Barrett Business Services Stock Price Prediction

BBSI Stock  USD 120.16  1.16  0.97%   
As of 18th of March 2024, the relative strength index (rsi) of Barrett Business' share price is at 54 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Barrett Business' stock, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
Barrett Business Services stock price prediction is an act of determining the future value of Barrett Business shares using few different conventional methods such as EPS estimation, analyst consensus, or fundamental intrinsic valuation. The successful prediction of Barrett Business' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Barrett Business and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Barrett Business' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Barrett Business Services, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Barrett Business' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.509
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.65
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.59
Wall Street Target Price
143.75
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.9
It is a matter of debate whether stock price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Barrett Business based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. The Barrett stock price prediction module provides an analysis of price elasticity to changes in media outlook on Barrett Business over a specific investment horizon. Using Barrett Business hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Barrett Business Services from the perspective of Barrett Business response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Barrett Business using Barrett Business' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Barrett using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Barrett Business' stock price.

Barrett Business Implied Volatility

    
  0.0  
Barrett Business' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Barrett Business Services stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Barrett Business' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Barrett Business stock will not fluctuate a lot when Barrett Business' options are near their expiration.
This module is based on analyzing investor sentiment around taking a position in Barrett Business. This speculative approach is based exclusively on the idea that markets are driven by emotions such as investor fear and greed. The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Barrett Business to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Barrett because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Barrett Business after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 118.87  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Barrett contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Barrett Business Services will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0% per day over the life of the 2024-04-19 option contract. With Barrett Business trading at USD 120.16, that is roughly USD 0.0 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Barrett Business' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Barrett Business Services options at the current volatility level of 0.0%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Barrett Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, frequently view the market will even out over time. This tendency of Barrett Business' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy. Please use the tools below to analyze the current value of Barrett Business in the context of predictive analytics.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
116.14117.64119.14
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
115.65117.15118.66
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
107.61118.25131.26
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
-0.43-0.33-0.3
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Barrett Business. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Barrett Business' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Barrett Business' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Barrett Business Services.

Barrett Business After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Barrett Business at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Barrett Business or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Barrett Business, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Barrett Business Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Barrett Business' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Barrett Business' historical news coverage. Barrett Business' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 117.37 and 120.37, respectively. We have considered Barrett Business' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
120.16
117.37
Downside
118.87
After-hype Price
120.37
Upside
Barrett Business is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Barrett Business Services is based on 3 months time horizon.

Barrett Business Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Barrett Business is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Barrett Business backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Barrett Business, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.08 
1.49
  0.15 
  0.03 
8 Events / Month
6 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
120.16
118.87
0.11 
78.01  
Notes

Barrett Business Hype Timeline

Barrett Business Services is currently traded for 120.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.15 and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.03. Barrett is projected to decline in value after the next headline with the price expected to drop to 118.87. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 78.01%. The price decrease on the next newsis expected to be -0.11% whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.08%. The volatility of related hype on Barrett Business is about 360.12% with expected price after next announcement by competition of 120.13. About 87.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Barrett Business was currently reported as 27.87. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.09. Barrett Business Services recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.39. The entity last dividend was issued on the 14th of March 2024. The firm had 3:2 split on the 20th of May 2005. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Barrett Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Barrett Business Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Barrett Business' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Barrett Business' future price movements. Getting to know how Barrett Business rivals react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Barrett Business may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BRBroadridge Financial Solutions(2.16)11 per month 0.95 (0.05) 1.65 (2.06) 4.53 
BVBrightView Holdings 0.12 11 per month 1.37  0.12  4.23 (2.73) 8.83 
FCFranklin Covey(0.10)9 per month 2.29 (0.07) 2.92 (4.00) 8.96 
LZLegalZoom 1.15 7 per month 2.07  0.06  3.94 (3.36) 16.26 
MGMistras Group(0.06)8 per month 1.41  0.15  4.33 (2.99) 10.80 
NLNL Industries(0.14)8 per month 1.73  0.09  4.60 (2.65) 10.07 
SPSP Plus Corp(0.08)8 per month 0.33 (0.33) 0.72 (0.48) 1.96 
WMWaste Management(2.04)8 per month 0.00  0.17  1.50 (0.79) 6.74 

Barrett Business Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Barrett price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Barrett using various technical indicators. When you analyze Barrett charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Barrett Business Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Barrett Business stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Barrett Business Services, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Barrett Business based on analysis of Barrett Business hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Barrett Business's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Barrett Business's related companies.
 2021 2022 2023 2024 (projected)
Operating Cycle92.19106.1561.2347.47
Dividend Yield0.01720.01260.01020.0182

Story Coverage note for Barrett Business

The number of cover stories for Barrett Business depends on current market conditions and Barrett Business' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Barrett Business is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Barrett Business' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Barrett Business Short Properties

Barrett Business' future price predictability will typically decrease when Barrett Business' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Barrett Business Services often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Barrett Business' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Barrett Business' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding6.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments249.7 M
When determining whether Barrett Business Services offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Barrett Business' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Barrett Business Services Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Barrett Business Services Stock:
Check out Barrett Business Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Content Syndication module to quickly integrate customizable finance content to your own investment portal.

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When running Barrett Business' price analysis, check to measure Barrett Business' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Barrett Business is operating at the current time. Most of Barrett Business' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Barrett Business' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Barrett Business' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Barrett Business to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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Is Barrett Business' industry expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Barrett Business. If investors know Barrett will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Barrett Business listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.509
Dividend Share
1.2
Earnings Share
7.39
Revenue Per Share
158.863
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.1
The market value of Barrett Business Services is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Barrett that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Barrett Business' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Barrett Business' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Barrett Business' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Barrett Business' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Barrett Business' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Barrett Business is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Barrett Business' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.