Blue Apron Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

APRN -- USA Stock  

USD 7.13  0.52  7.87%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Blue Apron Holdings which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Blue Apron hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Blue Apron Holdings from the prospective of Blue Apron response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Blue Apron over a specific investment horizon. Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Blue Apron After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Blue Apron Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

August 21, 2019
7.13
Current Value
7.52
After-hype Price
32.90
Upside
Blue Apron is risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Blue Apron Holdings is based on 2 months time horizon.

Blue Apron Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.47% 8.46% 0.39%  1.18% 7 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
7.137.525.47%
1,032% 

Blue Apron Hype Timeline

Blue Apron Holdings is presently traded for7.13. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.39 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -1.18. Blue Apron Holdings is projected to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 7.52. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 1031.71%. The price appreciation on the next news is projected to be 5.47% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.47%. The volatility of related hype on Blue Apron is about 337.19% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 5.95. The company currently holds about 95.64M in cash with (35.8M) of positive cash flow from operations. This results in cash-per-share (CPS) ratio of 7.31 which can makes it an attractive takeover target, given it will continue generating positive cash flow. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Blue Apron Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BJs Wholesale Club Holdings I 0.00 0 per month 0.00 (0.18)  0.00 (0.88)  5.60 
JD(1.30) 7 per month 2.01  0.07  3.88 (3.36)  16.25 
Lands End(0.43) 6 per month 0.00 (0.43)  2.04 (4.41)  9.88 
eBay(0.69) 8 per month 1.60  0.0482  2.27 (2.28)  7.12 
Etsy(0.58) 7 per month 0.00 (0.10)  3.53 (5.20)  16.82 
Five Below(2.26) 9 per month 0.00 (0.07)  4.53 (4.87)  10.77 
1 800 FLOWERS COM 0.43 7 per month 0.00  0.0225  2.71 (2.86)  5.85 
Advance Auto Parts Inc Advance(0.47) 6 per month 0.00 (0.13)  1.73 (2.96)  7.39 
Acorn International(0.36) 4 per month 0.00 (0.25)  3.75 (4.28)  8.63 
AutoZone(19.43) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0114)  1.52 (2.00)  4.55 
Check also Blue Apron Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Premium Stories module to follow macroaxis premium stories from verified contributors across different equity types, categories and coverage scope.
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