Income Growth Fund Price Prediction

AMGIX Fund  USD 36.01  0.49  1.38%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Income Growth's the mutual fund price is slightly above 65. This suggests that the mutual fund is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Income, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

65

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Income Growth Fund fund price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Income Growth shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Income Growth's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Income Growth and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Income Growth's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Income Growth Fund, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether fund price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Income Growth based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Income price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Income Growth over a specific investment horizon. Using Income Growth hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Income Growth Fund from the perspective of Income Growth response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Income Growth. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Income Growth to buy its mutual fund at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Income because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell mutual funds at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Income Growth after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.99  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as fund price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Income Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Income Growth's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.4136.7937.35
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
35.4436.0036.56
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.3835.8536.31
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Income Growth. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Income Growth's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Income Growth's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Income Growth Fund.

Income Growth After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Income Growth at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Income Growth or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Mutual Fund prices, such as prices of Income Growth, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Income Growth Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Income Growth's mutual fund value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Income Growth's historical news coverage. Income Growth's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 35.43 and 36.55, respectively. We have considered Income Growth's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
36.01
35.99
After-hype Price
36.55
Upside
Income Growth is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Income Growth Fund is based on 3 months time horizon.

Income Growth Mutual Fund Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Mutual Fund such as Income Growth is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Income Growth backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Fund price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Income Growth, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.16 
0.56
  0.02 
  0.02 
1 Events / Month
1 Events / Month
Very soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
36.01
35.99
0.06 
509.09  
Notes

Income Growth Hype Timeline

Income Growth Fund is presently traded for 36.01. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. Income is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 35.99. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -0.06%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.16%. The volatility of related hype on Income Growth is about 400.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.99. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be very soon.
Check out Income Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Income Growth Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Income Growth's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Income Growth's future price movements. Getting to know how Income Growth rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Income Growth may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
AMDVXMid Cap Value(0.86)1 per month 0.53 (0.09) 0.91 (1.09) 2.86 
AMEIXEquity Growth Fund(0.05)2 per month 0.28  0.06  1.26 (0.74) 3.36 
AMGIXIncome Growth Fund(0.11)1 per month 0.22  0.04  1.12 (0.64) 2.40 
CDBCXDiversified Bond Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.40) 0.44 (0.76) 1.74 
AMKIXEmerging Markets Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.66 (0.04) 1.23 (1.20) 3.08 
ADRVXDiversified Bond Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.38) 0.55 (0.76) 2.06 
ADRRXDisciplined Growth Fund(0.05)2 per month 0.60  0.05  1.76 (1.46) 4.77 
ADSIXDisciplined Growth Fund(0.01)2 per month 0.63  0.05  1.78 (1.46) 4.78 
ADVYXDiversified Bond Fund 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.38) 0.55 (0.76) 2.06 
ADVRXDiversified Bond Fund(0.32)1 per month 0.00 (0.40) 0.55 (0.76) 1.86 

Income Growth Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Income price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Income using various technical indicators. When you analyze Income charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Income Growth Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Income Growth stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Income Growth Fund, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Income Growth based on analysis of Income Growth hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Income Growth's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Income Growth's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Income Growth

The number of cover stories for Income Growth depends on current market conditions and Income Growth's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Income Growth is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Income Growth's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
Check out Income Growth Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.

Complementary Tools for Income Mutual Fund analysis

When running Income Growth's price analysis, check to measure Income Growth's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Income Growth is operating at the current time. Most of Income Growth's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Income Growth's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Income Growth's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Income Growth to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Income Growth's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Income Growth is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Income Growth's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.