A10 Networks Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ATEN -- USA Stock  

Quarterly Earning Report: October 29, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with A10 Networks which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With A10 Networks hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of A10 Networks from the prospective of A10 Networks response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on A10 Networks over a specific investment horizon. Check also A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

A10 Networks After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

A10 Networks Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 15, 2019
6.49
Current Value
6.43
After-hype Price
12.58
Upside
A10 Networks is relatively risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of A10 Networks is based on 3 months time horizon.

A10 Networks Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.23  2.05% 0.06   0.01  7 Events / Month8 Events / MonthIn about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.496.430.92 
820.00

A10 Networks Hype Timeline

A10 Networks is presently traded for6.49. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. A10 Networks is projected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 6.43. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 820.0%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.92% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.23%. The volatility of related hype on A10 Networks is about 3596.49% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 6.48. About 15.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded loss per share of 0.29. A10 Networks had not issued any dividends in recent years. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 7 days.
Check also A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

A10 Networks Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BlackLine 0.48 8 per month 2.59  0.0157  2.84 (4.62)  39.48 
EVO Payments(0.03) 5 per month 0.00 (0.0074)  1.53 (1.07)  4.44 
Evertec(0.52) 11 per month 0.00 (0.0164)  2.42 (3.37)  18.64 
F5 Networks(0.83) 9 per month 0.00 (0.046)  2.66 (3.19)  8.10 
Fair Isaac Corproation 3.37 11 per month 0.00 (0.0438)  3.08 (5.45)  11.55 
Five9(1.57) 10 per month 2.35  0.1  4.06 (4.45)  23.27 
Black Knight(1.18) 8 per month 1.20  0.0254  1.63 (1.80)  4.60 
Box 0.39 9 per month 0.00  0.00  2.82 (3.72)  18.65 
Dropbox(0.39) 5 per month 0.49  0.21  2.40 (0.96)  6.64 
Amdocs Limited(0.29) 9 per month 0.85  0.09  1.11 (1.39)  4.88 
Check also A10 Networks Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Volatility Analysis module to get historical volatility and risk analysis based on latest market data.
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