Asian Paints (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ASIANPAINT -- India Stock  

INR 1,293  9.80  0.75%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Asian Paints Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Asian Paints hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Asian Paints Limited from the prospective of Asian Paints response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Asian Paints over a specific investment horizon. Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Asian Paints After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
 
Expected price to next headline

Asian Paints Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

September 25, 2018
1,293
Current Value
1,296
After-hype Price
Target Odds
  
1,300
Upside
Asian Paints is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Asian Paints Limited is based on 1 month time horizon.

Asian Paints Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.33% 1.40% 3.00%  0.57% 1 Events / Month4 Events / MonthVery soon
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
1,2931,2960.23%
15.38% 

Asian Paints Hype Timeline

Asian Paints Limited is presently traded for 1,293on Bombay Stock Exchange of India. This company has historical hype elasticity of 3.0 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Asian Paints Limited is anticipated to increase in value after the next headline with price going to jump to 1296.3. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 15.38%. The price increase on the next news is estimated to be 0.23% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.33%. The volatility of related hype on Asian Paints is about 80.92% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 1293.87. The company reported revenue of 166.67 B. Net Income was 19.69 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 68.44 B. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be very soon.
Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Asian Paints Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Tata Consultancy Services Limited 0.30 3 per month 0.00  0.0449  1.05 (0.94)  3.01 
Tata Consultancy Services Limited(0.95) 5 per month 0.00  0.06  1.14 (0.72)  2.98 
Reliance Industries Limited(19.20) 4 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.80 (2.55)  5.68 
Reliance Industries Limited 30.15 3 per month 0.00 (0.17)  2.80 (2.49)  5.98 
HDFC Bank Limited(7.60) 5 per month 0.00 (0.69)  0.67 (1.46)  2.52 
HDFC Bank Limited 5.95 4 per month 0.00 (0.55)  0.88 (1.44)  2.68 
ITC Limited 0.15 4 per month 0.00 (0.30)  1.44 (1.27)  4.53 
Hindustan Unilever Limited 24.95 5 per month 0.00 (0.27)  1.92 (2.45)  8.28 
ITC Limited(1.60) 5 per month 0.00 (0.29)  1.37 (1.42)  5.07 
Hindustan Unilever Limited(14.85) 5 per month 0.00 (0.26)  1.87 (2.39)  8.21 

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Check also Asian Paints Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Risk-Return Analysis module to view associations between returns expected from investment and the risk you assume.
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