American Funds Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ANFFX -- USA Fund  

USD 44.51  0.96  2.11%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with American Funds New Economy Fund which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With American Funds hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of American Funds New Economy Fund from the prospective of American Funds response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on American Funds over a specific investment horizon. Check also American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

American Funds After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

American Funds Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 21, 2019
44.51
Current Value
44.52
After-hype Price
48.09
Upside
American Funds is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of American Funds New is based on 3 months time horizon.

American Funds Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.19% 0.01   0.02  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
44.5144.520.02 
793.33

American Funds Hype Timeline

American Funds New is presently traded for44.51. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.02. American Funds New Economy Fund is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 44.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 793.33%. The closing price rise on the next news is anticipated to be 0.02% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.06%. The volatility of related hype on American Funds is about 290.95% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 44.49. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

American Funds Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
The Growth Fund Of America Clas(0.88) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0108)  1.46 (2.54)  5.04 
Fidelity Contra Fund(0.04) 2 per month 0.00 (0.026)  1.58 (2.15)  6.37 
Fidelity Contra Fund Class K(0.28) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0254)  1.63 (2.60)  5.46 
AMCAP Fund Class 529 F 1 Share 0.38 10 per month 0.00 (0.0071)  1.65 (2.73)  5.60 
T Rowe Price Blue Chip Growth 0.64 9 per month 0.00 (0.0361)  1.70 (2.40)  5.42 
Vanguard Primecap Fund(0.46) 1 per month 0.00  0.0109  1.71 (2.74)  5.16 
Harbor Capital Appreciation Fun(1.30) 1 per month 0.00 (0.0029)  1.69 (2.57)  6.16 
Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund(0.25) 5 per month 0.00 (0.06)  1.79 (3.04)  6.11 
Fidelity Advisor New Insights F 0.11 12 per month 0.00 (0.0334)  1.29 (2.15)  4.80 
Vanguard U S Growth Fund Admi(2.01) 8 per month 0.00 (0.0208)  1.43 (2.52)  5.43 
Check also American Funds Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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