BHP Group Price Prediction and Hype Density Breakdown

BBL -- USA Stock  

USD 41.02  0.11  0.27%

We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with BHP Group PlcSponsored which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. With BHP Group hype-based prediction module you can estimate the value of BHP Group PlcSponsored from the prospective of BHP Group response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. The module also provides analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on BHP Group over a specific investment horizon. Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Horizon     30 Days    Login   to change

BHP Group After-Hype Price Density Analysis

 Next price density 
      Expected price to next headline 

BHP Group Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

October 18, 2019
41.02
Current Value
40.96
After-hype Price
45.91
Upside
BHP Group is not too volatile asset. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BHP Group PlcSponsored is based on 3 months time horizon.

BHP Group Next Price Analysis

Daily Expected returnPeriod VolatilityHype elasticityRelated hype elasticityAverage news densityRelated news densityNext Expected Hype
 0.27  1.65% 0.06   0.11  3 Events / Month6 Events / MonthIn about 3 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
41.0240.960.15 
717.39

BHP Group Hype Timeline

On 18 of October BHP Group PlcSponsored is traded for 41.02. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.11. BHP Group PlcSponsored is estimated to decline in value after the next headline with price expected to drop to 40.96. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company stock price is about 717.39%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.15% where as daily expected return is currently at -0.27%. The volatility of related hype on BHP Group is about 415.62% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 40.91. The book value of the company was currently reported as 18.68. The company last dividend was issued on 2019-09-05. BHP Group PlcSponsored had 1:1 split on 2002-07-29. Considering 30-days investment horizon, the next estimated press release will be in about 3 days.
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

BHP Group Related Hype Analysis

Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ANGLO AMERICAN PLATINUM LTD(1.70) 6 per month 2.29  0.13  5.45 (4.15)  14.14 
Zijin Mng Gr ADR(0.24) 1 per month 0.00 (0.11)  0.00  0.00  5.74 
Teck Resources Ltd(0.71) 7 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.85 (4.99)  9.04 
ZIJIN MINING GROUP LTD 0.00 8 per month 0.00 (0.08)  2.94 (3.80)  17.67 
BHP Group PlcSponsored(0.23) 3 per month 0.00 (0.13)  2.66 (3.01)  6.96 
ANGLO AMERICAN 0.00 7 per month 0.00 (0.0126)  5.86 (5.40)  24.91 
BHP GROUP PLC 0.00 7 per month 0.00  0.0159  2.55 (3.38)  17.12 
VALE S A(0.29) 10 per month 0.00 (0.14)  3.05 (4.02)  9.10 
BHP Group Limited(0.24) 9 per month 0.00 (0.15)  2.22 (2.92)  6.19 
Rio Tinto Plc(0.56) 10 per month 0.00 (0.10)  2.68 (3.15)  6.42 
Check also BHP Group Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Please also try Focused Opportunities module to build portfolios using our predefined set of ideas and optimize them against your investing preferences.
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