Amazon com Price Prediction

Amazon com Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 997  12.13  1.2%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Amazon com headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Amazon com Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Amazon com hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Amazon com Inc from the prospective of Amazon com response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Amazon com over a specific investment horizon. Check also Amazon com Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Investment Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Amazon com estimiated after-hype price volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
October 18, 2017
997.0
Current Value
Downside upside
Downside
995.24
997.46
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
999.68
Upside
Upside upside
Amazon com is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Amazon com Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Amazon com Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.1% 0.79% 0.29%  0.04% 2 Events / Month1 Events / MonthIn a few days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
997997.460.05%
27.53% 

Amazon com Hype Timeline

Amazon com Inc is presently traded for 997 . This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.29 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Amazon com Inc is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 997.46. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 27.53%. The price appreciation on the next news is estimated to be 0.05% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.1%. The volatility of related hype on Amazon com is about 176.21% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 997.04. The company reported previous year revenue of 150.12 B. Net Income was 1.92 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 47.72 B. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in a few days.
Check also Amazon com Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Amazon com Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
JD com Inc(0.36) 1 per month 0.00 (0.28)  0.00  2.45 (3.29)  6.17 
eBay Inc 0.07 2 per month 0.00 (0.23)  0.00  1.28 (1.36)  3.45 
Groupon Inc 0.05 1 per month 1.77  0.22 (2.36)  4 (3.21)  7.31 
LightInTheBox Holding Co Ltd 0.07 1 per month 0.00 (0.29)  0.00  5.56 (4.08)  10.58 
QVC Group(0.01) 1 per month 1.72 (0.044) (1.32)  2.38 (3.16)  6.03 
Amazon com Inc 2.87 2 per month 0.78 (0.0067) (0.65)  1.31 (1.2)  1.98