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Barnes Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

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B -- USA Stock  

 Earnings Call  Today

Barnes Calculated Tax Rate is expected to increase based on the last few years of reporting. The last year's Calculated Tax Rate was at 17.92. The current year PPandE Turnover is expected to grow to 5.07, whereas Interest Coverage is expected to decline to 11.82. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barnes Group which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Using Barnes hype-based prediction you can estimate the value of Barnes Group from the prospective of Barnes response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Barnes over a specific investment horizon. Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barnes After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
    
  Expected price to next headline 

Barnes Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

Current Value
64.99
February 21, 2020
66.07
After-hype Price
70.21
Upside
Barnes is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barnes Group is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barnes Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.17  1.39  0.31   0.02  8 Events / Month5 Events / MonthIn about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
64.9966.070.50 
75.54  

Barnes Hype Timeline

As of February 21, 2020 Barnes Group is listed for 64.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31 and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Barnes Group is expected to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 66.07. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 75.54%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.5% where as daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Barnes is about 1404.04% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 65.01. About 92.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Barnes was currently reported as 24.53. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.07. Barnes Group last dividend was issued on 2019-11-25. The entity had 2:1 split on 2006-06-12. Taking into account the 30 trading days horizon, the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barnes Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
Barnes Group(1.84) 8 per month 1.17  0.0311  2.14 (1.85)  8.09 
Ampco Pittsburgh Corporation 0.14 8 per month 0.00 (0.17)  3.41 (3.68)  11.58 
Babcock Wilcox Enterprises I 0.04 7 per month 3.27  0.0361  5.90 (5.29)  18.27 
Crane Co 0.31 10 per month 0.89  0.0015  1.89 (1.48)  4.90 
Curtiss Wright Corporation 0.48 11 per month 0.75 (0.0313)  1.44 (1.26)  3.80 
General Electric Company(0.23) 10 per month 1.10  0.0341  3.86 (2.02)  12.51 
Hillenbrand(0.47) 7 per month 0.00 (0.24)  2.49 (3.13)  8.14 
Ingersoll Rand Plc 1.32 9 per month 0.50  0.12  2.07 (1.20)  4.10 
Actuant Corp 0.13 10 per month 1.72 (0.0161)  2.75 (2.37)  11.60 
Franklin Electric Co 1.11 9 per month 1.18  0.07  2.53 (1.83)  6.60 
Continue to Barnes Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
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