Agro Tech (India) Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

ATFL -- India Stock  

INR 574.85  19.00  3.42%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Agro Tech Foods Limited which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Agro Tech hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Agro Tech Foods Limited from the prospective of Agro Tech response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Agro Tech over a specific investment horizon. Check also Agro Tech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Agro Tech After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Agro Tech Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

February 18, 2019
574.85
Current Value
567.15
Downside
574.02
After-hype Price
Target Odds
Odds Odds
580.89
Upside
Agro Tech is not too risky asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Agro Tech Foods is based on 2 months time horizon.

Agro Tech Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.12% 2.29% 0.83%  4.17% 3 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
574.85574.020.14%
33.19% 

Agro Tech Hype Timeline

Agro Tech Foods is presently traded for 574.85on National Stock Exchange of India of India. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.83 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -4.17. Agro Tech Foods Limited is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 574.02. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 33.19%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.14% where as daily expected return is presently at -0.12%. The volatility of related hype on Agro Tech is about 6.6% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 570.68. The book value of the company was presently reported as 139.39. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.31. Agro Tech Foods recorded earning per share (EPS) of 13.56. The entity last dividend was issued on 2018-07-17. Assuming 30 trading days horizon, the next anticipated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check also Agro Tech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Agro Tech Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Nestl India Limited 60.90 1 per month 1.90  0.0019  3.03 (4.04)  7.87 
Nestl India Limited(321.70) 1 per month 1.74 (0.0082)  2.14 (2.80)  7.42 
Britannia Industries Limited(43.50) 7 per month 0.00 (0.07)  1.90 (3.24)  8.52 
Britannia Industries Limited 42.70 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  1.82 (2.77)  10.97 
GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare Limited(79.95) 5 per month 0.00 (0.10)  1.96 (2.04)  6.39 
GlaxoSmithKline Consumer Healthcare Limited 1.70 4 per month 0.00 (0.12)  1.81 (1.82)  4.38 
Tata Global Beverages Limited(3.85) 4 per month 0.00 (0.18)  3.50 (3.61)  8.97 
Tata Global Beverages Limited 1.65 7 per month 0.00 (0.16)  2.47 (3.36)  9.17 
Hatsun Agro Product Limited(10.50) 4 per month 1.30  0.0435  2.76 (2.26)  8.42 
Hatsun Agro Product Limited 5.40 3 per month 1.49  0.05  2.76 (2.92)  8.61 

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Check also Agro Tech Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Coins and Tokens Correlation module to utilize digital token correlation table to build portfolio of cryptocurrencies across multiple exchanges.
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