Arrow Electronics Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ARW -- USA Stock  

USD 70.54  1.78  2.59%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Arrow Electronics which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Arrow Electronics hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Arrow Electronics from the prospective of Arrow Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Arrow Electronics over a specific investment horizon. Check also Arrow Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Arrow Electronics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Arrow Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2018
70.54
Current Value
67.87
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
72.52
Upside
Arrow Electronics is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arrow Electronics is based on 1 month time horizon.

Arrow Electronics Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.53% 1.51% 1.10%  0.26% 6 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 6 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
70.5467.871.29%
72.60% 

Arrow Electronics Hype Timeline

On 19 of October Arrow Electronics is traded for 70.54. This company has historical hype elasticity of -1.1 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.26. Arrow Electronics is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 67.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 72.6%. The closing price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -1.29% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.53%. The volatility of related hype on Arrow Electronics is about 313.28% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 70.28. About 96.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Arrow Electronics has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.72. This company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.57. The firm last dividend was issued on 1986-12-17. Arrow Electronics had 2:1 split on 1997-10-16. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 6 days.
Check also Arrow Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Arrow Electronics Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ADDvantage Technologies Group(0.03) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0022)  2.92 (2.92)  5.84 
Arrow Electronics(2.08) 6 per month 0.00 (0.23)  2.65 (2.01)  4.21 
Avnet(0.63) 7 per month 0.00 (0.26)  2.40 (3.17)  4.69 
Littelfuse(1.32) 4 per month 0.00 (0.29)  2.54 (2.85)  3.80 
Asia Pacific Wire Cable Corporation Limited 0.09 4 per month 0.00 (0.033)  2.42 (4.34)  9.20 
Diodes Incorporated(0.72) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0496)  3.29 (3.44)  9.89 
Aquantia Corp 0.00 0 per month 0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00  0.00 
BlackBerry Limited(0.48) 4 per month 0.00 (0.0126)  3.17 (4.83)  16.90 
BlackLine 0.36 6 per month 0.00 (0.25)  3.35 (5.69)  9.45 
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises(0.01) 5 per month 3.67  0.17  8.85 (6.09)  20.09 

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Check also Arrow Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Insider Screener module to find insiders across different sectors to evaluate their impact on performance.
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