Air Products Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

APD -- USA Stock  

USD 225.28  4.64  2.10%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Air Products and Chemicals which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Air Products hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Air Products and Chemicals from the prospective of Air Products response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Air Products over a specific investment horizon. Check also Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Air Products After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Air Products Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 25, 2019
225.28
Current Value
225.25
Downside
228.67
After-hype Price
232.09
Upside
Air Products is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Air Products is based on 2 months time horizon.

Air Products Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.03% 1.15% 0.05%  0.00% 6 Events / Month4 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
225.28228.670.01%
72.78% 

Air Products Hype Timeline

On 25 of August Air Products is traded for 225.28. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.05 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Air Products and Chemicals is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 228.67. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 72.78%. The price escalation on the next news is projected to be 0.01% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Air Products is about 871.21% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 225.28. The company reported last year revenue of 8.93B. Total Income to common stockholders was 1.71B with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 2.74B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Air Products Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Celanese Corporation Celanese C 0.26 8 per month 1.79  0.09  2.54 (3.51)  8.05 
Du Pont DeNemours 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
FutureFuel Corp 0.21 8 per month 0.00 (0.0064)  4.89 (3.45)  10.32 
BRASKEM S A SPON ADR EACH RP 2(0.21) 1 per month 0.00 (0.26)  1.39 (3.28)  11.40 
Air Products and Chemicals 1.58 6 per month 0.00  0.0494  1.29 (1.75)  5.10 
Ashland Global Holdings(1.18) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.79 (2.79)  5.25 
Eastman Chemical Company(1.31) 9 per month 0.00 (0.18)  2.26 (3.81)  8.36 
Huntsman Corporation 0.45 8 per month 0.00  0.0183  3.72 (4.67)  22.44 
LSB Industries(0.03) 6 per month 3.64  0.12  7.31 (5.61)  38.75 
Minerals Technologies(1.09) 10 per month 0.00 (0.09)  2.77 (5.10)  9.39 

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Check also Air Products Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Suggestion module to get suggestions outside of your existing asset allocation including your own model portfolios.
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