Arrow Electronics Price Prediction

Arrow Electronics Inc -- USA Stock  

USD 84.13  2.81  3.23%

Macroaxis is not in business of monitoring Arrow Electronics headlines and social sentiment data; there are plenty of companies out there that do it quite successfully. However, we do analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Arrow Electronics Inc brand which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Arrow Electronics hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Arrow Electronics Inc from the prospective of Arrow Electronics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Arrow Electronics over a specific investment horizon. Check also Arrow Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
 Time Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Arrow Electronics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline
January 21, 2018
84.13
Current Value
Downside upside
84.98
After-hype Price
Target Price Odds
 Above  Below  
88.16
Upside
Upside upside
Arrow Electronics is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Arrow Electronics Inc is based on 1 month time horizon.

Arrow Electronics Hype Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.44% 1.06% 0.85%  0.07% 1 Events / Month1 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
84.1384.981.01%
54.64% 

Arrow Electronics Hype Timeline

On 21 of January Arrow Electronics Inc is traded for 84.13. This company has historical hype elasticity of 0.85 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Arrow Electronics Inc is estimated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 84.98. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 54.64%. The price escalation on the next news is estimated to be 1.01% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Arrow Electronics is about 648.98% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 84.2. The company reported last year revenue of 25.62 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 512.6 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 3.14 B. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be very soon.
Check also Arrow Electronics Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Arrow Electronics Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Expected
Short fall
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Micron Technology Inc(1.2) 1 per month 0.00 (0.1)  0.00  4.22 (4.24)  11.87 
ON Semiconductor Corporation 0.12 1 per month 0.00  0.4 (1.84)  4.15 (0.9)  5.67 
Flex Ltd 0.16 2 per month 0.52  0.15 (1.13)  2.21 (1.5)  4.57 
Analog Devices Inc(0.33) 2 per month 0.00  0.18 (0.98)  1.75 (1.13)  3.07 
Advanced Micro Devices Inc 0.29 1 per month 1.66  0.16 (2.48)  5.19 (3.21)  10.56 
Arrow Electronics Inc 1.94 1 per month 0.00  0.15  0.00  1.21 (0.77)  3.16