Altice Usa Stock Price Prediction
| ATUS Stock | USD 1.95 0.01 0.52% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
51
Oversold | Overbought |
Altice USA stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Altice USA shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Altice USA's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Altice USA and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Altice USA's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Altice USA, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Altice USA's stock price prediction:Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.05 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.26 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.31 | Wall Street Target Price 3.63 |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Altice USA based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Altice stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Altice USA over a specific investment horizon. Using Altice USA hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Altice USA from the perspective of Altice USA response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Altice USA using Altice USA's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Altice using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Altice USA's stock price.
Altice USA Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Altice USA's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Altice. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Altice USA stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall. An investor who is long Altice USA may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Altice USA and may potentially protect profits, hedge Altice USA with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 2.7713 | Short Percent 0.1289 | Short Ratio 7.25 | Shares Short Prior Month 25.7 M | 50 Day MA 2.43 |
Altice USA Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Altice USA's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Altice. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Altice can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Altice USA. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Altice USA's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Altice USA.
Altice USA Implied Volatility | 115.35 |
Altice USA's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Altice USA stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Altice USA's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Altice USA stock will not fluctuate a lot when Altice USA's options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Altice USA. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Altice USA to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Altice because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Altice USA after-hype prediction price | USD 1.93 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Altice |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Altice USA's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Altice USA After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Altice USA at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Altice USA or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Altice USA, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Altice USA Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Altice USA's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Altice USA's historical news coverage. Altice USA's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.10 and 8.78, respectively. We have considered Altice USA's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Altice USA is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Altice USA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Altice USA Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Altice USA is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Altice USA backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Altice USA, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 6.85 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 11 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
1.95 | 1.93 | 0.52 |
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Altice USA Hype Timeline
Altice USA is presently traded for 1.95. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Altice is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 1.93. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.52%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at -0.03%. The volatility of related hype on Altice USA is about 31615.38%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 1.95. About 20.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.1. Altice USA last dividend was issued on the 7th of June 2018. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Altice USA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Altice USA Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Altice USA's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Altice USA's future price movements. Getting to know how Altice USA's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Altice USA may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LBTYA | Liberty Global PLC | 0.17 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 2.62 | (2.74) | 9.66 | |
| SHEN | Shenandoah Telecommunications Co | (0.21) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 2.68 | (3.80) | 18.65 | |
| LBTYB | Liberty Global PLC | 0.00 | 8 per month | 1.68 | 0.01 | 4.59 | (3.48) | 17.73 | |
| LILA | Liberty Latin America | 0.04 | 8 per month | 3.09 | 0 | 4.55 | (4.87) | 13.20 | |
| LBRDP | Liberty Broadband Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.92 | (0.01) | 1.35 | (1.15) | 3.93 | |
| TLK | Telkom Indonesia Tbk | (0.13) | 4 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 1.43 | (2.32) | 6.35 |
Altice USA Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Altice price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Altice using various technical indicators. When you analyze Altice charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Altice USA Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Altice USA stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Altice USA, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Altice USA based on analysis of Altice USA hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Altice USA's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Altice USA's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 5.87E-4 | 5.57E-4 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.16 | 0.15 |
Story Coverage note for Altice USA
The number of cover stories for Altice USA depends on current market conditions and Altice USA's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Altice USA is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Altice USA's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Altice USA Short Properties
Altice USA's future price predictability will typically decrease when Altice USA's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Altice USA often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Altice USA's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Altice USA's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 455 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 302.3 M |
Check out Altice USA Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Altice Stock please use our How to Invest in Altice USA guide.You can also try the Positions Ratings module to determine portfolio positions ratings based on digital equity recommendations. Macroaxis instant position ratings are based on combination of fundamental analysis and risk-adjusted market performance.
Complementary Tools for Altice Stock analysis
When running Altice USA's price analysis, check to measure Altice USA's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Altice USA is operating at the current time. Most of Altice USA's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Altice USA's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Altice USA's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Altice USA to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Altice USA's industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Altice USA. If investors know Altice will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Altice USA listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.22) | Earnings Share 0.12 | Revenue Per Share 20.314 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.03) | Return On Assets 0.0365 |
The market value of Altice USA is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Altice that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Altice USA's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Altice USA's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Altice USA's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Altice USA's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Altice USA's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Altice USA is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Altice USA's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.