Alexanders Stock Price Prediction
| ALX Stock | USD 210.53 5.07 2.47% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
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Oversold | Overbought |
Alexanders stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Alexanders shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Alexanders' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Alexanders and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Alexanders' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Alexanders, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Alexanders' stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.235 | Wall Street Target Price 160 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.186 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Alexanders based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Alexanders stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Alexanders over a specific investment horizon. Using Alexanders hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Alexanders from the perspective of Alexanders response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Alexanders. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Alexanders to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Alexanders because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Alexanders after-hype prediction price | USD 210.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Alexanders |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Alexanders' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Alexanders After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Alexanders at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Alexanders or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Alexanders, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Alexanders Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Alexanders' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Alexanders' historical news coverage. Alexanders' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 209.28 and 212.56, respectively. We have considered Alexanders' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Alexanders is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Alexanders is based on 3 months time horizon.
Alexanders Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Alexanders is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Alexanders backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Alexanders, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 1.64 | 0.31 | 0.00 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
210.53 | 210.92 | 0.19 |
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Alexanders Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of April Alexanders is traded for 210.53. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Alexanders is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 210.92 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is about 42.38%. The price jump on the next news is projected to be 0.19%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Alexanders is about 7516.67%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 210.53. The company reported the last year's revenue of 224.96 M. Total Income to common stockholders was 102.41 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 115.37 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Alexanders Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Alexanders Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Alexanders' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Alexanders' future price movements. Getting to know how Alexanders' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Alexanders may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BFS | Saul Centers | (0.54) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.29 | (2.76) | 6.63 | |
| UE | Urban Edge Properties | 0.1 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 2.08 | (1.85) | 8.88 | |
| RPT | RPT Realty | 0.11 | 9 per month | 1.44 | 0.12 | 4.02 | (2.57) | 7.92 | |
| SITC | Site Centers Corp | (0.26) | 8 per month | 1.16 | (0.05) | 2.08 | (1.50) | 5.60 | |
| KRG | Kite Realty Group | 0.01 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.11 | (1.84) | 7.34 | |
| AKR | Acadia Realty Trust | 0.05 | 10 per month | 1.51 | (0.02) | 2.42 | (2.61) | 7.81 | |
| UBP | Urstadt Biddle | 0.43 | 6 per month | 0.53 | 0.14 | 2.63 | (1.92) | 30.45 | |
| IVT | Inventrust Properties Corp | (0.11) | 9 per month | 1.44 | (0.05) | 2.33 | (2.13) | 7.34 | |
| ROIC | Retail Opportunity Investments | 0.01 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.01 | (2.58) | 6.09 | |
| BRX | Brixmor Property | 0.08 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 2.04 | (2.03) | 8.12 | |
| NTST | NetstreitCorp | 0.36 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.40 | (2.35) | 9.32 |
Alexanders Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Alexanders price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Alexanders using various technical indicators. When you analyze Alexanders charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Alexanders Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Alexanders stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Alexanders, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Alexanders based on analysis of Alexanders hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Alexanders's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Alexanders's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0691 | 0.0818 | 0.0843 | 0.0796 | Price To Sales Ratio | 6.47 | 5.48 | 4.87 | 4.63 |
Story Coverage note for Alexanders
The number of cover stories for Alexanders depends on current market conditions and Alexanders' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Alexanders is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Alexanders' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Alexanders Short Properties
Alexanders' future price predictability will typically decrease when Alexanders' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Alexanders often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Alexanders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Alexanders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 5.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 553 M |
Check out Alexanders Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Alexanders Stock please use our How to Invest in Alexanders guide.You can also try the Investing Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
Complementary Tools for Alexanders Stock analysis
When running Alexanders' price analysis, check to measure Alexanders' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Alexanders is operating at the current time. Most of Alexanders' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Alexanders' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Alexanders' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Alexanders to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Alexanders' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Alexanders. If investors know Alexanders will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Alexanders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.235 | Dividend Share 18 | Earnings Share 19.98 | Revenue Per Share 43.858 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.186 |
The market value of Alexanders is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Alexanders that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Alexanders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Alexanders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Alexanders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Alexanders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Alexanders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Alexanders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Alexanders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.