Air New Zealand Stock Price Prediction

ANZFF Stock  USD 0.37  0.02  5.71%   
As of 29th of March 2024, the relative strength index (RSI) of Air New's share price is approaching 45. This suggests that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Air New, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

45

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Air New Zealand stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Air New shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Air New's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Air New and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Air New's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air New Zealand, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
It is a matter of debate whether pink sheet price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Air New based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Air stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Air New over a specific investment horizon. Using Air New hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Air New Zealand from the perspective of Air New response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Air New. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Air New to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Air because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Air New after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 0.37  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Air New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Air New's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.020.313.59
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Air New. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Air New's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Air New's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Air New Zealand.

Air New After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Air New at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Air New or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Air New, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Air New Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Air New's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Air New's historical news coverage. Air New's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 3.65, respectively. We have considered Air New's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
0.37
0.37
After-hype Price
3.65
Upside
Air New is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air New Zealand is based on 3 months time horizon.

Air New Pink Sheet Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Air New is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Air New backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Air New, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.03 
3.28
 0.00  
  0.01 
0 Events / Month
3 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
0.37
0.37
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Air New Hype Timeline

Air New Zealand is presently traded for 0.37. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.01. Air is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. %. The volatility of related hype on Air New is about 1802.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.38. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.56. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Air New Zealand has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.87. The entity recorded a loss per share of 0.28. The firm last dividend was issued on the 12th of March 2020. Air New had 1:5 split on the 24th of August 2004. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next forecasted press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Air New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Air New Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Air New's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Air New's future price movements. Getting to know how Air New rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Air New may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Air New Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Air price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Air using various technical indicators. When you analyze Air charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Air New Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Air New stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Air New Zealand, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Air New based on analysis of Air New hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Air New's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Air New's related companies.

Story Coverage note for Air New

The number of cover stories for Air New depends on current market conditions and Air New's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Air New is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Air New's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

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Air New Short Properties

Air New's future price predictability will typically decrease when Air New's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Air New Zealand often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Air New's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Air New's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding3.4 B
Check out Air New Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Note that the Air New Zealand information on this page should be used as a complementary analysis to other Air New's statistical models used to find the right mix of equity instruments to add to your existing portfolios or create a brand new portfolio. You can also try the Watchlist Optimization module to optimize watchlists to build efficient portfolios or rebalance existing positions based on the mean-variance optimization algorithm.

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When running Air New's price analysis, check to measure Air New's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Air New is operating at the current time. Most of Air New's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Air New's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Air New's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Air New to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Please note, there is a significant difference between Air New's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Air New is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Air New's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.