Asian Paints (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ASIANPAINT -- India Stock  

INR 1,379  20.45  1.46%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asian Paints Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Asian Paints hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Asian Paints Limited from the prospective of Asian Paints response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Asian Paints over a specific investment horizon. Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Asian Paints After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Asian Paints Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 21, 2019
1,379
Current Value
1,378
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
1,382
Upside
Asian Paints is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asian Paints Limited is based on 2 months time horizon.

Asian Paints Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.04% 1.14% 0.74%  0.16% 5 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 5 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,3791,3780.05%
6.18% 

Asian Paints Hype Timeline

Asian Paints Limited is presently traded for 1,379on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.74 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.16. Asian Paints Limited is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 1378.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 6.18%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.05% where as daily expected return is presently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on Asian Paints is about 28.32% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1378.84. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 21.75. Asian Paints Limited last dividend was issued on 2018-10-29. The entity had 10:1 split on 2013-07-30. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 5 days.
Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Asian Paints Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Asian Paints Limited 17.35 3 per month 0.88  0.0236  1.59 (1.93)  6.60 
Asian Paints Limited(18.45) 5 per month 1.01  0.0088  1.78 (2.00)  6.02 
Pidilite Industries Limited 0.55 4 per month 0.00 (0.11)  3.07 (1.95)  8.05 
Pidilite Industries Limited(1.05) 7 per month 0.00 (0.06)  2.90 (2.12)  9.15 
Berger Paints India Limited 1.95 2 per month 0.00 (0.09)  1.99 (2.91)  8.58 
Berger Paints India Limited(1.45) 6 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.33 (2.73)  8.58 
Kansai Nerolac Paints Limited(1.90) 3 per month 0.00 (0.0486)  3.06 (3.28)  8.86 
Castrol India Limited(3.05) 4 per month 0.00 (0.045)  2.41 (2.02)  14.72 
Castrol India Limited 0.95 8 per month 1.56 (0.013)  2.86 (2.15)  12.64 
Aarti Industries Limited(35.15) 4 per month 0.00 (0.06)  3.19 (4.35)  11.56 

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Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Chance of Distress module to get analysis of equity chance of financial distress in the next 2 years.
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