Amark Preci Stock Price Prediction
| AMRK Stock | USD 37.74 0.53 1.42% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
75
Oversold | Overbought |
Amark Preci stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Amark Preci shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Amark Preci's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Amark Preci and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Amark Preci's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amark Preci, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Amark Preci's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 1.19 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.07 | EPS Estimate Next Year 5.39 | Wall Street Target Price 39.25 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Amark Preci based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Amark stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Amark Preci over a specific investment horizon. Using Amark Preci hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Amark Preci from the perspective of Amark Preci response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Amark Preci using Amark Preci's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Amark using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Amark Preci's stock price.
Amark Preci Implied Volatility | 73.15 |
Amark Preci's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Amark Preci stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Amark Preci's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Amark Preci stock will not fluctuate a lot when Amark Preci's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Amark Preci. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Amark Preci to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Amark because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Amark Preci after-hype prediction price | USD 37.66 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Amark contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Amark Preci will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 4.57% per day over the life of the 2024-05-17 option contract. With Amark Preci trading at USD 37.74, that is roughly USD 1.73 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Amark Preci's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Amark Preci options at the current volatility level of 73.15%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Amark |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Amark Preci's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Amark Preci After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Amark Preci at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Amark Preci or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Amark Preci, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Amark Preci Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Amark Preci's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Amark Preci's historical news coverage. Amark Preci's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 34.07 and 41.25, respectively. We have considered Amark Preci's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Amark Preci is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amark Preci is based on 3 months time horizon.
Amark Preci Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Amark Preci is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Amark Preci backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Amark Preci, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.59 | 3.57 | 0.49 | 0.37 | 11 Events / Month | 5 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
37.74 | 37.66 | 1.21 |
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Amark Preci Hype Timeline
Amark Preci is presently traded for 37.74. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.49, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.37. Amark is projected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 37.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 1.21%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.59%. The volatility of related hype on Amark Preci is about 573.95%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 38.11. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 9.32 B. Net Income was 156.77 M with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 294.67 M. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Amark Preci Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Amark Preci Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Amark Preci's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Amark Preci's future price movements. Getting to know how Amark Preci's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Amark Preci may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CPSS | Consumer Portfolio Services | (0.19) | 8 per month | 2.31 | 0 | 6.15 | (4.18) | 16.63 | |
| ATLCP | Atlanticus Holdings Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.96 | (0.05) | 2.32 | (1.66) | 5.07 | |
| NNI | Nelnet Inc | 1.35 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.06 | 1.74 | (1.55) | 6.72 | |
| AIHS | Senmiao Technology | (0.01) | 5 per month | 3.29 | 0.16 | 11.11 | (7.69) | 33.44 | |
| ENVA | Enova International | (2.11) | 10 per month | 1.86 | 0.05 | 2.52 | (3.13) | 9.50 | |
| IX | Orix Corp Ads | 0.47 | 6 per month | 1.28 | 0.04 | 2.26 | (1.89) | 8.13 | |
| WRLD | World Acceptance | 4.16 | 11 per month | 2.91 | 0.04 | 3.06 | (4.16) | 25.97 | |
| FCFS | FirstCash | 2.55 | 10 per month | 0.97 | 0.13 | 2.29 | (1.58) | 7.28 | |
| SLMBP | SLM Corp Pb | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.44 | (0.96) | 5.07 | |
| AGM-A | Federal Agricultural Mortgage | 0.00 | 6 per month | 2.80 | (0.02) | 4.99 | (5.89) | 17.54 |
Amark Preci Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Amark price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Amark using various technical indicators. When you analyze Amark charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Amark Preci Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Amark Preci stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Amark Preci, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Amark Preci based on analysis of Amark Preci hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Amark Preci's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Amark Preci's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0289 | 0.0406 | 0.0467 | 0.053 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.0962 | 0.099 | 0.0891 | 0.0935 |
Story Coverage note for Amark Preci
The number of cover stories for Amark Preci depends on current market conditions and Amark Preci's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Amark Preci is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Amark Preci's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Amark Preci Short Properties
Amark Preci's future price predictability will typically decrease when Amark Preci's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Amark Preci often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Amark Preci's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Amark Preci's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 24.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 39.3 M |
Check out Amark Preci Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Amark Stock please use our How to buy in Amark Stock guide.You can also try the Portfolio Manager module to state of the art Portfolio Manager to monitor and improve performance of your invested capital.
Complementary Tools for Amark Stock analysis
When running Amark Preci's price analysis, check to measure Amark Preci's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Amark Preci is operating at the current time. Most of Amark Preci's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Amark Preci's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Amark Preci's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Amark Preci to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Amark Preci's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Amark Preci. If investors know Amark will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Amark Preci listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.58) | Dividend Share 1.2 | Earnings Share 4.5 | Revenue Per Share 429.366 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.066 |
The market value of Amark Preci is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Amark that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Amark Preci's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Amark Preci's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Amark Preci's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Amark Preci's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Amark Preci's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Amark Preci is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Amark Preci's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.