rule 16b-3 | ||
Batten Mark over a month ago Insider Trading |
Assured Guaranty Predictive Daily Indicators
Assured Guaranty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Assured Guaranty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.
Accumulation Distribution | 18008.43 | |||
Daily Balance Of Power | (0.32) | |||
Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
Day Median Price | 77.23 | |||
Day Typical Price | 76.91 | |||
Price Action Indicator | (1.39) | |||
Period Momentum Indicator | (0.84) | |||
Relative Strength Index | 77.43 |
Assured Guaranty Corporate Filings
8K | 10th of April 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 21st of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
20th of March 2024 Other Reports | ViewVerify | |
F4 | 12th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
F4 | 5th of March 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
10K | 28th of February 2024 Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance | ViewVerify |
8K | 27th of February 2024 Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about | ViewVerify |
F4 | 26th of February 2024 The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities | ViewVerify |
Assured Guaranty Forecast Models
Assured Guaranty's time-series forecasting models are one of many Assured Guaranty's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Assured Guaranty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.About Assured Stock Analysis
Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Assured Guaranty prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Assured shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Assured Guaranty. By using and applying Assured Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Assured entry and exit points for their positions.
Last Reported | Projected for Next Year | ||
Pretax Profit Margin | 0.66 | 0.46 | |
Operating Profit Margin | 0.64 | 0.47 | |
Net Profit Margin | 0.73 | 0.76 | |
Gross Profit Margin | 0.79 | 0.75 |
Current Assured Analysis - Recommendations
We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Assured analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Assured analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target Price | Advice | # of Analysts | |
75.0 | Buy | 4 | Odds |
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Stock Analysis Indicators
Assured Guaranty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Assured Guaranty stock analysis, traders can identify Assured Guaranty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow | 207 M | |
Long Term Debt | 1.7 B | |
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 59.6 M | |
Total Stockholder Equity | 5.7 B | |
Tax Provision | 101 M | |
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y | 3.167 | |
Property Plant And Equipment Net | 366 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 8.1 B | |
Cash | 97 M | |
Net Debt | 1.6 B | |
50 Day M A | 86.3844 | |
Total Current Liabilities | 385 M | |
Other Operating Expenses | 473 M | |
Non Current Assets Total | 6 M | |
Forward Price Earnings | 13.245 | |
Non Currrent Assets Other | -2.8 B | |
Stock Based Compensation | -2 M |
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price. To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.Note that the Assured Guaranty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Assured Guaranty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.
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When running Assured Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Assured Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assured Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Assured Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assured Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assured Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Assured Guaranty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 3.167 | Dividend Share 1.12 | Earnings Share 12.3 | Revenue Per Share 16.267 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.01) |
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.