Assured Guaranty Stock Analysis

AGO Stock  USD 76.26  0.84  1.09%   
Assured Guaranty is overvalued with Real Value of 68.22 and Target Price of 75.0. The main objective of Assured Guaranty stock analysis is to determine its intrinsic value, which is an estimate of what Assured Guaranty is worth, separate from its market price. There are two main types of Assured Guaranty's stock analysis: fundamental analysis and technical analysis. Fundamental analysis focuses on the financial and economic factors that affect Assured Guaranty's performance, such as revenue growth, earnings, and financial stability. Technical analysis, on the other hand, focuses on the price and volume data of Assured Guaranty's stock to identify patterns and trends that may indicate its future price movements.
The Assured Guaranty stock is traded in the USA on New York Stock Exchange, with the market opening at 09:30:00 and closing at 16:00:00 every Mon,Tue,Wed,Thu,Fri except for officially observed holidays in the USA. Assured Guaranty is usually not traded on Thanksgiving Day, Christmas Day, New Year 's Day, Dr . Martin Luther King Jr 's Birthday, Washington 's Birthday, Good Friday, Memorial Day, Juneteenth Holiday, Independence Day, Labour Day. Assured Stock trading window is adjusted to America/New York timezone. Here, you can get updates on important government artifacts, including earning estimates, SEC corporate filings, announcements, and Assured Guaranty's ongoing operational relationships across important fundamental and technical indicators.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.

Assured Stock Analysis Notes

About 94.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.77. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Assured Guaranty has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.52. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 12.3. The firm last dividend was issued on the 5th of March 2024. Assured Guaranty had 1:5 split on the December 3, 2010. Assured Guaranty Ltd., through its subsidiaries, provides credit protection products to public finance, infrastructure, and structured finance markets in the United States and internationally. Assured Guaranty Ltd. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Hamilton, Bermuda. Assured Guaranty is traded on New York Stock Exchange in the United States. For more info on Assured Guaranty please contact Dominic Frederico at 441 279 5700 or go to https://www.assuredguaranty.com.

Assured Guaranty Investment Alerts

Many investors view ongoing market volatility as an opportunity to purchase more stocks at a favorable price or short it to generate a bearish trend profit opportunity. If you are one of those investors, make sure you clearly understand the position you are entering. Assured Guaranty's investment alerts are automatically generated signals that are significant enough to either complement your investing judgment regarding Assured Guaranty or challenge it. These alerts can help you understand what you are buying and avoid costly mistakes.
Assured Guaranty generated a negative expected return over the last 90 days
The company has 1.69 B in debt with debt to equity (D/E) ratio of 0.33, which is OK given its current industry classification. Assured Guaranty has a current ratio of 0.79, suggesting that it has not enough short term capital to pay financial commitments when the payables are due. Debt can assist Assured Guaranty until it has trouble settling it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. So, Assured Guaranty's shareholders could walk away with nothing if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt. However, a more frequent occurrence is when companies like Assured Guaranty sell additional shares at bargain prices, diluting existing shareholders. Debt, in this case, can be an excellent and much better tool for Assured to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we think about Assured Guaranty's use of debt, we should always consider it together with cash and equity.
Over 94.0% of Assured Guaranty shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies
On 20th of March 2024 Assured Guaranty paid $ 0.28 per share dividend to its current shareholders
Latest headline from news.google.com: Arizona State Retirement System Cuts Position in Assured Guaranty Ltd. - Defense World

Assured Guaranty Upcoming and Recent Events

Earnings reports are used by Assured Guaranty to provide an update of all three financial statements, including the income statement, the balance sheet, and the cash flow statement. Every quarterly earnings report provides investors with three things: an overview of sales, expenses, and net income for the most recent period. It also may provide a comparison to Assured Guaranty previous reporting period. The quarterly earnings reports are usually disseminated to the public via Form 10-Q, which is a legal document filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission every quarter.
27th of February 2024
Upcoming Quarterly Report
View
14th of May 2024
Next Financial Report
View
31st of December 2023
Next Fiscal Quarter End
View
27th of February 2024
Next Fiscal Year End
View
30th of September 2023
Last Quarter Report
View
31st of December 2022
Last Financial Announcement
View

Assured Largest EPS Surprises

Earnings surprises can significantly impact Assured Guaranty's stock price both in the short term and over time. Negative earnings surprises usually result in a price decline. However, it has been seen that positive earnings surprises lead to an immediate rise in a stock's price and a gradual increase over time. This is why we often hear news about some companies beating earning projections. Financial analysts spend a large amount of time predicting earnings per share (EPS) along with other important future indicators. Many analysts use forecasting models, management guidance, and additional fundamental information to derive an EPS estimate.
Reported
Fiscal Date
Estimated EPS
Reported EPS
Surprise
2009-02-25
2008-12-310.010.040.03300 
2005-02-10
2004-12-310.430.480.0511 
2021-02-25
2020-12-310.620.690.0711 
View All Earnings Estimates

Assured Guaranty Thematic Classifications

In addition to having Assured Guaranty stock in your portfolios, you can add positions using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your very unique investing style. A single investing idea is a collection of funds, stocks, ETFs, or cryptocurrencies that are programmatically selected from a pull of investment themes. After you determine your favorite investment opportunity, you can then obtain an optimal portfolio that will maximize potential returns on the chosen idea or minimize its exposure to market volatility. If you are a result-oriented investor, you can benefit from optimizing one of our existing themes to build an efficient portfolio against your specific investing outlook.
Insurance Idea
Insurance
USA Equities from Insurance industry as classified by Fama & French

Assured Stock Institutional Investors

Have you ever been surprised when a price of an equity instrument such as Assured Guaranty is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Assured Guaranty backward and forwards among themselves. Assured Guaranty's institutional investor refers to the entity that pools money to purchase Assured Guaranty's securities or originate loans. Institutional investors include commercial and private banks, credit unions, insurance companies, pension funds, hedge funds, endowments, and mutual funds. Operating companies that invest excess capital in these types of assets may also be included in the term and may influence corporate governance by exercising voting rights in their investments.
Shares
Geode Capital Management, Llc2023-09-30
814.1 K
Boston Partners Global Investors, Inc2023-09-30
691.3 K
Morgan Stanley - Brokerage Accounts2023-09-30
660.4 K
Brown Advisory Holdings Inc2023-12-31
630.5 K
Alyeska Investment Group, L.p.2023-09-30
589.8 K
Norges Bank2023-12-31
556 K
Bank Of New York Mellon Corp2023-09-30
500.1 K
Northern Trust Corp2023-09-30
483.7 K
Philadelphia Financial Mgmt Of San Franc2023-09-30
445.4 K
Blackrock Inc2023-09-30
7.2 M
Vanguard Group Inc2023-09-30
6.8 M
Note, although Assured Guaranty's institutional investors appear to be way more sophisticated than retail investors, it remains unclear if professional active investment managers can reliably enhance risk-adjusted returns by an amount that exceeds fees and expenses.

Assured Market Capitalization

The company currently falls under 'Mid-Cap' category with a total capitalization of 4.38 B. Market capitalization usually refers to the total value of a company's stock within the entire market. To calculate Assured Guaranty's market, we take the total number of its shares issued and multiply it by Assured Guaranty's current market price. To manage market risk and economic uncertainty, many investors today build portfolios that are diversified across equities with different market capitalizations. However, as a general rule, conservative investors tend to hold large-cap stocks, and those looking for more risk prefer small-cap and mid-cap equities.

Assured Profitablity

Assured Guaranty's profitability indicators refer to fundamental financial ratios that showcase Assured Guaranty's ability to generate income relative to its revenue or operating costs. If, let's say, Assured Guaranty is currently losing money, the management's focus should be on how to reverse that trend. However, when revenue exceeds expenses, Assured Guaranty's executives or investors may be in less hurry to break that information down - which is where profitability analysis comes into play. Gaining a greater understanding of Assured Guaranty's profitability requires more research than a typical breakdown of Assured Guaranty's financial statements. By doing a profitability analysis, companies can identify areas needing attention, and investors can make a profitable trade.
The company has Net Profit Margin of 0.78 %, which implies that it may need a different competitive strategy as even a very small decline in it revenue may erase profits and result in a net loss. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows Net Operating Margin of 0.54 %, which entails that for every 100 dollars of revenue, it generated $0.54 of operating income.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Return On Tangible Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Capital Employed 0.05  0.04 
Return On Assets 0.06  0.04 
Return On Equity 0.13  0.07 

Management Efficiency

Assured Guaranty has Return on Asset of 0.0131 % which means that on every $100 spent on assets, it made $0.0131 of profit. This is way below average. In the same way, it shows a return on shareholders' equity (ROE) of 0.1377 %, implying that it generated $0.1377 on every 100 dollars invested. Assured Guaranty's management efficiency ratios could be used to measure how well Assured Guaranty manages its routine affairs as well as how well it operates its assets and liabilities. As of the 18th of April 2024, Return On Tangible Assets is likely to drop to 0.04. In addition to that, Return On Capital Employed is likely to drop to 0.04. At this time, Assured Guaranty's Other Assets are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 18th of April 2024, Other Current Assets is likely to grow to about 5.6 B, while Total Assets are likely to drop about 12.1 B.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Book Value Per Share 97.83  102.72 
Net Current Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Asset Value 0.00  0.00 
Tangible Book Value Per Share 185.60  194.88 
Enterprise Value Over EBITDA 9.24  7.67 
Price Book Value Ratio 0.76  0.90 
Enterprise Value Multiple 9.24  7.67 
Price Fair Value 0.76  0.90 
Enterprise Value1.9 B1.6 B
The analysis of Assured Guaranty's management efficiency is an essential part of evaluating and assessing the financial and operational performance of the entity. It is also vital to analyze Assured Guaranty's future growth prospects and the overall market conditions to determine the value and potential of its stock. The analysis involves studying a range of financial metrics such as revenue, earnings, profit margins, cash flow, debt, market share, and external factors such as economic trends, industry outlook, competition, and government regulations. The goal of Assured Stock analysis is to determine whether it is undervalued, fairly valued, or overvalued and to make informed investment decisions.
Dividend Yield
0.0158
Forward Dividend Yield
0.0158
Forward Dividend Rate
1.24
Beta
1.117

Technical Drivers

As of the 18th of April 2024, Assured Guaranty shows the Downside Deviation of 1.37, mean deviation of 1.05, and Risk Adjusted Performance of 0.0248. Assured Guaranty technical analysis gives you the methodology to make use of historical prices and volume patterns to determine a pattern that approximates the direction of the firm's future prices. Put another way, you can use this information to find out if the firm will indeed mirror its model of historical prices and volume momentum, or the prices will eventually revert. We were able to analyze and collect data for nineteen technical drivers for Assured Guaranty, which can be compared to its peers. Please confirm Assured Guaranty treynor ratio, as well as the relationship between the downside variance and kurtosis to decide if Assured Guaranty is priced correctly, providing market reflects its regular price of 76.26 per share. Given that Assured Guaranty has jensen alpha of 0.0244, we suggest you to validate Assured Guaranty's prevailing market performance to make sure the company can sustain itself at a future point.

Assured Guaranty Price Movement Analysis

The output start index for this execution was two with a total number of output elements of fifty-nine. The Bollinger Bands is very popular indicator that was developed by John Bollinger. It consist of three lines. Assured Guaranty middle band is a simple moving average of its typical price. The upper and lower bands are (N) standard deviations above and below the middle band. The bands widen and narrow when the volatility of the price is higher or lower, respectively. The upper and lower bands can also be interpreted as price targets for Assured Guaranty. When the price bounces off of the lower band and crosses the middle band, then the upper band becomes the price target.

Assured Guaranty Insider Trading Activities

Some recent studies suggest that insider trading raises the cost of capital for securities issuers and decreases overall economic growth. Trading by specific Assured Guaranty insiders, such as employees or executives, is commonly permitted as long as it does not rely on Assured Guaranty's material information that is not in the public domain. Local jurisdictions usually require such trading to be reported in order to monitor insider transactions. In many U.S. states, trading conducted by corporate officers, key employees, directors, or significant shareholders must be reported to the regulator or publicly disclosed, usually within a few business days of the trade. In these cases Assured Guaranty insiders are required to file a Form 4 with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) when buying or selling shares of their own companies.

Assured Guaranty Predictive Daily Indicators

Assured Guaranty intraday indicators are useful technical analysis tools used by many experienced traders. Just like the conventional technical analysis, daily indicators help intraday investors to analyze the price movement with the timing of Assured Guaranty stock daily movement. By combining multiple daily indicators into a single trading strategy, you can limit your risk while still earning strong returns on your managed positions.

Assured Guaranty Corporate Filings

8K
10th of April 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
21st of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
20th of March 2024
Other Reports
ViewVerify
F4
12th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
F4
5th of March 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify
10K
28th of February 2024
Annual report required by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) of a company financial performance
ViewVerify
8K
27th of February 2024
Report filed with the SEC to announce major events that shareholders should know about
ViewVerify
F4
26th of February 2024
The report filed by a party regarding the acquisition or disposition of a company's common stock, as well as derivative securities such as options, warrants, and convertible securities
ViewVerify

Assured Guaranty Forecast Models

Assured Guaranty's time-series forecasting models are one of many Assured Guaranty's stock analysis techniques aimed at predicting future share value based on previously observed values. Time-series forecasting models ae widely used for non-stationary data. Non-stationary data are called the data whose statistical properties e.g. the mean and standard deviation are not constant over time but instead, these metrics vary over time. These non-stationary Assured Guaranty's historical data is usually called time-series. Some empirical experimentation suggests that the statistical forecasting models outperform the models based exclusively on fundamental analysis to predict the direction of the market movement and maximize returns from investment trading.

About Assured Stock Analysis

Stock analysis is the technique used by a trader or investor to examine and evaluate how Assured Guaranty prices is reacting to, or reflecting on a current market direction and economic conditions. It can be used to make informed decisions about market timing, and when buying or selling Assured shares will generate the highest return on investment. We also built our stock analysis module to help investors to gain an insight into the world economy as a whole, the stock market, thematic ideas. a specific sector, or an individual Stock such as Assured Guaranty. By using and applying Assured Stock analysis, traders can create a robust methodology for identifying Assured entry and exit points for their positions.
Last ReportedProjected for Next Year
Pretax Profit Margin 0.66  0.46 
Operating Profit Margin 0.64  0.47 
Net Profit Margin 0.73  0.76 
Gross Profit Margin 0.79  0.75 

Current Assured Analysis - Recommendations

We track the performance of the top 100 financial experts across various large and mid-size financial boutiques. Assured analyst recommendations are determined by taking all analyst recommendations and averaging them as Strong Buy, Buy, Hold, Strong Sell or Sell. There is no one specific way to measure analysis performance other than comparing it to the past results via a very sophisticated attribution analysis. Assured analyst consensus and target price projections should be used in combination with other traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, earnings estimate, and various momentum models.
Target PriceAdvice# of Analysts
75.0Buy4Odds
Assured Guaranty current and past analyst recommendations published by a number of research institutions as well as average analyst consensus.
Most Assured analysts issue ratings four times a year, at intervals of three months. Ratings are usually accompanied by a target price to helps potential investors understand Assured stock's fair price compared to its market value. Analysts arrive at stock ratings after researching public financial statements of Assured Guaranty, talking to its executives and customers, or listening to Assured conference calls.
Assured Analyst Advice Details

Assured Stock Analysis Indicators

Assured Guaranty stock analysis indicators help investors evaluate how Assured Guaranty stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing and determine when trading Assured Guaranty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By understating and applying Assured Guaranty stock analysis, traders can identify Assured Guaranty position entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Begin Period Cash Flow207 M
Long Term Debt1.7 B
Common Stock Shares Outstanding59.6 M
Total Stockholder Equity5.7 B
Tax Provision101 M
Quarterly Earnings Growth Y O Y3.167
Property Plant And Equipment Net366 M
Cash And Short Term Investments8.1 B
Cash97 M
Net Debt1.6 B
50 Day M A86.3844
Total Current Liabilities385 M
Other Operating Expenses473 M
Non Current Assets TotalM
Forward Price Earnings13.245
Non Currrent Assets Other-2.8 B
Stock Based Compensation-2 M
When determining whether Assured Guaranty offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Assured Guaranty's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Assured Guaranty Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Assured Guaranty Stock:
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios, which includes a position in Assured Guaranty. Also, note that the market value of any company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in price.
To learn how to invest in Assured Stock, please use our How to Invest in Assured Guaranty guide.
Note that the Assured Guaranty information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Assured Guaranty's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Cryptocurrency Center module to build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency.

Complementary Tools for Assured Stock analysis

When running Assured Guaranty's price analysis, check to measure Assured Guaranty's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Assured Guaranty is operating at the current time. Most of Assured Guaranty's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Assured Guaranty's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Assured Guaranty's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Assured Guaranty to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
Balance Of Power
Check stock momentum by analyzing Balance Of Power indicator and other technical ratios
Cryptocurrency Center
Build and monitor diversified portfolio of extremely risky digital assets and cryptocurrency
CEOs Directory
Screen CEOs from public companies around the world
Commodity Directory
Find actively traded commodities issued by global exchanges
Sectors
List of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities
Options Analysis
Analyze and evaluate options and option chains as a potential hedge for your portfolios
Stock Screener
Find equities using a custom stock filter or screen asymmetry in trading patterns, price, volume, or investment outlook.
Performance Analysis
Check effects of mean-variance optimization against your current asset allocation
Positions Ratings
Determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance
Is Assured Guaranty's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Assured Guaranty. If investors know Assured will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Assured Guaranty listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
3.167
Dividend Share
1.12
Earnings Share
12.3
Revenue Per Share
16.267
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.01)
The market value of Assured Guaranty is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Assured that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Assured Guaranty's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Assured Guaranty's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Assured Guaranty's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Assured Guaranty's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Assured Guaranty's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Assured Guaranty is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Assured Guaranty's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.