Blue Apron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

APRN -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blue Apron Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Blue Apron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Blue Apron Holdings from the prospective of Blue Apron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Blue Apron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Blue Apron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Blue Apron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
6.90
December 14, 2019
6.87
After-hype Price
21.78
Upside
Blue Apron is very risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Apron Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Blue Apron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17  4.97  0.03   0.07  8 Events / Month9 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.906.870.43 
2,761  

Blue Apron Hype Timeline

Blue Apron Holdings is presently traded for6.90. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Blue Apron Holdings is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 6.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 2761.11%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.43% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Blue Apron is about 1215.16% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.97. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.23. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Blue Apron Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.05. The entity recorded loss per share of 4.83. The firm had not issued any dividends in recent years. Blue Apron had a split on 2019-06-17. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Blue Apron Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BJs Wholesale Club Holdings I 0.33 11 per month 0.00 (0.0269)  3.73 (3.81)  20.25 
Lands End 0.39 11 per month 2.82  0.08  5.40 (5.46)  21.67 
Five Below(2.25) 8 per month 0.00 (0.09)  3.42 (2.73)  7.69 
1 800 FLOWERS COM(0.12) 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  3.04 (4.21)  12.18 
Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance 3.27 8 per month 1.73 (0.0237)  2.30 (2.49)  11.06 
Acorn International 0.36 7 per month 2.59 (0.0062)  4.47 (4.76)  13.39 
AutoZone(2.21) 7 per month 1.03  0.07  1.80 (1.62)  8.05 
Build A Bear Workshop(0.03) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  7.34 (4.92)  16.35 
Best Buy Co 4.37 9 per month 1.32  0.16  2.22 (2.30)  11.64 
CSS Industries(0.02) 9 per month 2.64  0.022  6.22 (4.81)  17.12 
Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
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