Amazon Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

AMZN -- USA Stock  

USD 1,843  29.22  1.61%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Amazon headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amazon brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Amazon hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Amazon from the prospective of Amazon response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Amazon over a specific investment horizon. Check also Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Amazon After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
Expected price to next headline

Amazon Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

July 21, 2018
Current Value
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Amazon is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amazon is based on 1 month time horizon.

Amazon Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23% 1.37% 7.45%  0.11% 3 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility

Amazon Hype Timeline

Amazon is presently traded for1,843. This company has historical hype elasticity of 7.45 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.11. Amazon is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1819.2. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 4.23%. The price appreciation on the next news is anticipated to be 0.3% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.23%. The volatility of related hype on Amazon is about 283.64% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1843.03. The company reported previous year revenue of 193.19 B. Net Income was 3.94 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 65.93 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 3 days.
Check also Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Amazon Related Hype Analysis

At Risk
Lands End(0.50) 3 per month 0.00 (0.35)  1.26 (2.19)  4.12 
RH 1.72 4 per month 0.00 (0.24)  3.77 (3.85)  11.24 
eBay 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Etsy(0.44) 5 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.12 (3.31)  7.23 
EVINE Live 0.01 4 per month 0.66  0.42  5.41 (2.40)  7.38 
Five Below(1.13) 4 per month 1.57  0.07  2.79 (1.84)  4.63 
1 800 FLOWERS COM(0.15) 4 per month 1.39 (0.0086)  2.39 (2.29)  4.68 
Advance Auto Parts 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
Acorn International(0.56) 1 per month 0.00 (0.09)  8.57 (21.86)  39.48 
AutoZone 5.88 4 per month 0.70  0.0276  1.38 (1.11)  3.00 

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Check also Amazon Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.