Golden Minerals Stock Price Prediction
| AUMN Stock | USD 0.58 0.02 3.57% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
69
Oversold | Overbought |
Golden Minerals stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Golden Minerals shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Golden Minerals' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Golden Minerals and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Golden Minerals' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Golden Minerals, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Golden Minerals' stock price prediction:EPS Estimate Current Year (0.96) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.41) | Wall Street Target Price 5.04 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.94) |
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Golden Minerals based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Golden stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Golden Minerals over a specific investment horizon. Using Golden Minerals hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Golden Minerals from the perspective of Golden Minerals response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Golden Minerals. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Golden Minerals to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Golden because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Golden Minerals after-hype prediction price | USD 0.39 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Golden |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Golden Minerals' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Golden Minerals After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Golden Minerals at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Golden Minerals or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Golden Minerals, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Golden Minerals Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Golden Minerals' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Golden Minerals' historical news coverage. Golden Minerals' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.02 and 10.20, respectively. We have considered Golden Minerals' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Golden Minerals is dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Golden Minerals is based on 3 months time horizon.
Golden Minerals Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Golden Minerals is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Golden Minerals backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Golden Minerals, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.94 | 9.88 | 0.20 | 0.03 | 5 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In about 5 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.58 | 0.39 | 32.76 |
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Golden Minerals Hype Timeline
Golden Minerals is presently traded for 0.58. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.2, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Golden is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.39. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -32.76%, whereas the daily expected return is presently at 0.94%. The volatility of related hype on Golden Minerals is about 34870.59%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.61. About 17.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.86. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Golden Minerals recorded a loss per share of 1.08. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of September 2010. The firm had 1:25 split on the 9th of June 2023. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 5 days. Check out Golden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Golden Minerals Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Golden Minerals' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Golden Minerals' future price movements. Getting to know how Golden Minerals' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Golden Minerals may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SSVRF | Summa Silver Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.76 | (0.01) | 8.00 | (5.41) | 24.46 | |
| GLGDF | GoGold Resources | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.99 | 0.03 | 6.38 | (5.88) | 25.39 | |
| SCTSF | Scottie Resources Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.35 | 0.03 | 9.09 | (7.69) | 33.19 | |
| BBBXF | Brixton Metals | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.55 | 0.02 | 13.92 | (7.78) | 30.23 | |
| FBCPF | Fabled Copper Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 35.68 | |
| HL | Hecla Mining | 0.17 | 9 per month | 2.82 | 0.11 | 6.15 | (4.48) | 13.26 |
Golden Minerals Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Golden price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Golden using various technical indicators. When you analyze Golden charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Golden Minerals Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Golden Minerals stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Golden Minerals, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Golden Minerals based on analysis of Golden Minerals hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Golden Minerals's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Golden Minerals's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 18.4 | 22.96 | 96.16 | 100.97 | PTB Ratio | 3.99 | 7.01 | 0.87 | 0.82 |
Story Coverage note for Golden Minerals
The number of cover stories for Golden Minerals depends on current market conditions and Golden Minerals' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Golden Minerals is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Golden Minerals' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Golden Minerals Short Properties
Golden Minerals' future price predictability will typically decrease when Golden Minerals' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Golden Minerals often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Golden Minerals' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Golden Minerals' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 8.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.8 M |
Check out Golden Minerals Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Golden Stock, please use our How to Invest in Golden Minerals guide.You can also try the Top Crypto Exchanges module to search and analyze digital assets across top global cryptocurrency exchanges.
Complementary Tools for Golden Stock analysis
When running Golden Minerals' price analysis, check to measure Golden Minerals' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Golden Minerals is operating at the current time. Most of Golden Minerals' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Golden Minerals' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Golden Minerals' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Golden Minerals to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Golden Minerals' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Golden Minerals. If investors know Golden will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Golden Minerals listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Earnings Share (1.08) | Revenue Per Share 1.405 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.94) | Return On Assets (0.33) | Return On Equity (1.59) |
The market value of Golden Minerals is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Golden that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Golden Minerals' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Golden Minerals' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Golden Minerals' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Golden Minerals' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Golden Minerals' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Golden Minerals is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Golden Minerals' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.