Amc Entertainment Holdings Stock Price Prediction
AMC Stock | USD 3.72 0.62 14.29% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
42
Oversold | Overbought |
AMC Entertainment stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of AMC Entertainment shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of AMC Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of AMC Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from AMC Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with AMC Entertainment Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting AMC Entertainment's stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.85) | EPS Estimate Current Year (1.60) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.81) | Wall Street Target Price 5.02 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.69) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of AMC Entertainment based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The AMC stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on AMC Entertainment over a specific investment horizon. Using AMC Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AMC Entertainment Holdings from the perspective of AMC Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AMC Entertainment using AMC Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AMC using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AMC Entertainment's stock price.
AMC Entertainment Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in AMC Entertainment's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards AMC. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of AMC Entertainment stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long AMC Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about AMC Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge AMC Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 16.3754 | Short Percent 0.1383 | Short Ratio 2.63 | Shares Short Prior Month 29.4 M | 50 Day MA 4.3424 |
AMC Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to AMC Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in AMC. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding AMC can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around AMC Entertainment Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of AMC Entertainment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about AMC Entertainment.
AMC Entertainment Implied Volatility | 106.28 |
AMC Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AMC Entertainment Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AMC Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AMC Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when AMC Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in AMC Entertainment. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in AMC Entertainment to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying AMC because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
AMC Entertainment after-hype prediction price | USD 3.72 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AMC contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AMC Entertainment Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 6.64% per day over the life of the 2024-04-05 option contract. With AMC Entertainment trading at USD 3.72, that is roughly USD 0.25 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AMC Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AMC Entertainment Holdings options at the current volatility level of 106.28%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
AMC |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AMC Entertainment's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AMC Entertainment After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AMC Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AMC Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of AMC Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
Expected price to next headline |
AMC Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AMC Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AMC Entertainment's historical news coverage. AMC Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.19 and 8.37, respectively. We have considered AMC Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AMC Entertainment is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AMC Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.
AMC Entertainment Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as AMC Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AMC Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AMC Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.70 | 4.69 | 0.06 | 0.25 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
3.72 | 3.72 | 0.00 |
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AMC Entertainment Hype Timeline
On the 29th of March AMC Entertainment is traded for 3.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. AMC is expected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is expected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.7%. %. The volatility of related hype on AMC Entertainment is about 1303.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 3.47. About 36.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.18. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. AMC Entertainment has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.42. The entity recorded a loss per share of 2.1. The firm last dividend was issued on the 6th of March 2020. AMC Entertainment had 1:10 split on the 24th of August 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.AMC Entertainment Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AMC Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AMC Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how AMC Entertainment rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AMC Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
MSGS | Madison Square Garden | 0.50 | 8 per month | 0.76 | (0.06) | 1.81 | (1.51) | 7.83 | |
ANGHW | Anghami Warrants | (0.01) | 1 per month | 18.15 | 0.18 | 87.50 | (34.54) | 289.59 | |
AENTW | Alliance Entertainment Holding | (0) | 2 per month | 18.77 | 0.17 | 73.51 | (40.57) | 228.02 | |
NWSA | News Corp A | 0.18 | 11 per month | 0.94 | 0.02 | 1.92 | (2.03) | 8.67 | |
NXST | Nexstar Broadcasting Group | (2.74) | 7 per month | 2.21 | 0.02 | 3.07 | (2.92) | 15.37 | |
BATRA | Atlanta Braves Holdings | (0.09) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 1.85 | (1.65) | 5.92 | |
BATRK | Atlanta Braves Holdings | (0.75) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.06 | (1.95) | 5.93 | |
ADD | Color Star Technology | 0.03 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.71 | (11.11) | 41.53 |
AMC Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AMC price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AMC using various technical indicators. When you analyze AMC charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.Cycle Indicators | ||
Math Operators | ||
Math Transform | ||
Momentum Indicators | ||
Overlap Studies | ||
Pattern Recognition | ||
Price Transform | ||
Statistic Functions | ||
Volatility Indicators | ||
Volume Indicators |
About AMC Entertainment Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of AMC Entertainment stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as AMC Entertainment Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of AMC Entertainment based on analysis of AMC Entertainment hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to AMC Entertainment's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to AMC Entertainment's related companies. 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.001298 | 1.31E-4 | 1.51E-4 | 1.43E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 5.82 | 1.36 | 0.21 | 0.2 |
Story Coverage note for AMC Entertainment
The number of cover stories for AMC Entertainment depends on current market conditions and AMC Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AMC Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AMC Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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AMC Entertainment Short Properties
AMC Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when AMC Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of AMC Entertainment Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential AMC Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. AMC Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 167.6 M | |
Cash And Short Term Investments | 911.4 M |
Check out AMC Entertainment Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio File Import module to quickly import all of your third-party portfolios from your local drive in csv format.
Complementary Tools for AMC Stock analysis
When running AMC Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure AMC Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy AMC Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of AMC Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of AMC Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move AMC Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of AMC Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is AMC Entertainment's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of AMC Entertainment. If investors know AMC will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about AMC Entertainment listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (2.10) | Revenue Per Share 28.707 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.115 | Return On Assets 0.0023 |
The market value of AMC Entertainment is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AMC that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AMC Entertainment's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AMC Entertainment's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AMC Entertainment's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AMC Entertainment's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AMC Entertainment's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AMC Entertainment is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AMC Entertainment's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.