American National Insurance Price Prediction

ANATDelisted Stock  USD 190.02  0.00  0.00%   
At this time, the value of rsi of American National's share price is at 55. This suggests that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling American National's stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

55

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
American National stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of American National shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of American National's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of American National and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from American National's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American National Insurance, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether delisted stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of American National based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The American stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American National over a specific investment horizon. Using American National hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of American National Insurance from the perspective of American National response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in American National. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in American National to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying American because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

American National after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 190.02  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of American National's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of American National in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
161.17161.17209.02
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
190.14190.14190.14
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowerMiddle BandUpper
188.95189.75190.55
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as American National. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against American National's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, American National's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in American National.

American National After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of American National at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in American National or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of American National, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

American National Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting American National's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on American National's historical news coverage. American National's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 190.02 and 190.02, respectively. We have considered American National's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
190.02
190.02
Downside
190.02
After-hype Price
190.02
Upside
American National is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American National is based on 3 months time horizon.

American National Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as American National is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading American National backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with American National, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
 0.00  
0.00
 0.00  
 0.00  
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
190.02
190.02
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

American National Hype Timeline

American National is presently traded for 190.02. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. American forecasted not to react to the next headline with the price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of insignificant. The immediate return on the next newsis forecasted to be very small whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.0%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to American National is about 0.0%. The volatility of related hype on American National is about 0.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 190.02. About 24.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.75. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. American National recorded earning per share (EPS) of 28.1. The entity last dividend was issued on the 3rd of March 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.

American National Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to American National's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict American National's future price movements. Getting to know how American National rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how American National may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

American National Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine American price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for American using various technical indicators. When you analyze American charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About American National Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of American National stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as American National Insurance, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of American National based on analysis of American National hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to American National's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to American National's related companies.

Story Coverage note for American National

The number of cover stories for American National depends on current market conditions and American National's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that American National is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about American National's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

American National Short Properties

American National's future price predictability will typically decrease when American National's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of American National Insurance often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential American National's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. American National's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Shares Percent Shares Out1.86%
Trailing Annual Dividend Rate3.28
Short Percent Of Float32.69%
Float Shares20.41M
Shares Short Prior Month447.88k
Average Daily Volume Last 10 Day165.19k
Average Daily Volume In Three Month108.43k
Date Short Interest29th of April 2022
Trailing Annual Dividend Yield1.73%
Check out Trending Equities to better understand how to build diversified portfolios. Also, note that the market value of any Company could be tightly coupled with the direction of predictive economic indicators such as signals in nation.
Note that the American National information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other American National's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Technical Analysis module to check basic technical indicators and analysis based on most latest market data.

Other Consideration for investing in American Stock

If you are still planning to invest in American National check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the American National's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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