American Beacon Price Prediction Breakdown

AB
AMCSX -- USA Fund  

USD 11.89  0.86  6.75%

American Beacon Mid fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American Beacon shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American Beacon fund future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Beacon Mid, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Please continue to American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

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The American price prediction module also provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Beacon over a specific investment horizon. Using American Beacon hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American Beacon Mid from the perspective of American Beacon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
11.3112.0312.75
Details
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimated ValueHigh
6.8411.8916.94
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowReal ValueHigh
6.2011.2516.30
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNext ValueHigh
7.4212.4817.53
Details

American Beacon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Beacon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
11.89
5th of June 2020
11.89
After-hype Price
16.94
Upside
American Beacon is slightly risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Beacon Mid is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Beacon Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.19  5.05  0.00   0.01  0 Events / Month0 Events / MonthIn 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
11.8911.890.00 
0.00  

American Beacon Hype Timeline

American Beacon Mid is presently traded for11.89. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. American Beacon Mid is anticipated not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 0.0%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small where as daily expected return is presently at 0.19%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American Beacon is about 7214.29%%. The volatility of related hype on American Beacon is about 7214.29% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 11.9. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American Beacon Mid last dividend was issued on Decemberember 31, 2019. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Please continue to American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Beacon Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Vanguard Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 6.02  0.0018  9.06 (10.57)  28.84 
John Hancock Funds 0.00 0 per month 5.62  0.0102  8.05 (9.17)  24.95 
T Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 5.56  0.0078  6.26 (9.88)  25.07 
T Rowe Price 0.00 0 per month 1.95  0.13  3.98 (3.59)  7.43 
Victory Sycamore Established 0.70 1 per month 5.78  0.0003  6.46 (11.57)  26.77 
WF Special Mid 0.00 0 per month 10.18  0.0434  22.75 (21.99)  68.86 
MFS Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 6.05  0.0106  8.08 (10.69)  28.31 
MFS Mid Cap 0.00 0 per month 6.66  0.0114  7.94 (10.67)  28.45 
American Century Mid 0.00 0 per month 5.41  0.0083  8.16 (10.03)  25.43 
American Century Mid 0.00 0 per month 5.35 (0.0114)  7.22 (8.70)  25.30 

Additional Predictive Modules

About American Beacon Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American Beacon stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American Beacon Mid, already reflect all publically available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'text-book' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns on his or her portfolios. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of BlackBerry Limited based on analysis of American Beacon hews, social hype, and general headline patterns together with widely used predictive technical indicators. We also calculate exposure to American Beacon's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American Beacon's related companies.
The investment seeks long-term capital appreciation and current income. Under normal circumstances, at least 80 percent of the funds net assets are invested in equity securities of middle market capitalization U.S. companies. These companies have market capitalizations within the market capitalization range of the companies in the Russell Midcap Index at the time of investment.
Please continue to American Beacon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Holdings module to check your current holdings and cash postion to detemine if your portfolio needs rebalancing.
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