Admiral Group Plc Stock Price Prediction

AMIGY Stock  USD 35.55  0.03  0.08%   
At this time, The relative strength index (RSI) of Admiral Group's share price is at 57. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Admiral Group, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

57

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Admiral Group PLC stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Admiral Group shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Admiral Group's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Admiral Group and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Admiral Group's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Admiral Group PLC, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Admiral Group based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Admiral stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Admiral Group over a specific investment horizon. Using Admiral Group hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Admiral Group PLC from the perspective of Admiral Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Admiral Group. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Admiral Group to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Admiral because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Admiral Group after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 35.55  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Admiral Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Admiral Group's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
32.7534.5836.41
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
34.0635.8937.72
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
35.5135.5935.68
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Admiral Group. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Admiral Group's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Admiral Group's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Admiral Group PLC.

Admiral Group After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Admiral Group at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Admiral Group or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Admiral Group, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Admiral Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Admiral Group's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Admiral Group's historical news coverage. Admiral Group's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 33.72 and 37.38, respectively. We have considered Admiral Group's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
35.55
35.55
After-hype Price
37.38
Upside
Admiral Group is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Admiral Group PLC is based on 3 months time horizon.

Admiral Group Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Admiral Group is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Admiral Group backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Admiral Group, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.09 
1.83
 0.00  
  0.02 
0 Events / Month
4 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
35.55
35.55
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Admiral Group Hype Timeline

Admiral Group PLC is presently traded for 35.55. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.02. Admiral is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.09%. %. The volatility of related hype on Admiral Group is about 954.78%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 35.53. The company last dividend was issued on the 1st of September 2022. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Admiral Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Admiral Group Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Admiral Group's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Admiral Group's future price movements. Getting to know how Admiral Group rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Admiral Group may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Admiral Group Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Admiral price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Admiral using various technical indicators. When you analyze Admiral charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Admiral Group Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Admiral Group stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Admiral Group PLC, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Admiral Group based on analysis of Admiral Group hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Admiral Group's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Admiral Group's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Admiral Group

The number of cover stories for Admiral Group depends on current market conditions and Admiral Group's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Admiral Group is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Admiral Group's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Other Macroaxis Stories

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Admiral Group Short Properties

Admiral Group's future price predictability will typically decrease when Admiral Group's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Admiral Group PLC often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Admiral Group's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Admiral Group's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding298.4 M
Cash And Short Term Investments372.7 M
Check out Admiral Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Admiral Group PLC information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Admiral Group's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.

Complementary Tools for Admiral Pink Sheet analysis

When running Admiral Group's price analysis, check to measure Admiral Group's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Admiral Group is operating at the current time. Most of Admiral Group's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Admiral Group's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Admiral Group's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Admiral Group to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Admiral Group's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Admiral Group is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Admiral Group's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.