BancFirst Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BANF -- USA Stock  

Earnings Report: January 16, 2020  

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BancFirst Corporation which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With BancFirst hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of BancFirst Corporation from the prospective of BancFirst response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BancFirst over a specific investment horizon. Check also BancFirst Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

BancFirst After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

BancFirst Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 19, 2019
56.32
Current Value
56.32
After-hype Price
60.94
Upside
BancFirst is very steady asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BancFirst is based on 3 months time horizon.

BancFirst Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.06  1.54% 0.00   0.00  9 Events / Month7 Events / MonthIn about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
56.3256.320.00 
2,567

BancFirst Hype Timeline

BancFirst is currently traded for56.32. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. BancFirst Corporation is projected not to react to the next headline with price going to stay at about the same level and average media hype impact volatility of 2566.67%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small where as daily expected return is currently at 0.06%. The volatility of relative hype elasticity to BancFirst is about 154000.0%%. The volatility of related hype on BancFirst is about 154000.0% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 56.32. About 44.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.94. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. BancFirst has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.99. The entity last dividend was issued on 2019-09-27. The firm had 2:1 split on 2017-08-01. Given the investment horizon of 30 days, the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check also BancFirst Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BancFirst Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
EMBASSY BANCORP INC 0.00 8 per month 0.83  0.10  1.85 (1.16)  7.09 
Prosperity Bancshares(0.05) 6 per month 1.53  0.07  2.38 (2.79)  7.24 
Emclaire Financial Corp 0.00 9 per month 0.00 (0.0319)  5.92 (5.31)  19.08 
ENB FINACIAL CORP 0.00 11 per month 1.15  0.09  1.96 (2.43)  6.32 
Eagle Bancorp 0.24 10 per month 2.40  0.10  2.74 (2.47)  13.29 
Eagle Bancorp Montana(0.11) 9 per month 1.18  0.11  3.15 (2.27)  7.24 
Byline Bancorp(0.03) 7 per month 0.00 (0.0144)  2.25 (2.47)  7.63 
DNB Financial Corp(0.13) 10 per month 0.00 (0.0039)  2.02 (2.24)  6.48 
Enterprise Financial Services C 0.09 7 per month 1.41  0.06  2.47 (2.27)  9.52 
EAGLE FINANCIAL SERVICES INC 0.00 10 per month 0.95  0.0366  1.68 (1.92)  6.29 
Check also BancFirst Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Commodity Channel Index module to use commodity channel index to analyze current equity momentum.
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