Barnes Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

B -- USA Stock  

Fiscal Quarter End: December 31, 2019  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barnes Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With Barnes hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of Barnes Group from the prospective of Barnes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Barnes over a specific investment horizon. Check also Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

Barnes After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

Barnes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

November 20, 2019
58.44
Current Value
57.15
After-hype Price
64.56
Upside
Barnes is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barnes Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barnes Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.44  2.45% 1.33   0.07  9 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
58.4457.152.27 
81.13

Barnes Hype Timeline

As of November 20, 2019 Barnes Group is listed for 58.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.33 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.07. Barnes Group is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 57.15. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 81.13%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -2.27% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Barnes is about 1601.31% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 58.51. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Barnes was currently reported as 23.88. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.85. Barnes Group last dividend was issued on 2019-11-25. The entity had 2:1 split on 2006-06-12. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barnes Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Barnes Group(3.02) 9 per month 1.40  0.13  4.12 (3.26)  16.65 
Ampco Pittsburgh Corporation(0.06) 9 per month 0.00 (0.0319)  6.16 (4.40)  26.04 
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I 0.07 9 per month 3.54  0.0139  6.46 (5.28)  22.35 
Crane Company(0.25) 9 per month 1.96  0.0265  2.15 (2.56)  12.11 
Curtiss Wright Corporation 3.76 10 per month 1.10  0.1  2.09 (2.00)  6.60 
General Electric Company 0.08 10 per month 1.46  0.15  4.14 (3.27)  12.94 
Hillenbrand 0.10 9 per month 1.56  0.05  3.47 (2.75)  8.27 
Ingersoll Rand Plc 0.48 8 per month 1.11  0.0431  1.90 (2.52)  6.53 
Parker Hannifin Corporation 0.51 9 per month 1.56  0.09  3.05 (2.70)  10.61 
Actuant Corp(0.14) 9 per month 1.34  0.13  2.81 (2.28)  9.38 
Check also Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
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